cyclone77 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Getting some strong southwesterly gusts now just as the cold front passes. Dew has already dropped out of the 40s into the mid 30s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 I thought the same thing, that it didnt look too different, until I rode my snowmobile in...the 10" of snow left when compressed squeezed down to 1" of snow/slush mix...i guess that doesnt matter to most of us, and if the water inthe snowpack freezes it will be more melt resistant during subsequent warmups, but what we see is nothing liike what was there 24 hrs ago Haha, I guess a heavy machine will do that! I'll walk out there tomorrow actually see what's left. I figure there's 10" out there. The clipper snow was really compressed on the bottom and the wet froze, so that allowed air pockets to soak up the rain nicely. Cold front looks like it just cleared Cedar Rapids and about to clear Dubuque. Despite the rain today, there is compressed snow and ice littering parking lots and side roads still. ... and more potholes, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 First batch of precip in fact was Frz Rain have a solid glaze of ice on driveway... Yea. You really have to look out tonight on the side roads, particularly north facing hills and areas that didn't get as much sun the past couple days. My driveway is STILL a sheet of ice and it's over 40 degrees now. It's not even slushy, it's like a thin layer of water over smooth hard ice. I'm wondering if it will melt at all. The ground just isn't warming up particularly fast. There's whole swaths of black ice all over the place on the hills near my parents house. Some of them I could barely get up this evening. I spun my tires like crazy and had to practically drive on the shoulder to at least get some crusty snow traction on one tire. It's very deceptive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 NAM continues to be the farthest north for that midweek system. I think it's something to keep an eye on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 I keep waiting for the nam to put down the crack pipe.... looking at the latest 00z, on the contrary it just took another hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 NAM continues to be the farthest north for that midweek system. I think it's something to keep an eye on. the euro has been steadfast in it's depiction of a southeast slider...we are within 96hrs. NO WAY the nam is even close to reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 I don't know Buckeye, there is some weak SE ridging - could go into the OV. --- Cold front just blew through Freeport. MKX just pulled the trigger on a wind advisory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 I don't know Buckeye, there is some weak SE ridging - could go into the OV. --- Cold front just blew through Freeport. MKX just pulled the trigger on a wind advisory. it would be one of the biggest coupes of the 'inferior class' model suite since the great JMA debacle of Feb'06. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 it would be one of the biggest coupes of the 'inferior class' model suite since the great JMA debacle of Feb'06. Funny how that works as it was the NAM/EURO ( reminded of the ole ETA/Euro aka double E rule back in the day ) which scored the hit with the Boston storm while GFS crapped the bed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Just realized it when looking over data that we have just had 20 consecutive days with precipitation, ending yesterday. ................DTW........................MBY ..........PCP....SNW...............PCP....SNW 1/20......T.........T..................T..........T 1/21....0.06.....1.5..............0.05.....1.3 1/22....0.01.....0.3..............0.01.....0.3 1/23....0.02.....0.3..............0.02.....0.3 1/24......T........0.1................T.........0.1 1/25....0.13.....3.0..............0.15.....3.4 1/26......T........0.2................T.........0.2 1/27....0.27.....2.2..............0.25.....2.0 1/28....0.27......--................0.22......-- 1/29....0.67......--................0.49......-- 1/30....0.30......--................0.34......-- 1/31....0.09.....1.8..............0.09.....2.1 2/01....0.05.....1.6..............0.04.....1.0 2/02....0.09.....2.3..............0.12.....3.1 2/03....0.02.....0.5................T........0.3 2/04....0.13.....3.3..............0.12.....3.5 2/05....0.01.....0.3..............0.01.....0.3 2/06.......T.........T..................T.........T 2/07.......T.........T..................T.........T 2/08....0.27.....2.5..............0.31.....2.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 These kinds of posts speaks to WHY those like you are in desperate need of such a blizzard. Whats the point of having to travel to see it elsewhere? For something like this ( not a tornado ) there is NO comparison to having it in your own backyard. THAT is a HUGE part of the excitement. For me it is anyways. Of course I want it imby. Just talking til it hits mby, would be nice to follow a storm. You couldnt pay me enough to leave my winters for the east coast winters and a major storm every unknown amount of years. You have tornado chasers, why not be a 2+ foot storm chaser? And as much as we joke about how the storms like to cutoff at 10-12" here, screw a 14" or 15" storm I want 18" at MINIMUM when such a storm finally hits mby. I have seen 12" storms, 2-3"/hr rates, whiteouts, 1-2 foot depths etc etc in my backyard...I refuse to believe adding 2 or 3 inches onto a storm like Jan 1999, mar 2008, Feb 2011 would make it THAT much more special. Give me an April 1886 redux, please. i want 6 foot drifts and have to saw a path to the mailbox Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 it would be one of the biggest coupes of the 'inferior class' model suite since the great JMA debacle of Feb'06. Wow, the JMA got one right! Never heard of that wx model story before. GFS is bringing this system further NW as well. Into southern OH now. Peaked at 45° here, now the cold front is making its way into the far NW suburbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 thanks. It's a placeholder while I think of something better I guess. The whole winter leading up to the storm was lousy, including January. Don't let it off the hook. The second half of January was okay. We at least had some bitter cold which froze up the small lakes and ponds and created an amazing ice jam on the Humber River. If you get the chance go the Humber River by the Old MillI Inn. Astounding scenery. