snowfan Posted April 19, 2013 Share Posted April 19, 2013 c'mon, a watch is not necessary. This is silly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 19, 2013 Share Posted April 19, 2013 c'mon, a watch is not necessary. This is silly. Perhaps, but why is that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 19, 2013 Share Posted April 19, 2013 still havent looked much but brief check.. kinda yawn. maybe c va. cya. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted April 19, 2013 Share Posted April 19, 2013 Definitely not seeing it for today guys. I'll write a little something up in a few if time permits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted April 19, 2013 Share Posted April 19, 2013 Cloud deck is breaking somewhat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted April 19, 2013 Share Posted April 19, 2013 they issue watches for showers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted April 19, 2013 Share Posted April 19, 2013 they issue watches for showers? Apparently. Stay vigilant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 19, 2013 Share Posted April 19, 2013 TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 130 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 200 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2013 TORNADO WATCH 130 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS NCC001-003-007-025-035-037-045-051-057-059-063-067-069-071-077- 081-085-093-097-101-105-109-119-123-125-135-145-151-153-155-159- 165-167-179-181-183-185-200100- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0130.130419T1800Z-130420T0100Z/ NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALAMANCE ALEXANDER ANSON CABARRUS CATAWBA CHATHAM CLEVELAND CUMBERLAND DAVIDSON DAVIE DURHAM FORSYTH FRANKLIN GASTON GRANVILLE GUILFORD HARNETT HOKE IREDELL JOHNSTON LEE LINCOLN MECKLENBURG MONTGOMERY MOORE ORANGE PERSON RANDOLPH RICHMOND ROBESON ROWAN SCOTLAND STANLY UNION VANCE WAKE WARREN $$ TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 130 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 200 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2013 TORNADO WATCH 130 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS SCC001-007-021-023-025-031-033-039-041-045-047-055-057-059-061- 067-069-071-083-087-089-091-200100- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0130.130419T1800Z-130420T0100Z/ SC . SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ABBEVILLE ANDERSON CHEROKEE CHESTER CHESTERFIELD DARLINGTON DILLON FAIRFIELD FLORENCE GREENVILLE GREENWOOD KERSHAW LANCASTER LAURENS LEE MARION MARLBORO NEWBERRY SPARTANBURG UNION WILLIAMSBURG YORK $$ ATTN...WFO...GSP...ILM...CAE...RAH... TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 130 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 200 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2013 TORNADO WATCH 130 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS GAC105-147-200100- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0130.130419T1800Z-130420T0100Z/ GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ELBERT HART Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderman Posted April 19, 2013 Share Posted April 19, 2013 There is some support for it ... not an enormous amount, but some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted April 19, 2013 Share Posted April 19, 2013 Significant Tornado Ingredient parameter for 5 p.m. this afternoon: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted April 19, 2013 Share Posted April 19, 2013 lol we wont be seeing tornadoes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted April 19, 2013 Share Posted April 19, 2013 Rotating showers with low LCL's.. We've got the shear, the moisture, the lifting mechanism, just little/no instability. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted April 19, 2013 Author Share Posted April 19, 2013 lol we wont be seeing tornadoes Maybe one spinup in the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 19, 2013 Share Posted April 19, 2013 12z SPC WRF was quite bullish with storm development a few hours from now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted April 19, 2013 Share Posted April 19, 2013 12z SPC WRF was quite bullish with storm development a few hours from now That won't be happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderman Posted April 19, 2013 Share Posted April 19, 2013 12z SPC WRF was quite bullish with storm development a few hours from now NSSL-WRF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 19, 2013 Share Posted April 19, 2013 TOR WATCH out until 10 PM... hail to 1 inch winds to 70 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted April 19, 2013 Share Posted April 19, 2013 Red box from Mason-Dixon south: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0131.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted April 19, 2013 Share Posted April 19, 2013 lol we wont be seeing tornadoes I think you could say that in Oklahoma City on a high risk day / PDS tornado watch and be correct most of the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted April 19, 2013 Share Posted April 19, 2013 Tornado Watch graphic: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 19, 2013 Share Posted April 19, 2013 40/20 in the tor probs in the watch DISCUSSION...TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY EAST OF THE HIGH TERRAIN THIS AFTERNOON AS REGION IS INFLUENCED BY A MIDLEVEL JET STREAK LIFTING POLEWARD THROUGH THE TN VALLEY. WHILE MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE POOR...DAYTIME HEATING COUPLED WITH BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW TO MID 60S WILL YIELD MLCAPE VALUES OF 500-1000 J/KG. THIS INSTABILITY WILL ALIGN WITH A STRONGLY SHEARED KINEMATIC ENVIRONMENT WHICH WILL PROMOTE ORGANIZED STORM MODES...INCLUDING SUPERCELL AND LEWP STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND A FEW TORNADOES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted April 19, 2013 Share Posted April 19, 2013 Maybe one spinup in the area Oh I do not doubt a few warnings will be issued, but I would be very surprised if anything comes them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderman Posted April 19, 2013 Share Posted April 19, 2013 Along the VA/NC border ... these are the kinds of spin-ups that we will be watching for in Virginia today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted April 19, 2013 Share Posted April 19, 2013 Along the VA/NC border ... these are the kinds of spin-ups that we will be watching for in Virginia today. Capture.JPG I just noticed this on GRAE as well. If it stays on its current track, it'll be moving just to my east and I can easily get to it. Probably some nice cloud motion with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderman Posted April 19, 2013 Share Posted April 19, 2013 I just noticed this on GRAE as well. If it stays on its current track, it'll be moving just to my east and I can easily get to it. Probably some nice cloud motion with it. Another area north of that one now ... anyone who thinks this is definitely not going to verify in VA is nuts IMO. It may bust, but I don't see it as a "it's definitely going to bust" situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted April 19, 2013 Share Posted April 19, 2013 Another area north of that one now ... anyone who thinks this is definitely not going to verify in VA is nuts IMO. It may bust, but I don't see it as a "it's definitely going to bust" situation. Some damaging winds are definitely a possibility, but the tornado threat does look marginal. This isn't a situation where you see widespread tornadoes, but given the amount of shear aloft, there could be a few weak spin-ups. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderman Posted April 19, 2013 Share Posted April 19, 2013 Some damaging winds are definitely a possibility, but the tornado threat does look marginal. This isn't a situation where you see widespread tornadoes, but given the amount of shear aloft, there could be a few weak spin-ups. Yup. Which is exactly what the 40/20 probs would suggest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 19, 2013 Share Posted April 19, 2013 Another area north of that one now ... anyone who thinks this is definitely not going to verify in VA is nuts IMO. It may bust, but I don't see it as a "it's definitely going to bust" situation.C Va looks ok. DC area on northern edge maybe tho LWX also over warns so maybe 20 warnings. The sig tor ingredients are useless these days since they messed with how it's created. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 19, 2013 Share Posted April 19, 2013 Tornadoes are like the terrorists of weather. Generally way overhyped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderman Posted April 19, 2013 Share Posted April 19, 2013 C Va looks ok. DC area on northern edge maybe tho LWX also over warns so maybe 20 warnings. The sig tor ingredients are useless these days since they messed with how it's created. yeah those things can be deceiving. If that sig tor ingredients product was the only word there would a gazillion high risk days haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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