HM Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 The 12z SPC WRF max UH caught my attention around 22z for E MD: http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/mmb/mpyle/spcprod/12/mxuphl_f10.gif That's a pretty notable signature! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Meh…Thursday looks to be a better day for the MA. Derecho potential. no d word allowed here.. see ya Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheesyPoofs Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 seriously -- i appreciate the condensing of information here -- most of us don't have time to refresh SPC every couple of minutes Not sure how posting the stuff even bothers people that much. Even if you read it already on the SPC page, it's not like someone posting it here means you are forced to read it again. While we may not need to post every single product/warning issued (say a random pop up storm out in WV that triggers a warning), posting AFD's/warnings/watches/MD's/SPS's/SPC outlooks/whatever can be useful for archive purposes. For example, if one wants to go through the derecho thread from last June, they can better see how the day unfolded as most of the products issued through out the day were posted, from the afternoon when it looked like no big deal to after sunset when it was obvious how serious the situation was. Pooling such archived info together would be very difficult at best without it being posted in that thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 I think we all know where to look for most of this stuff fortysouthwx.com? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 The 12z SPC WRF max UH caught my attention around 22z for E MD: http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/mmb/mpyle/spcprod/12/mxuphl_f10.gif That's a pretty notable signature! That looks right around La Plata... or just NE of there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Novachris Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 That looks right around La Plata... or just NE of there More like Annapolis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 That looks right around La Plata... or just NE of there considering it's off already not sure how much location matters. plus it seems to be focusing in on the first line... i think (it's slower on the model) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SluggerWx Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Interesting 60/20 probs on that watch... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 considering it's off already not sure how much location matters. plus it seems to be focusing in on the first line... i think (it's slower on the model) Yes it is definitely focusing on the first line and it is a couple hours too slow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Yes it is definitely focusing on the first line and it is a couple hours too slow.Odds of a wedge on the National Mall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Odds of a wedge on the National Mall? lol I'm all wedged out man. We better not see any wedges today! I see some signs of rotation in the cells across DE. It is going to be interesting to see how this first line behaves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 10, 2013 Author Share Posted June 10, 2013 Odds of a wedge on the National Mall? I'm not HM but I'll say 0.1421% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 10, 2013 Author Share Posted June 10, 2013 Let's just get this first line out of here so we can soup up the air even more with some sunshine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 77/73 with ESE winds off the river, just need some sunshine and it's GAME ON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 lol I'm all wedged out man. We better not see any wedges today! I see some signs of rotation in the cells across DE. It is going to be interesting to see how this first line behaves. Still not a huge fan of the timing on this first batch but oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Cell SW of Dale City might be worth watching. Having trouble staying discrete but has some of the look. Few other potential wannabe if they hold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Looks like a bit of clearing behind this line. Warm front also is analyzed perpendicular to the National Capital Region. Maybe an interesting storm or two this afternoon in NOVA or far southern MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Still not a huge fan of the timing on this first batch but oh well. Could help to moisten the atmosphere more i.e. make it more soupy... but yeah... wish this line was bout 2 hrs ago coming through Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Still not a huge fan of the timing on this first batch but oh well. Cell SW of Dale City might be worth watching. Having trouble staying discrete but has some of the look. Few other potential wannabe if they hold. Yeah I agree that some cells are getting "the look" down there. The timing may just be the thing that keeps the immediate DC area okay but I'm not good enough to say yes or no. Certainly E MD/VA into DELMARVA looks best at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Yeah I agree that some cells are getting "the look" down there. The timing may just be the thing that keeps the immediate DC area okay but I'm not good enough to say yes or no. Certainly E MD/VA into DELMARVA looks best at the moment.Yeah kinda been favoring east and southeast myself but maybe we'll be OK behind this first batch. Usually that doesn't seem to work out tho ill be optimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Odds of a wedge on the National Mall? finish off the monument. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SabreAce33 Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Watching this carefully here in SBY. Still fairly cool and overcast here, however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Nothing significant ever seems to fire on the eastern shore, which is a shame from a chasing perspective. The terrain is do damn flat and open with fields its about as good as you can get around here for chasing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AllWeather Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 The CIA would like a word with you. Prism is listening. finish off the monument. Pretty solid environment building for you guys. These showers west of D.C might crap in your cornflakes, but the western shore of the Chesapeake into the Eastern Shore should do okay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Everyone over here so we don't clog the "General" severe wx thread. http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/40485-june-10-14-severe-wx-obs-radar-warnings-dmg-rpts/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SabreAce33 Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Nothing significant ever seems to fire on the eastern shore, which is a shame from a chasing perspective. The terrain is do damn flat and open with fields its about as good as you can get around here for chasing. The bay tends to kill a lot of the momentum quite often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Tornado Watch: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0293.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Sun peeking through in Oakton post-showers, definitely feeling sticky out @ 79/75 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 10, 2013 Share Posted June 10, 2013 plz move current threat talk here: http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/40485-june-10-14-severe-wx-obs-radar-warnings-dmg-rpts/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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