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Of course I want it imby. Just talking til it hits mby, would be nice to follow a storm. You couldnt pay me enough to leave my winters for the east coast winters and a major storm every unknown amount of years. You have tornado chasers, why not be a 2+ foot storm chaser? And as much as we joke about how the storms like to cutoff at 10-12" here, screw a 14" or 15" storm I want 18" at MINIMUM when such a storm finally hits mby. I have seen 12" storms, 2-3"/hr rates, whiteouts, 1-2 foot depths etc etc in my backyard...I refuse to believe adding 2 or 3 inches onto a storm like Jan 1999, mar 2008, Feb 2011 would make it THAT much more special. Give me an April 1886 redux, please. i want 6 foot drifts and have to saw a path to the mailbox I suppose. My hunch is though once it hits your backyard you wont have much of a desire to go chasing one after. Having deep snows does help but still nothing compares to watching ( being out in it etc ) your own back yard/neighborhood get buried with deep snows from a single storm. Hard to describe. Usually get the desired effects once you exceed 18.. Just see the tops of cars etc. Get the 2-3"/hr rates for more then a hour and atleast 1"/hr for a number of hours. Believe me there is a difference between a brief burst of heavy snow vs heavy snows that stays heavy for the most part. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 0z UK north. Good hit for southern MO, far southern IL, Kentucky, and far southern OH. And then DC gets it. Awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 0z UK north. Good hit for southern MO, far southern IL, Kentucky, and far southern OH. And then DC gets it. Awesome. Needs to just vanish or wait till the northern energy arrives.ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Needs to just vanish or wait till the northern energy arrives.ugh Im starting to get confused...this early event that is on OH posters radar doesnt have anything to do with the system the GEM was hinting at for the weekend? Models seem to be just everywhere. Hopefully this is a sign that several big storms may be on the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Of course I want it imby. Just talking til it hits mby, would be nice to follow a storm. You couldnt pay me enough to leave my winters for the east coast winters and a major storm every unknown amount of years. You have tornado chasers, why not be a 2+ foot storm chaser? And as much as we joke about how the storms like to cutoff at 10-12" here, screw a 14" or 15" storm I want 18" at MINIMUM when such a storm finally hits mby. I have seen 12" storms, 2-3"/hr rates, whiteouts, 1-2 foot depths etc etc in my backyard...I refuse to believe adding 2 or 3 inches onto a storm like Jan 1999, mar 2008, Feb 2011 would make it THAT much more special. Give me an April 1886 redux, please. i want 6 foot drifts and have to saw a path to the mailbox Have you ever seen a tornado? How about a violent tornado? Snowstorms are great, but they're nothing in comparison to a tornado when they happen. Watching snowstorms is kinda like watching paint dry unless they're all out blizzards. Then it's cool to walk around in and stuff. But a tornado is a whole other ball of wax, with a small of element of whoa this thing could kill me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 0z GGEM north, not as far as the GFS, NAM, or UK...but north of its 12z run. Ohio river and south, through the Mid-Atlantic looking good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Im starting to get confused...this early event that is on OH posters radar doesnt have anything to do with the system the GEM was hinting at for the weekend? Models seem to be just everywhere. Hopefully this is a sign that several big storms may be on the way. It can have alot to do with it via closing the GOM etc so that when the northern energy arrives it has nothing to tap into till it is much to late for us. Ofcourse the GFS has the northern energy too far north to do much for us anyways. That too needs to come further south and track just to our south. Storms/clippers tracking across Michigan tend to do very little for us. About time to jump off this potential as it seems the models have sped it up and it is now inside that 120hr mark. If the models were gonna have it they would by now. More wasted potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Cold front just blew through here. 43°/35° here now. Chilly across most of the subforum so far this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ukrocks Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 System Tuesday night into Wednesday has my ears perking up. My biggest worry is that the small southeast ridge ends up being powerful enough to track the low through Kentucky. That would leave us with more rain. If I get a 4-6 inch snowfall this week, then I'll be happy for the time being. Pattern does look loaded in the long term. Just want one to a dump a nice snow fall here in the Ky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Mild evening. Currently sitting at 51. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Mild evening. Currently sitting at 51. Looks like LAF is running warm again. 49º on my thermometer right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Winds are howling out there right now. Getting gusts up to 40mph from time to time. Hoping to see a few windblown flurries tomorrow under the cyclonic flow. Will count as a respectable event around here relative to this winter. EDIT: Clinton just to the northwest gusting to 46mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Down to 39°/32° now. Winds gusting well into the 20mph range now. Edit: Melting slowing down, 37° at 1:15am. Just had a gust to 33mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Topped out at 49 at ORD and 47 here on Sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Nothing like sitting at 45 at 5:30AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Looks like 2/10 will be my last below normal day until maybe Friday. Definitely not a torch but the neg. departures for Feb will take a slight hit over the next couple of days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spwild47 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 it would be one of the biggest coupes of the 'inferior class' model suite since the great JMA debacle of Feb'06. JD gave NAM credit for nailing Boston... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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