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Jan 25th Winter Weather Observations


WilkesboroDude

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http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0048.html

 

Mesoscale Discussion 48 < Previous MD mcd0048.gif
      MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0048   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK   1143 AM CST FRI JAN 25 2013      AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF CNTRL NORTH CAROLINA      CONCERNING...FREEZING RAIN       VALID 251743Z - 252145Z      SUMMARY...A 2-4 HOUR PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN APPEARS POSSIBLE ACROSS   THE NORTH CAROLINA PIEDMONT...COMMENCING BY AROUND 20-21Z...WHICH   COULD SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACT THE EVENING RUSH HOUR ACROSS THE   CHARLOTTE...WINSTON-SALEM...FAYETTEVILLE AND RALEIGH-DURHAM   METROPOLITAN AREAS.      DISCUSSION...AS A VIGOROUS SHORT WAVE TROUGH CONTINUES TO DIG ACROSS   THE GREAT LAKES REGION...AND AN ASSOCIATED MID-LEVEL SPEED MAXIMUM   APPROACHES THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS...STRENGTHENING OF WEST   SOUTHWESTERLY 850 FLOW IS NOW UNDERWAY TO THE LEE OF THE SOUTHERN   APPALACHIANS...ACROSS NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND WESTERN SOUTH CAROLINA.    MODELS INDICATE FURTHER STRENGTHENING OF THIS LOW-LEVEL JET /TO   55-65 KT/ IS POSSIBLE THROUGH 21-22Z...WITH THE JET CORE ELONGATING   EAST NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE NORTH CAROLINA PIEDMONT.  THIS LIKELY   WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LOWER/MID TROPOSPHERIC WARMING AND   BROAD...STRENGTHENING LARGE-SCALE ASCENT...ABOVE A LINGERING   SUB-FREEZING SURFACE-BASED AIR MASS.  AS THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES   SATURATE...A MIX OF PRECIPITATION TYPES IS POSSIBLE INITIALLY...BUT   WARMING ALOFT IS EXPECTED TO BE SUFFICIENT FOR A CHANGEOVER TO   MAINLY FREEZING RAIN.  SIZABLE SURFACE TEMPERATURE-DEW POINT SPREADS   MAY ALSO HINDER PRECIPITATION RATES INITIALLY...BUT EVAPORATIVE   COOLING WILL PROBABLY MAINTAIN SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 20S.    WITH GUIDANCE SUGGESTIVE OF PRECIPITATION RATES UP TO AROUND .10   INCH PER HOUR...SIGNIFICANT ICING APPEARS POSSIBLE ON VEGETATION...   POWER LINES AND MOST UNTREATED ROAD SURFACES.      ..KERR.. 01/25/2013         ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...GSP...
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Large batch of precip is knocking on my door.  Looks like this will be the event for MBY.  Temp is nice and cold at 25.3 with a DP of 15.  I expect the temp to drop a degree or two when the precip finally gets here.

 

I've tried multiple times today to get my snow blower working but the whole thing is froze over.  That's what I get for leaving it outside.

 

reporting from South side of Dahlonega, in N GA.  wow thanks for that update!  I had stopped watching the radar cause it looked like it was  drying up.  yes looks like our event.  I've got a glaze on the deck and car from sleet this morning, temp at 25 degrees.  any guess at how much qpf is in that band?  looks like roads ok right now, but another .2 would seem to create some problems on the roads imby, imo. 

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reporting from South side of Dahlonega, in N GA.  wow thanks for that update!  I had stopped watching the radar cause it looked like it was  drying up.  yes looks like our event.  I've got a glaze on the deck and car from sleet this morning, temp at 25 degrees.  any guess at how much qpf is in that band?  looks like roads ok right now, but another .2 would seem to create some problems on the roads imby, imo. 

 

Freezing rain has started back up on my end of town.  Like you I have a light glaze from that .01" that fell earlier today.  If we ended up with .10" I would actually be surprised.  The precip is moving very fast and looks like it might be out of here in quick fashion.

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http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0048.html

 

Mesoscale Discussion 48 < Previous MD mcd0048.gif

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0048

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

1143 AM CST FRI JAN 25 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF CNTRL NORTH CAROLINA

CONCERNING...FREEZING RAIN

VALID 251743Z - 252145Z

SUMMARY...A 2-4 HOUR PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN APPEARS POSSIBLE ACROSS

THE NORTH CAROLINA PIEDMONT...COMMENCING BY AROUND 20-21Z...WHICH

COULD SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACT THE EVENING RUSH HOUR ACROSS THE

CHARLOTTE...WINSTON-SALEM...FAYETTEVILLE AND RALEIGH-DURHAM

METROPOLITAN AREAS.

DISCUSSION...AS A VIGOROUS SHORT WAVE TROUGH CONTINUES TO DIG ACROSS

THE GREAT LAKES REGION...AND AN ASSOCIATED MID-LEVEL SPEED MAXIMUM

APPROACHES THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS...STRENGTHENING OF WEST

SOUTHWESTERLY 850 FLOW IS NOW UNDERWAY TO THE LEE OF THE SOUTHERN

APPALACHIANS...ACROSS NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND WESTERN SOUTH CAROLINA.

MODELS INDICATE FURTHER STRENGTHENING OF THIS LOW-LEVEL JET /TO

55-65 KT/ IS POSSIBLE THROUGH 21-22Z...WITH THE JET CORE ELONGATING

EAST NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE NORTH CAROLINA PIEDMONT. THIS LIKELY

WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LOWER/MID TROPOSPHERIC WARMING AND

BROAD...STRENGTHENING LARGE-SCALE ASCENT...ABOVE A LINGERING

SUB-FREEZING SURFACE-BASED AIR MASS. AS THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES

SATURATE...A MIX OF PRECIPITATION TYPES IS POSSIBLE INITIALLY...BUT

WARMING ALOFT IS EXPECTED TO BE SUFFICIENT FOR A CHANGEOVER TO

MAINLY FREEZING RAIN. SIZABLE SURFACE TEMPERATURE-DEW POINT SPREADS

MAY ALSO HINDER PRECIPITATION RATES INITIALLY...BUT EVAPORATIVE

COOLING WILL PROBABLY MAINTAIN SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 20S.

WITH GUIDANCE SUGGESTIVE OF PRECIPITATION RATES UP TO AROUND .10

INCH PER HOUR...SIGNIFICANT ICING APPEARS POSSIBLE ON VEGETATION...

POWER LINES AND MOST UNTREATED ROAD SURFACES.

..KERR.. 01/25/2013

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...GSP...

 

We may see an ice storm warning. Close.

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Small lull in activity right now. Good, my station had 3 crashes in a row with that last round of sleet- had to cut one patient out with the jaws! Be careful out there if you must travel!  Roads slick and 25.9F

My daughter is an EMT on duty in Randolph. She drives an ambulance. I've seen her try to drive in snow. I'd hate to be a patient today.

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