Hoosier Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Made it to 39. Definite overachiever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Made it to 39. Definite overachiever. Clipper warm sectors seem to do that often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 I will pose a question to those on the board. How much snow would it take iyby to call the winter a backloaded one, especially for those who live in Chicago, the Quad Cities, Indianapolis, Lafayette, etc. who would be candidates for a backloaded winter due to a poor first half? For me, I would say 25" or more in those months would qualify this year, and would bring us within 10" of our average, so I'd take it heartily and call it a winter. 12"+ event...anything else and i'll pass at this point. Screw this tromping around in slush nonsense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 12"+ event...anything else and i'll pass at this point. Screw this tromping around in slush nonsense. +1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 How common is a 12"+ snow in Chicago? Once every few years? I'd guess its about once every 3 to 5 years here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 18z GFS looks very snowy and very COLD in the extended range... Coldest air yet??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 18z GFS looks very snowy and very COLD in the extended range... Coldest air yet??? Probably not colder than 2 weeks ago, but entirely possible. It's better than a warm signal.... Let's fend off spring until march 15th at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 I will pose a question to those on the board. How much snow would it take iyby to call the winter a backloaded one, especially for those who live in Chicago, the Quad Cities, Indianapolis, Lafayette, etc. who would be candidates for a backloaded winter due to a poor first half? For me, I would say 25" or more in those months would qualify this year, and would bring us within 10" of our average, so I'd take it heartily and call it a winter. Since this month is getting off to a more normal start - I'll consider February and March into this equation. On top of the 5.4" I've had already this month, for this to be a backloaded winter, it would have to include at least one 6"+ snowfall and enough additional snow to equal 15". That would put me near 30" and would be a drastic improvement up until this week. --- High 25° for today. Cloudy and snow showery all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 How common is a 12"+ snow in Chicago? Once every few years? I'd guess its about once every 3 to 5 years here... For Chicago it's probably once every 5. During the 2000s, I was getting one every other year about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 That sounds about right. Would love to see the stats for La Crosse on frequency of 6"+ snowfalls and 12"+ snowfalls... I'm sure the NWS has researched it in the past...maybe i'll email them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Here's a good page about Chicago's big storms. There have been 25 12+" storms so it happens about once every 5 years. http://www.crh.noaa.gov/lot/?n=chi_ten_inch_snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 As for the backloaded question, I'd call it a backloaded winter if we receive more snow than what we've had so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 0z GFS goes rogue for the weekend/early next week storm, and tries to give Hoosier the ice storm he's been dreaming about. It's not one verbatim, but you can fudge the numbers a little and get that conclusion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 but you can fudge the numbers a little and get that conclusion. Just like any good science Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 The GFS has feelings, you know. Anyway, op model solutions in the medium/long are nothing more than entertainment. And that's an entertaining run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 0z GFS goes rogue for the weekend/early next week storm, and tries to give Hoosier the ice storm he's been dreaming about. It's not one verbatim, but you can fudge the numbers a little and get that conclusion. GFS has been completely inconsistent with that system, right now I wouldn't take what it shows for worth more than a wood nickel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 GFS has been completely inconsistent with that system, right now I wouldn't take what it shows for worth more than a wood nickel. You're too late. See above. Again, entertainment people...pure for fun entertainment. Nothing more, nothing less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 0z GFS is stupid dumb, but I shouldn't expect miracles after 84hrs from these technical wonders. If you're going to single out a specific run and say it's wrong, look into your crystal ball and tell me what's going to happen. I'll be waiting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Another chilly night in progress. 10°/2° right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Down to 11. Should make it to 35 tomorrow, and then near or in the 40s the rest of the week. About an inch of low quality powder left right now. Much of that will be gone by late tomorrow, and should easily be completely gone by Wed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Down to 9 with freezing fog here. Not surprised to see the models starting to change their tune with the temps and potential systems. NOT saying the current runs are correct either. Point is models have struggled all winter especially beyond 96hrs and there is nothing to suggest that changing. Why it may be better to look at stuff such as the MJO etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 looks like a mood dust kind of day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Was at 11 at midnight, but back up to 21 already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Ripping snow.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Coming down like crazy... Horrible time for snow with the commute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 GFS keeps the precip away late this weekend/next week... Polar Vortex comes back mid month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 GFS keeps the precip away late this weekend/next week... Polar Vortex comes back mid month. Now that I have a nice snow pack, I would much prefer that over what the EURO is showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Hit -20C (-4F) this morning at 1:00am I believe our coldest night of the year so far. Lots of frost on the trees/bushes this morning, great for a walk to school. Love these temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Euro pretty far south for us around here... plenty of snow around here now..with another shot to come yet this week... Don't need anymore for awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Another couple inches wednesday night looks like. Then who knows about the weekend? Havent had a stretch like this for awhile Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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