gosaints Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 Looking like la crosse and points east should do well. Unfortunately I won't be home in la crosse. Will be about 40 miles west of there. Much less snow potential there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 Looking like la crosse and points east should do well. Unfortunately I won't be home in la crosse. Will be about 40 miles west of there. Much less snow potential there SREF says even west of La Crosse will do good. 8" for DLL and about 5" for Hawk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 NAM and sref a ways apart Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 Wow, 12z much different than the 00z version. Weaker deformation initially over Iowa. May end up better for eastern Iowa and far northwest Illinois. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 LOL. QC back in the game per 12z NAM. You just gotta love these models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 classic NAM move Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 24 hours out no clue what will happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 classic NAM move Chicago even back in the game as well. Milwaukee as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 12z Nam would give MKE a decent hit... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 Saints- Exactly... I'll just see what we get when we get it, if we get it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 classic NAM move This looks similar to that high-res model you posted from Wright-weather yesterday. The 00z version that is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 This looks similar to that high-res model you posted from Wright-weather yesterday. The 00z version that is. just a couple more shifts and I'm back in the game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 This looks similar to that high-res model you posted from Wright-weather yesterday. The 00z version that is. Both of the NCEP's WRF models take the deform band further east than the op's, maybe they are on to something, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 The winter of the 50 mile wide deform swaths. http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/248/lolcze.jpg/'> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 Starting to lose hope here.... Good luck to the east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 It is John dee but I hope he's on to something with his "ending 7am thursday graphic". Nice 4-8" swath and even an decent sized 8-12" but that doesn't encompass too many on this forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 We don't get precip here anymore...trend continues if those newer runs are right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 Wow, 12z much different than the 00z version. Weaker deformation initially over Iowa. May end up better for eastern Iowa and far northwest Illinois. continues the trend from the 6z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 We don't get precip here anymore...trend continues if those newer runs are right. The GFS has been rock solid consistent in insisting a further NW track giving you a decent snow. Who knows if the 06z/12z NAM are on to something or not. Either way it's too bad we can't get a nice wide band of snow to impact a wider region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 We don't get precip here anymore...trend continues if those newer runs are right. Have to ride the GFS and its ensembles if you want to be positives, but it seems trends are not on our side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 6z GFS gives Madison 0.38" of precip as snow and 0.58" as rain, probably will have a mixing period but I think the transition will happen quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 NAM has like 1" or so for LSE. Hmm, we'll see. Comparing the 3z SREF snow probs to the 9z run, it did shift east a tad. QC definitely more in the game for accumulating snow, with the western/northwestern portion of the CWA favored. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 NAM has like 1" or so for LSE. Hmm, we'll see. Comparing the 3z SREF snow probs to the 9z run, it did shift east a tad. QC definitely more in the game for accumulating snow, with the western/northwestern portion of the CWA favored. Dubuque to Madison jackpot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 RGEM makes the jump as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 Dubuque to Madison jackpot FWIW, 9z SREF snow probs would favor areas just to the northwest of that line...for the heaviest snows. Anyway, looks like the area in between LSE and those two, somebody will get it good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 RGEM makes the jump as well It's not even out yet is it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 It's not even out yet is it? It's running. Out to 18 hours, it does look a bit east versus its 0z run. EDIT: eh, not that different really. NW edge is shaved a tad, but status quo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 It's running. Out to 18 hours, it does look a bit east versus its 0z run. EDIT: eh, not that different really. NW edge is shaved a tad, but status quo. Yeah would still be good for Saints/DLL. Definitely better for the QC on this run though compared to the 00z. Would at least give us a few inches of wet snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 Definetly been fun to watch the models with this storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 29, 2013 Share Posted January 29, 2013 Yeah would still be good for Saints/DLL. Definitely better for the QC on this run though compared to the 00z. Would at least give us a few inches of wet snow. Would think you would get some pretty good rates at the end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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