2013 Mid-Atlantic Severe General Discussion

[Mrs.J]

Closing in on 3" for the event in Frederick.  I'm starting to see water seepage into my basement through a crack...this is new territory for me.

Yep going off of yesterday and overnights total well over 3" rainfall. And may I just say... I hate wind! Did not get a good night sleep once it started.

[aldie 22]

From what I can tell my local station had about 2.81" of rain....very impressive totals for back here. Goose creek is a mess and is expected to crest at 17.1' and 12' is flood stage. Rt 15 is sure to be closed... I got caught down there during Sandy...pretty frightening scene with the water that high

[H2O]

2.44" rain

[Bob Chill]

2.44" rain

More rain in one night than snow all season. Impressive.

[mattie g]

My wife apparently woke me up at around 12:30 and said "It's pretty bad out," to which I replied "OK."

 

I don't remember it at all...

[Bob Chill]

Click on the lwx nexrad site and them click the #200 on the left side of the screen. Very cool

 

http://weather.cod.edu/buildmap/nexrad_build.php

[clueless]

Wind woke me up around 3. Apparently others around here up as well. All the usual spots are flooded in Loudoun. That was very impressive rain event. Can we scrounge up some winter now?

[MN Transplant]

Click on the lwx nexrad site and them click the #200 on the left side of the screen. Very cool

 

http://weather.cod.edu/buildmap/nexrad_build.php

 

Nice loop.  You can see when the surface front finally passes, hitting 95 at about 4am.

[snowdude]

congrats on your bust

Ian, did you apologize yet?

Not a major severe weather outbreak in DC but definitely what I was expecting. Very strong winds and rain woke me up several times last night, power outages, flooding rains, tornado watch, severe t-storm warnings, hence the "main event" like I said. Granted the highest gust in DC was close to 40 but still we had some impressive lines roll through overnight with rain and wind. But to your credit you're right they weren't all 'severe' necessarily.

I wasn't trying to say models are never wrong yesterday but with such strong winds aloft and every model showing a strong line of storms moving through at night, you can't just ignore it because it rained earlier in the day. Moving on to winter now

[ThreeRedheads]

IAD reporting 2" of rain yesterday.

 

Max gust in W. Fx is 39.

[SlowerLowerDE]

Only .7 inches of rain here in southern Delaware.  We are often the dry spot.  The wind blew the plastic off my little tunnel house that I grow winter salad greens in.  It was tightly clamp on but if the wind can get under it, it will work loose.  Thankfully it was wrapped around the fence and didn't blow away.

[Ian]

Ian, did you apologize yet?

Not a major severe weather outbreak in DC but definitely what I was expecting. Very strong winds and rain woke me up several times last night, power outages, flooding rains, tornado watch, severe t-storm warnings, hence the "main event" like I said. Granted the highest gust in DC was close to 40 but still we had some impressive lines roll through overnight with rain and wind. But to your credit you're right they weren't all 'severe' necessarily.

I wasn't trying to say models are never wrong yesterday but with such strong winds aloft and every model showing a strong line of storms moving through at night, you can't just ignore it because it rained earlier in the day. Moving on to winter now

Where were the big storms? Getting a failed tor watch and svr warning we didn't need doesn't mean much. I didn't say it wasn't going to rain overnight. Good luck with your winter lol.

[usedtobe]

Was there any lightning?  tornadoes?  I think most of us expected high winds.  I'm not sure the event deserved a widespread tornado watch   Were' there any gusts reported that supported severe? Lots of rain does not equate with severe.  I don't see any tree damage around here. 

[Ian]

Was there any lightning?  tornadoes?  I think most of us expected high winds.  I'm not sure the event deserved a widespread tornado watch   Were' there any gusts reported that supported severe? Lots of rain does not equate with severe.  I don't see any tree damage around here. 

The initial band tricked me a bit. I thought it would roll in more than it did.. but otherwise the event was pretty much as I thought it would be... other than rain overperfoming. I did sorta apologize for being a jerk earlier in the thread.. but I tend to be a jerk sometimes.

[usedtobe]

The initial band tricked me a bit. I thought it would roll in more than it did.. but otherwise the event was pretty much as I thought it would be... other than rain overperfoming. I did sorta apologize for being a jerk earlier in the thread.. but I tend to be a jerk sometimes.

 

I suspect that I'll made people mad later today when I post my next article unless the GFS surprises me. 

[Sparky]

wow! My storm total is 3.96". That must be some kind of record.

[midatlanticweather]

I suspect that I'll made people mad later today when I post my next article unless the GFS surprises me. 

The voice of reality - Delivering the tough message is hard! We know the news, just no one wants to believe or accept it!

[Kmlwx]

There is a lot of flooding out there as streams and creeks crest. 

[WVclimo]

At work in Frederick today, but guess I'll have a little bit of work to do when I get home.  Wife sent this:

 

[Subtropics]

What are the general thoughts on this upcoming severe season? I wouldn't mind another derecho!

[Kmlwx]

What are the general thoughts on this upcoming severe season? I wouldn't mind another derecho!

 

There were some early thoughts on page 1. 

[Bob Chill]

There were some early thoughts on page 1.

Many folks here nowadays are averse to intellectual thought and your response will not incite any meaningful action.

[Subtropics]

There were some early thoughts on page 1. 

Thank you!

[Ian]

I think spring will come eventually.

[Kmlwx]

I think spring will come eventually.

 

Maybe not. Supervolcano eruption? 

[Bob Chill]

Some pretty sick footage coming out of Hattiesburg tonight. Severe is awesome and all but I'll be damned if I'm gonna root for one of those in my yard. Eek

[Ian]

moving from other thread..

Another streak. Luv me some lame a** s*****y streaks.

How do you analyze severe? I need to know in 45 days.

often want a nice 500 vort/low to pass to w/ nw.. up thru eastern lakes. sfc feature thru wv/even up the eastern spine of the apps, etc. probably more important early season and for tor. in summer--decent winds aloft plus a good lee trough will do it. if the drought takes over again i think we'll probably end up somewhere on or near the ring of fire like we were last year. the continued interest of stuff going to our northwest also might mean we can stay in more active times. but who knows maybe we'll flip to all coastals as we hit april.

[Bob Chill]

Makes a lot of sense Ian. Appreciate the setup features. I'll follow a bit this year and see if I can figure it out. Gotta get through the rainy noreasters first though. 50 and bands of heavy rain is much better than 38 and light rain. Crawl walk run

[Ian]

the 18z gfs has sort of a hint of something in la la land. there has seemed to be some hints of spring in the lr but the winter single still dominates. SE VA into Carolinas maybe.

Near RIC right on the nose of 60F dews

lol -- if only we did what snow weenies did and looked at 264 often.

[Midlo Snow Maker]

Sweet day 11 maps of popcorn thunderstorms season starting early