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Severe (tornado + wind) event looming: 01/30-01/31 Wed.-Thursday


Ground Scouring

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Some storms can pop off around 7pm though ahead of the squall line...making it seem like it's reached us before it actually has, but I'd definitely listen to the NWS over what the NAM is saying at this point in time, haha. But it definitely has slowed down since last night per the models.

 

I was hopinh it would come sooner than later. NC doesn't do well with tornadoes overnight.

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I was working from home today and the storm missed up by, maybe, 1.5 miles.  It went between where I was and where my daughter was in school. Damage to the town of Adairsville is extensive. I would be surprised if this wasn't an EF-3 at the very least. With all of the roads closed, it took a while to get back to the house. Luckily for us, our subdivision has underground lines and the power just came back on but much of Adairsville is older and may not get power back for a while based on what I witnessed.

Glad you are safe.

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Man, I am sick of this already. I thought the area of Cherokee I used to live at was bad but this is our 3rd brush with literal disaster in 2 years. Thanks for you guys thinking about us. The town is pitiful.

So happy you and family are safe, rough day for many.

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I was working from home today and the storm missed up by, maybe, 1.5 miles.  It went between where I was and where my daughter was in school. Damage to the town of Adairsville is extensive. I would be surprised if this wasn't an EF-3 at the very least. With all of the roads closed, it took a while to get back to the house. Luckily for us, our subdivision has underground lines and the power just came back on but much of Adairsville is older and may not get power back for a while based on what I witnessed.

 

Glad to hear you made out alright.

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I'd be getting pretty nervous if I were in my hometown of Columbia SC to Florence area. Sun out, its hot and look whats coming. Just texted my oblivious sister and parents there to keep an eye to the sky.

Not nervous here ;)  Watching.....yes :lol:  The sun has been out a lot more than I expected today and some cells to my northwest are starting to fire. 

 

I was working from home today and the storm missed up by, maybe, 1.5 miles.  It went between where I was and where my daughter was in school. Damage to the town of Adairsville is extensive. I would be surprised if this wasn't an EF-3 at the very least. With all of the roads closed, it took a while to get back to the house. Luckily for us, our subdivision has underground lines and the power just came back on but much of Adairsville is older and may not get power back for a while based on what I witnessed.

Glad to hear you and the family are okay :hug:  I walked into the house to my son telling me about the tornado there and it's a relief to see you posting. Positive thoughts to those in the line of fire today. 

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Statement as of 3:40 PM EST on January 30, 2013


The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 

       northwest North Carolina
       southwest Virginia

Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 340 PM until
1000 PM EST.

Hail to 0.5 inch in diameter... thunderstorm wind gusts to 75
mph... and dangerous lightning are possible in these areas.

The Severe Thunderstorm Watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles north of
Lynchburg Virginia to 75 miles south of Dublin Virginia. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (wous64 kwns wou2).

Remember... a Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally
do produce tornadoes.

Other watch information... continue... ww 21... 

Discussion... qlcs is beginning to strengthen as convection moves off
the higher terrain in wrn VA and NW NC... possible related to an
embedded MCV in the larger precipitation shield. Instability is
marginal downstream from this convection and lightning production
will be sporadic at best. However... weak surface-based cape and
minimal convective inhibition will support Transfer of 60-70 kt
momentum aloft to the surface in the heavier showers/bowing
segments.

Aviation... a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft
to 0.5 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65
knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 350. Mean storm
motion vector 25045.
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Good deal, thanks man. Do you know if more wind reports should accompany that line as it moves east or is it at it's peak now? I thought the LLJ is supposed to strengthen with time....

Not sure about all that, don't know enough to answer your question. Maybe a met can chime in... I know that per the 18z NAM yesterday the surface winds were higher once they reached NC, progged over 60+ mph...the hurricane force winds seen so far weren't progged in that area per earlier NAM runs, I think they were around 40-50 mph in that area. I think we'll see some decent winds, especially for northern NC counties into VA. Maps are archived at instantweathermaps.com

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Not nervous here ;)  Watching.....yes :lol:  The sun has been out a lot more than I expected today and some cells to my northwest are starting to fire. 

 

Glad to hear you and the family are okay :hug:  I walked into the house to my son telling me about the tornado there and it's a relief to see you posting. Positive thoughts to those in the line of fire today. 

