Fozz Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 Snow weenies, it's our do or die month. Old thread http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/38918-late-january-2013-mid-long-range-disco-thread/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 I know its the 18z gfs but this weekend's possibility could get interesting if some sort of consensus forms in the next couple of days. 500 looks ok and it's not unthinkable that a surface low could track s of us in that setup. Maybe we get a little paste of waa precip. 0z gfs is the most important run of Feb's life. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 I'm with Bob, Fozz. The outlook for Feb is cold with frequent snow opportunities Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 I know its the 18z gfs but this weekend's possibility could get interesting if some sort of consensus forms in the next couple of days. 500 looks ok and it's not unthinkable that a surface low could track s of us in that setup. Maybe we get a little paste of waa precip. 0z gfs is the most important run of Feb's life. Lol It does look sorta interesting. But it might just be 18z GFSing us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 It does look sorta interesting. But it might just be 18z GFSing us. It's most likely GSeffing us but when it's all you got.....it's all u got. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 I know its the 18z gfs but this weekend's possibility could get interesting if some sort of consensus forms in the next couple of days. 500 looks ok and it's not unthinkable that a surface low could track s of us in that setup. Maybe we get a little paste of waa precip. 0z gfs is the most important run of Feb's life. Lol This has showed up on a couple of runs in the last few days. Is this what is called a signal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 This has showed up on a couple of runs in the last few days. Is this what is called a signal? Only if it shows up looking better in a couple hours. Right now its like going to a low budget strip club. You really don't like what you see but you keep looking anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 Only if it shows up looking better in a couple hours. Right now its like going to a low budget strip club. You really don't like what you see but you keep looking anyway. I am scared to ask how you know this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 I am scared to ask how you know this. You're the one that made me go. I was all about staying home watching the wizards lose their 50th straight and you were like I'm drivin and buying and I was ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 You're the one that made me go. I was all about staying home watching the wizards lose their 50th straight and you were like I'm drivin and buying and I was ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 29, 2013 Author Share Posted January 29, 2013 Only if it shows up looking better in a couple hours. Right now its like going to a low budget strip club. You really don't like what you see but you keep looking anyway. If it makes you feel any better, this is my first storm thread since 2/9/2010. All my chips are in.....everything is on the line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 Friday looks kinda sorta interesting maybe for not much. H7 looks terrible even though sim radar shows a blob of green over us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 Friday looks kinda sorta interesting maybe I assume you're talking NAM, and it does look like a little snow late Thurs if accurate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 I assume you're talking NAM, and it does look like a little snow late Thurs if accurate.Friday morning And it looks crappy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 This has showed up on a couple of runs in the last few days. Is this what is called a signal? I like that's it's on several members of the ens, not just the op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 Friday morning And it looks crappy Very early Friday morning then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 The Euro had this same event (precip maps were available I'm weather bell). Just have to see how it plays out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 Your kidding me right? The feb 5 storm is going to be a rainstorm?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 Your kidding me right? The feb 5 storm is going to be a rainstorm?? What a hideous run. It's an odd evolution so I suppose it's unlikely as shown but still. Everything after next weekend looks terrible on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CardinalWinds Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 Your kidding me right? The feb 5 storm is going to be a rainstorm?? Verbatim off the 0z op run..yeah. I will have issues even here by the looks of it. But at 180+ hours out...take it with a grain of salt. I spent my childhood in Hampton bordering Loch Raven reservoir in the 70's...hope you will forgive the intrusion on the MA forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 What a hideous run. It's an odd evolution so I suppose it's unlikely as shown but still. Everything after next weekend looks terrible on this run. Every run the past 3 days has been horrible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 What a hideous run. It's an odd evolution so I suppose it's unlikely as shown but still. Everything after next weekend looks terrible on this run. What's so odd about rain in DC in the middle of winter ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 We even lost the Sunday clipper #.01again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 What's so odd about rain in DC in the middle of winter ? Lol- since you put it that way...nothin. I guess Chicago might break their streak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 more interesting euro run than the last couple Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 more interesting euro run than the last couple Really? I assumed since Will said it looked atrocious it did for us as well. Good news for clipper? Like 0.02 QPF this time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 Really? I assumed since Will said it looked atrocious it did for us as well. Good news for clipper? Like 0.02 QPF this time? It looks horrible and then warm at the 10 day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 6z Gfs much more interesting feb 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 Model mayhem. Whatever that means. Huge step in right direction at 500. Especially if you live in ne. We need a lot of help to get this to go south of us. Prob more help than we can get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 Looks like mini jan 2005. We need it much more south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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