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2013 Mid-Atlantic Severe General Discussion

Kmlwx

By Kmlwx,
in Mid Atlantic

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Ian

Ian

Posted
Posted
  On 1/31/2013 at 1:37 AM, Ellinwood said:

We will rebuild!

The "storms" certainly didn't bring the more widespread strong to severe winds I thought they were going to have, but there were some spotty gusts of 40-50 mph in the region. NoVA's got a handful of wind damage reports at the moment. Certainly a bust IMBY. Oh well... it happens.

Less wrong than NWS. Less right than me. ;)
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Ian

Ian

Posted
Posted
  On 1/31/2013 at 1:44 AM, BTRWeather said:
Everyone was all excited about the big winds off the sfc but the models had it ahead of the convection for the most part. If we had instability the story could have been much different,
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aldie 22

aldie 22

Posted
Posted
  On 1/31/2013 at 1:45 AM, Ian said:
Everyone was all excited about the big winds off the sfc but the models had it ahead of the convection for the most part. If we had instability the story could have been much different,

If it were 31 degrees it would have been a different story too.....lol...ok I'm done...go get em next time! :)

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RIC_WX

RIC_WX

Posted
Posted
  On 1/31/2013 at 1:37 AM, leesburg 04 said:

I will say this...i don't recall many times in summer or whenever that we get 1.50"+ out here...impressive rainstorm for sure

 

Heaviest precip event since Sandy.  I suppose this is enough to bring us close to normal or slightly above for the month in precip.

 

Really had all kinds of wx in the past week here...cold, mild and now wet.  Maybe it will snow in March.

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PhineasC

PhineasC

Posted
Posted
  On 1/31/2013 at 1:51 AM, RIC_WX said:

Heaviest precip event since Sandy.  I suppose this is enough to bring us close to normal or slightly above for the month in precip.

 

Really had all kinds of wx in the past week here...cold, mild and now wet.  Maybe it will snow in March.

warm/wet

cold/dry

 

The forecast remains in play.

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Ian

Ian

Posted
Posted
  On 1/31/2013 at 1:53 AM, PhineasC said:

Another day, another bust. DC busts on everything but heat and drought. On those two things we always overperform.

not sure this was really a bust... strong winds above the ground dont necessarily mean big event
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TUweathermanDD

TUweathermanDD

Posted
Posted
  On 1/31/2013 at 1:54 AM, Ian said:

not sure this was really a bust... strong winds above the ground dont necessarily mean big event

Correct, especially without a great mixing mechanism. We have fast low levels a lot and that hasn't always meant a big wind episode. Some nice rains overall though. Now to track the 1" snow potential for Friday. 

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Ian

Ian

Posted
Posted
  On 1/31/2013 at 2:06 AM, Ellinwood said:

Good lapse rates and westerly winds behind the front... sounding suggests gusts up to 40 kts are possible in DC tomorrow afternoon.

 

attachicon.gif20130130_NAMsoundingDC.png

yeah i went with gusts to 40mph+ in pm update earlier.

iad sounding tonight has an inversion.. was it too contaminated or can we assume that across the area? rap has it to some degree as well.

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yoda

yoda

Posted
Posted
  On 1/31/2013 at 2:15 AM, MN Transplant said:

HRRR still has the upper level support enhancing a line of heavier rain shortly after midnight.

LWX say TOR watch will remain till later due to 2nd area of enhanced echoes in W VA/ NW NC, therefore threat is not over and that surface CF is still way back in KY/OH
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Ian

Ian

Posted
Posted
  On 1/31/2013 at 2:17 AM, yoda said:

LWX say TOR watch will remain till later due to 2nd area of enhanced echoes in W VA/ NW NC, therefore threat is not over and that surface CF is still way back in KY/OH

lol
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mappy

mappy

Posted
Posted
  On 1/31/2013 at 2:12 AM, swimmatte said:

LOL....who wrote cwg's latest FB update?  "Please be extremely careful driving tonight and remember not to drive across a flooded roadway. Turn around, don't drown."

Turn around, don't drown is actually from the NWS so idiots don't drive through flooded roadways

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BTRWx

BTRWx

Posted
Posted
  On 1/31/2013 at 2:17 AM, yoda said:

LWX say TOR watch will remain till later due to 2nd area of enhanced echoes in W VA/ NW NC, therefore threat is not over and that surface CF is still way back in KY/OH

As far as I know they aren't responsible for tornado watches, so the forecast offices would have no choice but to follow the SPC.

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Ian

Ian

Posted
Posted
  On 1/31/2013 at 2:27 AM, BTRWeather said:

As far as I know they aren't responsible for tornado watches, so the forecast offices would have no choice but to follow the SPC.

spc probably has ultimate authority but they definitely discuss it with the offices
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Ellinwood

Ellinwood

Posted
Posted
  On 1/31/2013 at 2:27 AM, BTRWeather said:

As far as I know they aren't responsible for tornado watches, so the forecast offices would have no choice but to follow the SPC.

There is collaboration between the SPC and the NWS, but SPC gets the final call and issues the watches.

EDIT: Ninja'd by Ian :P

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