Thanks for thinking about us!  You guys honker down over there.

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

 

TORNADO WARNING

 

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC

 

354 PM EST WED JAN 30 2013

 

 

 

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A

 

 

 

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

 

  TRANSYLVANIA COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...

 

  EXTREME NORTHWESTERN GREENVILLE COUNTY IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...

 

  NORTH CENTRAL OCONEE COUNTY IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...

 

  NORTHWESTERN PICKENS COUNTY IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...

 

 

 

* UNTIL 430 PM EST

 

 

 

* AT 350 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

 

  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS STORM WAS

 

  LOCATED NEAR SALEM...OR 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF WALHALLA...AND MOVING

 

  NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

 

 

 

* THIS STORM WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...

 

  LAKE JOCASSEE.

 

  ROCKY BOTTOM AND ROSMAN.

 

  TABLE ROCK RESERVOIR.

 

  CAESARS HEAD...JONES GAP STATE PARK AND BREVARD.
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THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A

 

 

 

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

 

  EAST CENTRAL STEPHENS COUNTY IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA...

 

  EASTERN OCONEE COUNTY IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...

 

  SOUTHERN PICKENS COUNTY IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...

 

 

 

* UNTIL 445 PM EST

 

 

 

* AT 407 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

 

  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS STORM WAS

 

  LOCATED NEAR LAKE HARTWELL...OR 9 MILES EAST OF TOCCOA...AND MOVING

 

  NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

 

 

 

* THIS STORM WILL IMPACT LOCATIONS NEAR...

 

  SENECA AND WALHALLA.

 

  LAKE KEOWEE.

 

  NINE TIMES AND PICKENS.
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I was working from home today and the storm missed up by, maybe, 1.5 miles.  It went between where I was and where my daughter was in school. Damage to the town of Adairsville is extensive. I would be surprised if this wasn't an EF-3 at the very least. With all of the roads closed, it took a while to get back to the house. Luckily for us, our subdivision has underground lines and the power just came back on but much of Adairsville is older and may not get power back for a while based on what I witnessed.

 

Greg,

 It is good to hear you and your family are ok though sad what happened nearby, of course. Wow!

 

 In Dunwoody, I had a quick thunderstorm at 2:30 PM-2:45 PM that produced very heavy rains and gusty winds. Heard only a few rumbles of thunder.

Not too bad..which is fine as I didn't want any tornadoes too close.

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Yay!  I'm in it!

2gsn5ns.gif

 

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0102
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0313 PM CST WED JAN 30 2013
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF CNTRL GA INTO THE WRN CAROLINAS
   
   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 21...
   
   VALID 302113Z - 302315Z
   
   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 21 CONTINUES.
   
   SUMMARY...THE REMAINDER OF SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA INTO THE SOUTH
   CAROLINA PIEDMONT...EAST OF WW 21...WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED
   FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AN INCREASING SEVERE THREAT.  A NEW WW MAY
   NOT BE NEEDED IN THE NEAR TERM...BUT ONE MAY BE POSSIBLE LATER THIS
   EVENING.
   
   DISCUSSION...THE LATEST RAPID REFRESH SUGGESTS THAT THE INTENSE
   SOUTHERLY 850 MB JET CORE IS IN THE PROCESS OF REDEVELOPING
   NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE WESTERN CAROLINAS...BUT A NARROW CORRIDOR OF
   50-70 KT 850 MB FLOW IS FORECAST TO LINGER TO THE SOUTH...SHIFTING
   SLOWLY EASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL/EASTERN GEORGIA.  TO THE EAST OF THIS
   AXIS...LOWER SURFACE DEW POINTS ASSOCIATED WITH STRONGER BOUNDARY
   LAYER WARMING/MIXING IS LIMITING INSTABILITY.  SO...IT APPEARS THE
   PRIMARY CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL WILL REMAIN ALONG AND TO THE WEST OF
   THIS AXIS...WHERE WEAK BOUNDARY LAYER INSTABILITY AND STRONG
   LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A RISK FOR SUPERCELLS WITH
   TORNADOES.  THIS IS EXPECTED TO GENERALLY REMAIN TO THE WEST OF THE
   COLUMBIA SC AREA INTO THE 00-01Z TIME FRAME.

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