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2013 Mid-Atlantic Severe General Discussion


Kmlwx

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Couple of See Texts for the northern parts of the region with good directional shear and some instability on both days, but mid-level lapse rates and weak speed shear are hurting us again. Friday has better potential for higher instability and stronger shear... maybe even enough potential for a chase day.

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Honest question, well since I see DT using them, can you really tell the potential for a future MCS by the 850 vort and strength?  (Wed at 108 and 120 hrs fwiw)

 

From LWX morning AFD

 

LONG RANGE GUIDANCE DIVERGES FOR MIDWEEK...NAMELY WITH A MORE POTENT
SHORTWAVE LOW PROGGED BY THE 00Z GFS MAKING FOR A STORMY WEDNESDAY.
WILL NEED TO WATCH TRENDS WITH MIDWEEK ACTIVITY.
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