psuhoffman Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Go the car wash!!! That is a waste of time and money until the roads get washed clear because everytime you end up behind a truck all the salt from the road is kicked up onto your car. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 The northern branch system blows our thermal profiles to hell before the southern system can begin to amplify. Our only shot would be for the northern branch to weaken thus cause less ridging in front, and then have the southern system bomb out fast. Its a super long shot as with less ridging from the northern branch we also have a more hostile environment for the stj to work with. Either way its pick your poison. On a positive note I really think the better pattern that keeps popping up in the Feb 20th time period on GFS runs could be real. The pattern evolution makes sense with the shortening wavelengths and with the MJO progression. I thought we would get our last real shot around mid February but the MJO progression has been super slow, and perhaps now it is the last week of Feb and early March that may hold our one shot at something. Winter is ending, folks. Once we are looking at early March to save us we are pretty much toast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 one thing i learned from the last week is that weak clippers do nothing for me. manitoba maulers...sure...but the ones we got, i will pass on...they are just too much of a nuisance in my opinion. i don't know about you guys, but i'm looking forward to a week off from the clipper train. maybe the pattern re-shuffles itself in the next week or so and we can get some better opportunities going forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 lol...it's february 5th We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Snowstorm next wed on the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Snowstorm next wed on the Euro is that our consolation prize? I had Feb 13-15 as a snow window on Facebook for a while lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 When the Euro shows a snowstorm over a week out, LOCK IT IN. How much QPF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 is that our consolation prize? I had Feb 13-15 as a snow window on Facebook for a while lol looks pretty nice.. 4-8" for all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 well, not for wes.. sorry wes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 looks pretty nice.. 4-8" for all! Still snowing Valentines day? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 well, not for wes.. sorry wes Then DC better worry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 wait, west gets in on the end.. we all win. what a winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Still snowing Valentines day? it's outta here prob around midnight on the 13th. the low track is pretty close. prob mix DC and SE at the least tho we get good comma head action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 blizzard of 96 radar: http://mesonet.agron...our=12&minute=0 i want 25% of this. that's not asking too much, i don't think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 992mb 40 mi east of Cape May are you buying this or do you think its too early? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 are you buying this or do you think its too early? come on dude.. bullseye at d8 is always win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 as classic a track as you can get Mont AL to Macon GA to Clemson SC to ORF The vort track is pretty classic. Hopefully it's not the euro being too amped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 maybe a small event?...Is it really that hard to get a 3" snowstorm in DC?...I mean that would bring DCA to 5" on the season...is it that unreasonable? im starting to think we'll break the streak before the mo is over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Lol. Day eight. How can you realistically ask anyone if they are buying it? Saying that with confidence is almost admitting you are clueless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 recent clippers...appetizer or dessert? sounds like they may have been just an appetizer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Lol. Day eight. How can you realistically ask anyone if they are buying it? Saying that with confidence is almost admitting you are clueless. it's possible to buy a larger scale pattern change, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 50/50 and the -NAO will end up weaker than modeled and the storm in the Southwest will ride up into the Lakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 im starting to think we'll break the streak before the mo is over. Me too. We've got some chances coming up and we have the Ji miracle storm to start things off. Stranger things have happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Euro ens mean is having none of our snowstorm. Toss it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Euro ens mean is having none of our snowstorm. Toss it. JMA has a big gulf low at 192 poised to come up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 JMA has a big gulf low at 192 poised to come up euro ens has precip meanding around to our se but nothing organized Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 i think any of us would take 2-4" right now even if snow to rain or rain to snow or the dummy end of a bigger storm for SNE Southern stream getting active will give you a chance this month I think...as we discussed a few times recently. There looks to be another more favorable general pattern too coming up after mid-month as ensembles are fairly bullish on a -EPO developing which should reinforce the cold air supply...combine that with the active southern stream and I think there will probably be an event or two there before the clock ticks out on this winter. Without a classic -NAO block, it would probably be hard to get a huge event (though not impossible...see PDII)...but a moderate storm doesn't look like a reach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 im starting to think we'll break the streak before the mo is over.I'm kinda with you on this. I mean yea, it's been an awful awful stretch but it's not like a more promising type of setup appeared out of nowhere. We've been talking about it for almost a week now. I've seen a lot of little things on the gfs that show an active and amplified pattern with some semblance of "cold enough" air to work with for days as have many others. The "if this then this" is in play (as always of course) because models are keying the lr off of a strong storm that hasn't even happened yet. It's been a bit a recurring theme with a strong storm that cuts and then a good period of cold following. This is the first one that passes east for the most part but the pattern afterwards is similar with one exception...a nice wet ss stream keeping things going instead of cold, dry, and dusty flakes in the wake. It sure would be nice for the majority in the snow contest to bust low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 I'm kinda with you on this. I mean yea, it's been an awful awful stretch but it's not like a more promising type of setup appeared out of nowhere. We've been talking about it for almost a week now. I've seen a lot of little things on the gfs that show an active and amplified pattern with some semblance of "cold enough" air to work with for days as have many others. The "if this then this" is in play (as always of course) because models are keying the lr off of a strong storm that hasn't even happened yet. It's been a bit a recurring theme with a strong storm that cuts and then a good period of cold following. This is the first one that passes east for the most part but the pattern afterwards is similar with one exception...a nice wet ss stream keeping things going instead of cold, dry, and dusty flakes in the wake. It sure would be nice for the majority in the snow contest to bust low. I am going to win that one. With a -NAO making an appearance later on and if temps cooperate, that is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Guess the Euro didn't have the next week snowstorm by the commentary or lack of. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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