Ericjcrash Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 the differece is, that one actually has a chance Fair, but why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Gfs says merry Christmas,HOHOHO How many hundreds of miles will this one trend east ? Thats been the trend BUT if the models totally screwed up this weekends storm ( still a chance) and the final verification is a hit for I -95 this is something to consider Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 honestly, im not sure if any of you feel the same. You give me a 8 inch plus snowstorm starting christmas eve ending christmas night im set for the rest of the winter. That would probably be the most memorable christmas's in my eyes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 How many hundreds of miles will this one trend east ? Thats been the trend BUT if the models totally screwed up this weekends storm ( still a chance) and the final verification is a hit for I -95 this is something to consider the thing with this is, its a west to east moving storm, the formation off the coast helps. We get snow regardless of the coastal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 honestly, im not sure if any of you feel the same. You give me a 8 inch plus snowstorm starting christmas eve ending christmas night im set for the rest of the winter. That would probably be the most memorable christmas's in my eyes. exactly - who wants to be snowbound with a MECS on christmas day ? Oh wait about 90 % of us -lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 exactly - who wants to be snowbound with a MECS on christmas day ? Oh wait about 90 % of us -lol Half my family is terrified of driving in rain or at night....a snow event would certainly sabotage our celebration...we got lucky in 2002 since none of the horrible driving crew had to travel as we had the holiday at one of their houses...if it was at my house as usual I think most of them would have been spending the night since the event occurred late enough that none of them would have canceled out before they got there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Half my family is terrified of driving in rain or at night....a snow event would certainly sabotage our celebration...we got lucky in 2002 since none of the horrible driving crew had to travel as we had the holiday at one of their houses...if it was at my house as usual I think most of them would have been spending the night since the event occurred late enough that none of them would have canceled out before they got there. Females or male? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcwx Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 lol this is for the christmas storm snow depth Great! I'll be heading to western Wyoming in a few weeks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 honestly, im not sure if any of you feel the same. You give me a 8 inch plus snowstorm starting christmas eve ending christmas night im set for the rest of the winter. That would probably be the most memorable christmas's in my eyes. Exactly. I would easily forgot this "December 19th disaster". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 A few Ensemble members are pretty interesting... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 the thing with this is, its a west to east moving storm, the formation off the coast helps. We get snow regardless of the coastal. Ive said this before-- weve seen a sharp decline in strong bowling ball systems that move directly west to east across the country (say from cali to virginia) and exit off the delmarva...... I remember seeing quite a few of these in the 80s and 90s but not any in the 00s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Ive said this before-- weve seen a sharp decline in strong bowling ball systems that move directly west to east across the country (say from cali to virginia) and exit off the delmarva...... I remember seeing quite a few of these in the 80s and 90s but not any in the 00s. January 22nd, 2005 That was technically a "clipper on steroids", but it dove down really early, and still basically traversed across most of the country. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 January 22nd, 2005 thats right! I keep forgetting that one lol. It was fascinating to see that storm going right across the country, dropping snow in Chicago, Milwaukee, Detroit, Cleveland and then hitting us with a nice offshore redevelopment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 thats right! I keep forgetting that one lol. It was fascinating to see that storm going right across the country, dropping snow in Chicago, Milwaukee, Detroit, Cleveland and then hitting us with a nice offshore redevelopment. In its own right, 12/30/00 was not that much different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 I agree 100%.......I'd be content with that and nothing else the rest of the winter......especially given climo in a strong Nina is about as bad as you can expect. honestly, im not sure if any of you feel the same. You give me a 8 inch plus snowstorm starting christmas eve ending christmas night im set for the rest of the winter. That would probably be the most memorable christmas's in my eyes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 thats right! I keep forgetting that one lol. It was fascinating to see that storm going right across the country, dropping snow in Chicago, Milwaukee, Detroit, Cleveland and then hitting us with a nice offshore redevelopment. Bowling Balls are more typical in El Nino patterns because of the amplified subtropical jet; that being set, we have not seen a classic bowling ball storm since January 2005, in retrospect, February 2003 was also a bowling ball storm; since it dropped snow all over the midwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 In its own right, 12/30/00 was not that much different. Yeah, back then these were being called "super clippers" It's what makes me wonder if we could get one of those this season, since we have a clipper showing up on the modeling. However, like Chris said, theyre likely more energized in el ninos (although 00-01 was a mod la nina if I'm not mistaken?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Bowling Balls are more typical in El Nino patterns because of the amplified subtropical jet; that being set, we have not seen a classic bowling ball storm since January 2005, in retrospect, February 2003 was also a bowling ball storm; since it dropped snow all over the midwest. Was 2/5/01 a bowling ball system? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Bowling Balls are more typical in El Nino patterns because of the amplified subtropical jet; that being set, we have not seen a classic bowling ball storm since January 2005, in retrospect, February 2003 was also a bowling ball storm; since it dropped snow all over the midwest. Bowling ball or super clipper-- whatever name they go by, are pretty exciting, because everyone gets in on the action! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 I have a feeling the models will come back west enough to get us all interested tonight, only to back off again tomorrow at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
_AR_ Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 I have a feeling the models will come back west enough to get us all interested tonight, only to back off again tomorrow at 12z. Haha. That would be one hell of a mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 I have a feeling the models will come back west enough to get us all interested tonight, only to back off again tomorrow at 12z. I can't see it but thats exactly why it'll probably happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 The 21z SREFs should be revealing, I must see them as soon as possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 The 21z SREFs should be revealing, I must see them as soon as possible. Oh, they will reveal something, a 'zonk'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 I can't see it but thats exactly why it'll probably happen. Im just glad Ray didnt waste his money on this mess lol. Hopefully we get something for xmas and he can enjoy that with his family. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Im just glad Ray didnt waste his money on this mess lol. Hopefully we get something for xmas and he can enjoy that with his family. Raymond will be pleasantly surprised and will enjoy adding another MECS to his wonderful archive of snowstorms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yorkpa25 Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 When do the srefs come out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 When do the srefs come out? Raleigh's model page says they come out just before 10 PM, maybe earlier on NCEP, someone should know... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yorkpa25 Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Well nam is out in abot 30 mins, if that's no good I def am moving on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Raleigh's model page says they come out just before 10 PM, maybe earlier on NCEP, someone should know... I believe they usually are out shortly after the 00Z NAM ends so 10pm is pretty close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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