Chicago WX Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 Not so fast right turn at the end.... Has no idea what it want to do. Yep. Alas, I'd like your position if I were you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 NAM has come full circle. From a hit just east of LAF yesterday, to a DSM-LSE-etc special now. That's some bad modeling. A 12/1/06 type shift but it hurts more to go from 20" to nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted January 28, 2013 Author Share Posted January 28, 2013 Madison to Green Bay snowstorm it is again. Back down to Cedar Rapids most likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 A 12/1/06 type shift but it hurts more to go from 20" to nothing. Problem with 2006 was I actually believed, at one point, that we were going to get it. That one was painful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 Looks like a Chicago, Milwaukee to Traverse City storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 Pretty impressive. It's a shame the wintry side will be relatively tame to the overall "ferocity" of the system. Large area of 80-85 kts from Tennessee to Lake Erie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 Looks like a Chicago, Milwaukee to Traverse City storm. ? It kinda leaves Chicago out! Davenport doesn't look to bad on that run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 Looks like a Chicago, Milwaukee to Traverse City storm Des Moines to Madison to Green Bay Storm. Fixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 Looks like a Chicago, Milwaukee to Traverse City storm. I think it is well NW of that track.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 DBQ is a snow magnet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 Low passes close to GRR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 lower michigan crust pack is doomed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 lower michigan crust pack is doomed I think only Josh has sentimental attachment to his crust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 Looks like a Chicago, Milwaukee to Traverse City storm. I think it is well NW of that track.. It's the wraparound that I'm following... The initial low pass is way to warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 It's the wraparound that I'm following... The initial low pass is way to warm. Which will essentially completely miss Chicago...and brush Milwaukee and Traverse City. It's wagons west with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 DBQ is a snow magnet. 1:28 18z NAM 48 hours.gif It sure is. I was gonna mention something about that this morning but bit my tongue lol. They're already about 15" ahead of the QC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 Milwaukee would probably be good for 4" on the 18z NAM run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 lower michigan crust pack is doomed Good, let it be destroyed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 It sure is. I was gonna mention something about that this morning but bit my tongue lol. They're already about 15" ahead of the QC. DBQ and MSN are really two of the best. Don't know why exactly, but they both seem to be in a good spot typically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 Yesterday's rain is still sitting in puddles in my yard because of frozen ground. Same here. Read somewhere that the frost goes down to nearly 20" deep right now, which is pretty damn deep. Probably due to the very cold temps and bare ground. Yup I'm about to throw the towel in on this one for us...looked good for awhile but, trends are clearly not on our side. I'm tired of this crappy Winter, bring on Spring. 18z NAM would still give us a few token inches of wet slop at the tail end, which would be pretty impressive after 2" of rain. Kind of like what happened with the Dec 20th system, but to a lesser degree. Like you said though the overall trend today is to the northwest, so the QC may end up dry slotted with some tail-end flurries. Hopefully the 00z guidance tonight shows a slower/deeper digging shortwave so we can spin this thing up a little further east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 Milwaukee would probably be good for 4" on the 18z NAM run. we'll both be dry slotted on 00z runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted January 28, 2013 Author Share Posted January 28, 2013 DBQ and MSN are really two of the best. Don't know why exactly, but they both seem to be in a good spot typically. MSN is the snow magnet more than Dubuque, Dubuque averages less than Milwaukee. MSN used to, but thanks to the preponderance of Western Lakes cutters most likely, in recent years they have averaged a bit more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 Pretty impressive. It's a shame the wintry side will be relatively tame to the overall "ferocity" of the system. Lacking a wintry side in January!?! Crappy winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 18z NAM verbatim drops 2.50" of precip here, with a little sliver of 3" up near Dixon IL. Extremely impressive for Jan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted January 28, 2013 Author Share Posted January 28, 2013 we'll both be dry slotted on 00z runs Yep, I have a hard time being optimistic. What a tease all the recent storms have been. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Luftfeuchtigkeit Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 DBQ and MSN are really two of the best. Don't know why exactly, but they both seem to be in a good spot typically. Definitely have had more than our share of good snowstorms here in MSN the last few years. Seems like it hasn't always been the case though. I first moved to MSN in 2001 and I don't really remember anything much over 6" between 2001 and 2005. But the last several years have been pretty snowy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 Low passes close to GRR. lower michigan crust pack is doomed I think only Josh has sentimental attachment to his crust. I think it is well NW of that track.. #%+*^%#}#^+^+#%}^* That is all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 Pretty impressive. It's a shame the wintry side will be relatively tame to the overall "ferocity" of the system. Lacking a wintry side in January!?! Crappy winter. Yup, actually many of the seasonal outlooks had the same flow indicated.... Every cold wave is shunted off to the east and the troughs are elongated to the east... Almost zonal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 Low passes close to GRR. I think only Josh has sentimental attachment to his crust. I think it is well NW of that track.. #%+*^%#}#^+^+#%}^* That is all. You need to advance that a few frames. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 Blackrock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.