Ji Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Mods this time don't delete Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 25, 2013 Author Share Posted January 25, 2013 euro really likes it...gfs kind of likes it Does euro get precip to us. Southern people seem really excited Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 25, 2013 Author Share Posted January 25, 2013 Just saw it...historic hit for Carolina's...we get hit but heartbreaker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 25, 2013 Author Share Posted January 25, 2013 Looks like it just misses a phase that would give mid Atlantic a KU but very moist southern stream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 25, 2013 Author Share Posted January 25, 2013 Euro 240 is dc hole again. Hilarious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 25, 2013 Author Share Posted January 25, 2013 There is no way a 1003 low in NW Louisiana would miss us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 This is the first threat period (first week of Feb.) that I have really been interested in so far this winter. The mjo propagation, changing GLAAM, and straosphere state look to align favorably. The Euro threat may actually have legs (although the Euro gave 20 inches of snow to Boston earlier this week and promptly took it back). There may be suppression concerns during that time frame(seems to be an ongoing theme this winter), but I'm definitely interested---I'll even drive the bus. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Euro 240 is dc hole again. Hilarious GFS has 2 systems once the cold returns and both split the northern and southern streams and leave us stuck in between like today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 There is no way a 1003 low in NW Louisiana would miss us Yeah there is. We've seen that happen for a few years now. If I were in the Carolinas, I would be pumped over how this is setting up in the 10-day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 No way a storm comes through on Jan 32. Or Feb 0 for that matter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 here's day 7 off the Euro site; the storm comes day 7.75 the concern I have is that it's a southern stream vort and you know what happened to us last time, but this one is much stronger and if it come that far north this time, we will be happy http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/charts/medium/deterministic/msl_uv850_z500!Geopotential%20500%20hPa%20and%20Temperature%20at%20850%20hPa!168!North%20America!pop!od!oper!public_plots!2013012500!!/ EDIT: oh yeah, better interaction with northern stream that helps, though not a total phase Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Yeah there is. We've seen that happen for a few years now. If I were in the Carolinas, I would be pumped over how this is setting up in the 10-day. Pumped over a 10 day? The way the euro performed with this storm, I'd be nervous if I were in the sweet spot now. Ignore the GFS at your own risk. It's been pretty good. Having said that, I have no idea what either one show. I'm exhausted from the long range threats. BTW, I thought this was coming on Jan 33. ???????????? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 25, 2013 Author Share Posted January 25, 2013 6z GFS has no cold and 3 rainstorms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Pumped over a 10 day? The way the euro performed with this storm, I'd be nervous if I were in the sweet spot now. Ignore the GFS at your own risk. It's been pretty good. Having said that, I have no idea what either one show. I'm exhausted from the long range threats. BTW, I thought this was coming on Jan 33. ???????????? Pumped in the Carolinas? Sure! They are the new snow capital of the eastern seaboard...it just wants to snow there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Benchmark Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 DT just jinxed it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 6z GFS has no cold and 3 rainstorms It also has us in the mid 60's next Wednesday and Raleigh in the 70's. GFS has advertised 60's to end the month of January for awhile now, I remember posting about it probably last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Benchmark, you can't post maps that have a pay wall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VABILLUPS1 Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Wow! Only a week out and we certainly have seen the Euro lock in on these big dogs at that time frame. Can we really get two historic events in 3 seasons in SE VA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Wow! Only a week out and we certainly have seen the Euro lock in on these big dogs at that time frame. Can we really get two historic events in 3 seasons in SE VA? Unfortunately this has n trend written all over it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Benchmark, you can't post maps that have a pay wall Dont be that guy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Benchmark, you can't post maps that have a pay wall They are from DT's Facebook page. Don't know the rules on indirect dissemination. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 They are from DT's Facebook page. Don't know the rules on indirect dissemination. They are the same as indirect insemination. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 They are the same as indirect insemination. We are due for a N trend. Didnt Zwyts pick out this time period earlier this year? Or was it later? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 They are the same as indirect insemination. l.o.lllllll Took me a minute (running on limited sleep) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Wow! Only a week out and we certainly have seen the Euro lock in on these big dogs at that time frame. Can we really get two historic events in 3 seasons in SE VA? What have you had so far that is historic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 We are due for a N trend. Didnt Zwyts pick out this time period earlier this year? Or was it later? Earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 The ens mean pattern for feb1-7 is a pretty good one for having a window for snow chances. I don't know about the JI storm but do like the week as giving us chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 The ens mean pattern for feb1-7 is a pretty good one for having a window for snow chances. I don't know about the JI storm but do like the week as giving us chances. Wes, this is the most bullish you've been all year. I know you aren't saying snow. Just a better chance. And I agree. The cold reload looks much better for us in the mid latitudes and NE as well. I have a feeling the nao is going to help this time. There are hints being dropped. Even the weaker solutions put the area of higher heights on the west side of gl. Long ways to go but it's do or die time for the next 4 weeks. I'm tired of dying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 I am optimistic until models come on board. Then i will be ultra skeptical, not a plan more of an observation of what i typically do. 2006 maybe a good analog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 I am optimistic until models come on board. Then i will be ultra skeptical, not a plan more of an observation of what i typically do. 2006 maybe a good analog. I'll take that in a heartbeat as long as it doesn't melt away the next minute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.