Disco/Nowcast/Observations for SWFE on Monday/Tuesday Snow to ice

[CT Rain]

A nice burst of moderate to heavy snow here during the past 60 to 90 minutes. We're probably closing in on an inch.'

 

Sleet line is racing east on the ENX CC dual pol image though.

 

Yes it is. May get shunted south of you but NW CT is going to flip soon. Already at the Hudson. 

[Sugarloaf1989]

Moderate snow falling here with it just starting to coat the heavily salted roads. There's about 1/4" here so far and the temperature is steady at 27F.

[dendrite]

actually snow growth markedly improved. think we are at moderate now or close.

Decent -SN in CON now.

[CoastalWx]

dr phil

 

whats your call for bos accum wise in this event

 

I'm a little worried about the dryslot racing in just as decent snow develops. However, see that stuff near Syracuse? If that can slide through..it may push BOS closer to 2". I think 1-1.5 will do it.

[chietanen]

Yes it is. May get shunted south of you but NW CT is going to flip soon. Already at the Hudson. 

 

Just started mixing with sleet in Fishkill.  Picked up close to an inch.

[eekuasepinniW]

invisible blizzard in progress.

[ORH_wxman]

 

A nice burst of moderate to heavy snow here during the past 60 to 90 minutes. We're probably closing in on an inch.'

 

Sleet line is racing east on the ENX CC dual pol image though.

 

Looks like the pellets are almost to the Hudson Valley...still a bit west though on dual pol and also confirmed by the ALB 1/2 SN ob. POU still has 1 mi -SN too. PRobably not mixing there yet.

[CT Rain]

  

Looks like the pellets are almost to the Hudson Valley...still a bit west though on dual pol and also confirmed by the ALB 1/2 SN ob. POU still has 1 mi -SN too. PRobably not mixing there yet.

 

KMGJ is -FZRA so that sleet band is probably pretty narrow before you go to ZR?

[ORH_wxman]

 

Just started mixing with sleet in Fishkill.  Picked up close to an inch.

 

Up, there's the mixing...lol. I noticed POU still had 1 mi vis -SN, but the pingers were right on their doorstep.

[CT Rain]

1/2 SM SN now in Farmington. Pretty decent burst now. 

[ORH_wxman]

 

KMGJ is -FZRA so that sleet band is probably pretty narrow before you go to ZR?

 

Yeah not a ton of sleet obs. Probably just transitional sleet for a few minutes. Further northeast the sleet could last slightly longer with the deeper cold air.

[mahk_webstah]

Decent -SN in CON now.

definitely better than light up here now.  

[N. OF PIKE]

I'm a little worried about the dryslot racing in just as decent snow develops. However, see that stuff near Syracuse? If that can slide through..it may push BOS closer to 2". I think 1-1.5 will do it.

i was just checkin out that stuff that just moved into west central NYS.   watertown area. that may slide ese and hit us.   i hope we can just cover the damn grass. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Most of Ct NE of BDR should easily get 1-2. Mod here at the office

[free_man]

light snow/flurries here.   23F

[ORH_wxman]

 

i was just checkin out that stuff that just moved into west central NYS.   watertown area. that may slide ese and hit us.   i hope we can just cover the damn grass. 

 

Thats the 2nd band that some guidance has hitting the pike region and northward later this afternoon/early evening. That could be a decent burst for E MA north of the pike...and into S NH.

[CT Rain]

  

Yeah not a ton of sleet obs. Probably just transitional sleet for a few minutes. Further northeast the sleet could last slightly longer with the deeper cold air.

 

It's actually snowing really good here on 84 in West Hartford. Roads are a mess. That change to ZR is going to be unpleasant. 

[leesun]

Did DXR flip yet?

[Mr Torchey]

Pingers and Parachutes, the end is near down here but a beautiful morning!

[CoastalWx]

All models suddenly drop temps below freezing by 00z tomorrow night in the interior. That is suspicious and leads me to believe the interior may be below 32 all day....I think models are taking daytime heating too aggressively.

[CT Rain]

Did DXR flip yet?

 

Per dual pol they have

[grinch1989]

Over an inch in shelton will all snow under that 35dbz stuff

[ORH_wxman]

 

All models suddenly drop temps below freezing by 00z tomorrow night in the interior. That is suspicious and leads me to believe the interior may be below 32 all day....I think models are taking daytime heating too aggressively.

 

Yeah I agree. Once we go above freezing in this whole setup tomorrow, its unlikely we'd go back below freezing. Its probably a scenario where we never crack freezing all day tomorrow and then finally the sfc warm front eats away at it by Wed morning. I think tomorrow night could be pretty nasty actually in some areas. We'll just have to see how tough the cold air hangs in.

[Damage In Tolland]

Man I wish we could somehow avoid the 50's on Wed. Or even just limit them to an hour or 2. We could lock this stuff up till late Feb at least

[Damage In Tolland]

Looks like an inch in NH

[Zeroth]

Light snow started here about an hour ago.  Interestingly the temperature has dropped almost 4* from 30.0 to 26.2 since the snow started.  

[Mr Torchey]

mostly snow, couple pingers but its ripping pretty good lol

[ELCwx]

Per dual pol they have

 

I'm in Danbury and it is still snow. Very light.

[N. OF PIKE]

if that 2'nd band of stuff doesn't expand there may be another 7-10 split kinda deal where the first band hits most of CT . but not much further NE and areas like ORH down to PVD/TAN up thru Bos get the 7-10 split and then CNE over to RTE / parts of ne mass get in on round 2.  just throwing it out there

[Mr Torchey]

and rain sleet, quickest change i have ever seen, good luck to all!