Chicago WX Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 Hard to believe the Euro won't make a northwest move. There would be some chaos if not. Euro has been crap on a stick lately. Even if it didn't move northwest, I wouldn't buy it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 Euro has been crap on a stick lately. Even if it didn't move northwest, I wouldn't buy it. It's been a bit flaky in the medium range but we're getting into the 48-60 hour window...if it stays a big southern outlier and ends up failing then that would not be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted January 28, 2013 Author Share Posted January 28, 2013 It's been a bit flaky in the medium range but we're getting into the 48-60 hour window...if it stays a big southern outlier and ends up failing then that would not be good. Actually I would argue it would be good because then there would be more to talk about and more mayhem since it shows the Euro is more than human. It's a bit boring really if there was one model to ride and know that it was generally right. Bad for the Euro of course, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 It's been a bit flaky in the medium range but we're getting into the 48-60 hour window...if it stays a big southern outlier and ends up failing then that would not be good. It really hasn't had much on snow side for this system, other than this morning's run with some light QPF. It wins the 500H verification wars, but man...I think it has been kinda lousy with individual storms. The December event (MSN snowstorm) where the op and its ensembles insisted on a southern track 3 days out was a big failure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted January 28, 2013 Author Share Posted January 28, 2013 It really hasn't had much on snow side for this system, other than this morning's run with some light QPF. It wins the 500H verification wars, but man...I think it has been kinda lousy with individual storms. The December event (MSN snowstorm) where the op and its ensembles insisted on a southern track 3 days out was a big failure. Maybe it's a hangover from last winter and the lack of intense events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 early hi-res preview Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 How about another over/under- over/under 3" at ORD with this potential event. Under. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 Euro is northwest and wetter. Middle ground between GFS/NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnesota Meso Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 The Euro is now on board with the nice deformation band of snow for eastern IA and almost all of Wi, A winter storm warning should be posted soon by DMX and ARX with the possibility of the B word being thrown around. Edit: Cancel NW WI sorry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 Euro is northwest and wetter. Middle ground between GFS/NAM. It's catching up. Looks like a QC to Suckville WI hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 It's catching up. Looks like a QC to Suckville WI hit. pretty much we've all been thinking. Score one for the NAM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted January 28, 2013 Author Share Posted January 28, 2013 CBS 58 going with the all too common 1-3" areawide for SE Wisconsin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 pretty much we've all been thinking. Score one for the NAM? For showing the possibility, sure. For location, no. It initially was just east of here...and now we're high and dry. And with all that said, first and last call for LAF...0.0". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 For showing the possibility, sure. For location, no. It initially was just east of here...and now we're high and dry. And with all that said, first and last call for LAF...0.0". It had the best stuff east of here as recently as 12z yesterday. Shows how much things can change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted January 28, 2013 Author Share Posted January 28, 2013 pretty much we've all been thinking. Score one for the NAM? I would say this one is for the GFS. The GFS has been hinting at the potential for a strong low even cutting through Milwaukee or Chicago from time to time between its OP runs and ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 It had the best stuff east of here as recently as 12z yesterday. Shows how much things can change. Yeah, you're right. Pretty abrupt move in 24 hours. It'll be sort of fun to see how much snow falls in IA, WI, etc. Quick mover, but dynamics look fairly strong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted January 28, 2013 Author Share Posted January 28, 2013 Yeah, you're right. Pretty abrupt move in 24 hours. It'll be sort of fun to see how much snow falls in IA, WI, etc. Quick mover, but dynamics look fairly strong. It's been trending slower lately so who knows, perhaps it slows down even more if it digs and strengthens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 Will wait a bit before I stick a fork in it, but this is approaching being fully cooked... EURO says hang on a sec. I'm going to wait until the 0z runs to guess the +/-3" for ORD. Tracy Butler was saying 2-6" over NE IL possible. More snow north into WI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 How about another over/under- over/under 3" at ORD with this potential event. The total/OU should be set at 1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 If some of these models come in similar to the 12z tonight at 00z I'll begin to get a bit excited. Still pretty early, but I gotta admit I love some of these maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 If some of these models come in similar to the 12z tonight at 00z I'll begin to get a bit excited. Still pretty early, but I gotta admit I love some of these maps. Things seem to be trending in the right direction at the right time for a quick hitting heavy snow event in your area or just northwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted January 28, 2013 Author Share Posted January 28, 2013 The total/OU should be set at 1" Actually, the best over/unders for MKE and ORD respectively, would be their highest storm totals of the year. I believe MKE's is just over 3", and ORD's is 1.1". Let's set the o/u at those figures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 Actually, the best over/unders for MKE and ORD respectively, would be their highest storm totals of the year. I believe MKE's is just over 3", and ORD's is 1.1". Let's set the o/u at those figures. I like this idea, over MKE, under ORD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 I like this idea, over MKE, under ORD tough odds... i will go under MKE and over on ORD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 definite tssn potential on the early hi-res guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 Actually, the best over/unders for MKE and ORD respectively, would be their highest storm totals of the year. I believe MKE's is just over 3", and ORD's is 1.1". Let's set the o/u at those figures. I think Milwaukee is 3.3" on that post Christmas storm. With those figures I'll take over on both at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 Lol...it has been the same freakin track for several winters. It goes southeast and Detroit gets the snow....or it goes northwest and Madison and northwestern WI gts the snow. leaving Chicago, Milwaukee, and Muskegon in the hole. Dry lake effect snowpack is melting RAPIDLY. One week of lake effect snow = 1 day of melting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 Actually, the best over/unders for MKE and ORD respectively, would be their highest storm totals of the year. I believe MKE's is just over 3", and ORD's is 1.1". Let's set the o/u at those figures. Under for both. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 28, 2013 Share Posted January 28, 2013 Actually, the best over/unders for MKE and ORD respectively, would be their highest storm totals of the year. I believe MKE's is just over 3", and ORD's is 1.1". Let's set the o/u at those figures. Under, under. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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