Wonderdog Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 So it looks like the EURO has a storm on Friday and the GFS is trying to show one sliding off the se coast on Friday or so. I know its warm but any possibility it could wind up and suck just enough cold air in to surprise us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 So it looks like the EURO has a storm on Friday and the GFS is trying to show one sliding off the se coast on Friday or so. I know its warm but any possibility it could wind up and suck just enough cold air in to surprise us?where is phineas? we're good at getting torchy rain dumpings in mid winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 So it looks like the EURO has a storm on Friday and the GFS is trying to show one sliding off the se coast on Friday or so. I know its warm but any possibility it could wind up and suck just enough cold air in to surprise us? At this latitude not much, up in NEw England it might be another story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 At this latitude not much, up in NEw England it might be another story. euro too amped? does it matter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 12z GFS looks blah for anything of consequence unless that southern vort could come further north and the cold air hang on....I know, I know, too many "ifs" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 euro too amped? does it matter? For us I don't think it matters, for New England it might but I haven't thought much on the matter since I'm a local boy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 So it looks like the EURO has a storm on Friday and the GFS is trying to show one sliding off the se coast on Friday or so. I know its warm but any possibility it could wind up and suck just enough cold air in to surprise us? I was just going to post this that the GFS finally picked up on that southern stream vort. There looks to be a HP to our NW on Friday, so if it winds up and gets closed to the coast, it will be something to watch. The cold air doesn't look great, but at least there's something driven by the southern stream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doplerdurite77 Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 Weatherbell.com video this am looks at the ECMWF attempt at resurrecting "Lindsay Storm" of 1969 later this week and the wild ens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 12z Day 5 Euro puts slp off the VA capes but warms us us to +5C at 850 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 12z Day 5 Euro puts slp off the VA capes but warms us us to +5C at 850 lol Nice to see a storm there ha, will be too warn, but hey haven't seen a nice low there in a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 at least we can go back to hating new england Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 euro has a nice gom rainstorm at the end after a cutter too. good run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 at least we can go back to hating new england they turn to rain up to the NH/Mass border they ain't loving it either tough winter; only chance we have now is a fluke I will be nothing short of shocked if the pattern gets good for snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 What is the actual Enso classification for this winter? If it was neutral, have we had back to back neutrals after back to back ninas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Ian will make fun of me, but several GFS ens members are close for later in the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Ian will make fun of me, but several GFS ens members are close for later in the week. Are you underestimating my capacity for mockery? How dare you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Are you underestimating my capacity for mockery? How dare you. Ha. You in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 GFS looks atrocious for any wintry stuff till after V-Day (not counting silly dustings and mood flakes) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Warm. No snow. Winter cancel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 It's one run. It showed snow at 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 It's one run. It showed snow at 18z mark my words the time for a true "pattern change conducive to snow" has passed; it ain't happening with the current ENSO and -PDO our only shot is a fluke, that I define as a snow storm (area-wide 4"+) in a pattern that is not conducive to snow I'd say the chances for a fluke are in the 5-10% chance range, which doesn't mean it can't happen, just very low probability as in I ain't expecting it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Ha. You in? For mockery? Yes. For snow hopes? No. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Dec and jan have been laid to rest and feb is now on life support. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrederickWX Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Dec and jan have been laid to rest and feb is now on life support. Yeah. After this week, the rest of February is looking warm. The pattern just isn't favorable. We would need a fluke storm for decent snow, and with the winter being what it has been, it's not something I would count on. Put a fork in it, it's done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Yeah. After this week, the rest of February is looking warm. The pattern just isn't favorable. We would need a fluke storm for decent snow, and with the winter being what it has been, it's not something I would count on. Put a fork in it, it's done.You've said this multiple times. Why are you still checking these threads then? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 You've said this multiple times. Why are you still checking these threads then? That's a good question. For all these "its over" people, the thing to do is to simply move on. Stop watching the weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 That's a good question. For all these "its over" people, the thing to do is to simply move on. Stop watching the weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 True. Perhaps at this time of year we need two long range threads, one for winter weather, the other for "other". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrederickWX Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 True. Perhaps at this time of year we need two long range threads, one for winter weather, the other for "other". Don't we have to have actual "winter weather" for a winter weather thread? Sorry to rain on your flizzard parade, but we have to be at least a little realistic, right? The next two weeks are toast. We haven't seen any real snow in December, January, and given how things are looking, the first half of February. We're now left to hope for a fluke storm that somehow breaks just our way, in the latter half of February, when nothing else this winter has? Sure, we have a shot of some colder air in the last half of February, but by that time, we really have to thread the needle to get anything good. I want it to snow as much as the next guy. And if we get something good showing up in a realistic window (not 10 days away), I'll get excited. But until that happens (if it happens), why delude ourselves? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 I am just keeping it real. Feb is looking too warm for something to happen. We can look for something to surprise us and maybe have a shot at nice late Feb snow. In the meantime, I embrace my flurries. I even got depressed over my flurry-hole yesterday. But I am keeping expectations low, as everyone else is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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