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High Wind Warning Into Early Thursday


bluewave

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And you can add the new 12z NAM as well to the drying trend for NYC/LI.

.49" of total precip to match the euro and srefs almost to the exact amounts.

The new NAM continues the trend of weakening the squall line right as it gets into eastern PA. Still going to be a heavy rain/gusty wind event.

 

nam_namer_021_sim_radar.gif

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It will be nice to get a couple hour burst of heavy rain in here to wash away what is left of the snow up this way. The grass is pretty much bare so it's just piles from where it was plowed. Looks like us NW folks will get in on about twice as much rain as the city per this NAM run.

nam_namer_024_precip_p24.gif

You need to stay awake until 1am-7am to see it.

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Guest Patrick

any idea what the other the years were? would be interesting to see if there were any good analogs in there, and what feb/march looked like around here....though it hardly counts as a valid sample. lol

For just the fourth time in the 126 years that the National Weather Service has records, Corpus Christi has reached 90 degrees in January.

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For those who are interested in tracking the potential for record high temperatures, the following are the daily records for January 30 for select Northeastern stations:

 

Albany: 54°, 1974

Boston: 63°, 1914

Bridgeport: 57°, 2002

Hartford: 60°, 1947

Islip: 62°, 2006

New York City:

...JFK: 62°, 2006

...LGA: 63°, 2006

...NYC: 64°, 2006

Newark: 64°, 1947

Pittsfield: 57°, 1997

Poughkeepsie: 58°, 2006

Providence: 62°, 1914

Worcester: 53°, 1938

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January 30th warmest days...

64 in 2006.....more toching in early February before the big dump on 2/11-12...
63 in 1947.....February 1947 was quite cold and snowy...11" storm late in the month...
61 in 2002.....Coldest temperatures to come in Feb/Mar but no snow...
60 in 1932.....one of the reasons Jan. 32 was the warmest on record...Feb. 32 was colder but with little snow...
58 in 1914.....February March were cold and snowy...Two major snowstorms and many minor ones...

I wish this year would turn out like 1947 or 1914 but that's not happening...2006 maybe but not likely...1932 and 2002 are more in line with this year unfortunately...

 

For those who are interested in tracking the potential for record high temperatures, the following are the daily records for January 30 for select Northeastern stations:

 

Albany: 54°, 1974

Boston: 63°, 1914

Bridgeport: 57°, 2002

Hartford: 60°, 1947

Islip: 62°, 2006

New York City:

...JFK: 62°, 2006

...LGA: 63°, 2006

...NYC: 64°, 2006

Newark: 64°, 1947

Pittsfield: 57°, 1997

Poughkeepsie: 58°, 2006

Providence: 62°, 1914

Worcester: 53°, 1938

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The warm front is pushing north through Central New Jersey.

 

attachicon.gifgo.cgi.gif

 

Seems right on schedule so far. The RAP and NAM both have the big temperature surge around 18-21z throughout New Jersey. At that time it appears the NAM has some clearing which probably allows the area near EWR to spike to near 70. Looks like it's pushing into Mercer/Southern Middlesex Co's now.

 

njwxnet-windsp.png

 

njwxnet-temperature.png

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The 4km NAM brings the strongest winds in just ahead of and with the low topped squall line

early tomorrow morning.

 

attachicon.gifrad22.gif

 

The 4KM NAM starts weakening or breaking the inversion below 900mb, about 2-3 hours before the squall line moves through. 925mb winds at that point are 70-80kts around NYC over 80ks over parts of LI.

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Upton now upgrades the high wind warning for inland areas:

 

...STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS EXPECTED THIS EVENING INTOOVERNIGHT...CTZ005>008-NJZ002-004-103-105-107-NYZ067>070-310200-/O.UPG.KOKX.HW.A.0001.130130T2300Z-130131T1100Z//O.EXA.KOKX.HW.W.0001.130130T2300Z-130131T1100Z/NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-WESTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-1251 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM ESTTHURSDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A HIGH WINDWARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM ESTTHURSDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.* LOCATIONS...INLAND SECTIONS NORTH AND WEST OF THE NEW YORK  CITY METROPOLITAN AREA.* HAZARDS...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.* WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.* TIMING...STRONG WINDS THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT.* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS...IN COMBINATION WITH HEAVY RAIN...  COULD BRING DOWN WHOLE TREES...LARGE TREE LIMBS...POWER LINES  AND UNSECURED OUTDOOR OBJECTS. THIS COULD POSE A HAZARD TO  ANYONE OUT DRIVING OR WALKING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND TO HOUSES  AND OTHER STRUCTURES NEAR LARGER TREES. DRIVING WILL ALSO BE  DIFFICULT... ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES AND ON ELEVATED  ROADWAYS AND BRIDGES.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTEDOR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTSOF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.&&
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Interesting temperature differences now. Mid 50s in NE NJ and NW NJ but in between clouds and stubborn fog holding temps down in the mid 40s. Meanwhile 60s have reached up to at least Middlesex/somerset counties now

 

It looks like the nearest reading above 60  is  62 at Linden with a 9 degree jump in just one hour.

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Wild weather here.  Temps rising rapidly up to 56 but the fog just won't let go here in the sticks of NJ.  Walked near the lake in my neighborhood and the warm wind was being cooled by the ice that is still frozen over --- allowing fog to rapidly blow across the ice.  Into the wind facing the lake was chilly, but once you got away from the water, way warmer.  Cool.

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