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January 25-26 Flurries Part II


Mr Torchey

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SREFs give the FU to SNE and cut any probs in SNE aside from the Berks.

 

Hoping to get a coating, but wouldn't be surprised if it's just a couple flurries that sublimate before I wake up lol.

 

One of those deals where the SREFs were wrong all year when they buried us, right the one time they shafted us and everything else gave us snow. 

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Man, I was right about the radar coming out of the lower lakes. It looks great and the obs match it...tons of 1/2 SN to even a couple 1/4 +SN obs over Ohio right now.

 

Too bad it can't stay intact through our region. Would be a nice high end advisory event probably.

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Man, I was right about the radar coming out of the lower lakes. It looks great and the obs match it...tons of 1/2 SN to even a couple 1/4 +SN obs over Ohio right now.

 

Too bad it can't stay intact through our region. Would be a nice high end advisory event probably.

 

Yeah, but I was given a loop of that radar - and just that loop - I wouldn't be all that jazzed.  You can see the echoes getting eaten up as they push into PA... plus, the overall trajectory of the precip shield is twd the ESE.

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Yeah, but I was given a loop of that radar - and just that loop - I wouldn't be all that jazzed.  You can see the echoes getting eaten up as they push into PA... plus, the overall trajectory of the precip shield is twd the ESE.

 

 

Yeah you can tell it doesn't have the downstream ridging like normally would happen in one of these little redevelopers. If you saw that stuff rotating NE or ENE, you would probably even think warning event for SNE, but of course, not to be in this one.

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Yeah the NAM simulated radar shows a nice area of 20 dbz coming into the southern tier of NY late afternoon, but it rapidly dissipates on approach after that.

Man, I was right about the radar coming out of the lower lakes. It looks great and the obs match it...tons of 1/2 SN to even a couple 1/4 +SN obs over Ohio right now.

 

Too bad it can't stay intact through our region. Would be a nice high end advisory event probably.

 

 

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Yeah the NAM simulated radar shows a nice area of 20 dbz coming into the southern tier of NY late afternoon, but it rapidly dissipates on approach after that.

 

Yep, sadly pretty well modeled all along that it'd be a dying area of precip as it moved into NE.  Probably doesn't even make it here to eastern MA, may have to hope for stuff from the south.

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Yep, sadly pretty well modeled all along that it'd be a dying area of precip as it moved into NE.  Probably doesn't even make it here to eastern MA, may have to hope for stuff from the south.

 

One of those system that look great on radar until the northern extent of the precip field vaporizes as it moves east

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P

I know NOAA has to stay within specific ranges so D-2 wouldn't work, but I otherwise agree with this map. Maybe Kev and some of the high areas out west squeeze out a little more?

I think most areas south of the Pike will tickle an inch out of this. Even with .07 that should easily be an inch. But I don't see 2 inches
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