bluewave Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Maybe if we get lucky enough we could see a norlun trough extend back to the coast with some snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 If we get measurable precip into Tenn and West Va tomorrow I might pay attention. With the 18z NAM a hair sharper there's still a little room to get coastal sections involved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 If we get measurable precip into Tenn and West Va tomorrow I might pay attention. With the 18z NAM a hair sharper there's still a little room to get coastal sections involved. Check that. It was only the lead impulse that was slightly sharper. This helps initially with SLP and QPF westward placement, but ultimately the result is slightly flatter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 That's called grasping at straws. He doesn't live in the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 If we get measurable precip into Tenn and West Va tomorrow I might pay attention. With the 18z NAM a hair sharper there's still a little room to get coastal sections involved. She's Gone sub 1000 at 54 of Jersey shore, A hair better then 12Z, but its to far gone east and maybe a dollar short come tomorrow. Would'nt take much to get at least a couple. Then there is the NY Giants rule, it never snows when the Giants play at home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 She's Gone sub 1000 at 54 of Jersey shore, A hair better then 12Z, but its to far gone east and maybe a dollar short come tomorrow. Would'nt take much to get at least a couple. Then there is the NY Giants rule, it never snows when the Giants play at home. is that true?..has it ever snowed at a Giant home game..I remember one..Giant Viking playoff game in Dec 1997..more slush than anything else..it has snowed at Jets home games Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lady Di Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 No worries, Eagles will win anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 No worries, Eagles will win anyway. go troll elsewhere, here is not the place. Talk about a clusterf**k of events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 18Z NAM still odd with its development of the coastal low with some apparent convective issues, I wouldn't trust any solution it shows now that deviates significantly from what its been showing....the only reason this event still concerns me slightly is the NAM having these convective feedback issues, the resolution is lower on the other models overall so it would be less apparent if they are having the same problem..as a result still a 10-15% chance or so we could see some sort of 11th hour change on this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 go troll elsewhere, here is not the place. Talk about a clusterf**k of events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 is that true?..has it ever snowed at a Giant home game..I remember one..Giant Viking playoff game in Dec 1997..more slush than anything else..it has snowed at Jets home games I said earlier in the week that because they were playing at home it would not happen...there was a great chance for a major snow event 2-3 seasons ago for a Giants/Eagles Sunday night game, I think that game was in Philly but it wound up tracking well offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 18z GFS coming up soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 18Z RGEM in lockstep with the 18Z NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Someone tell The Weather Channel it will not snow in the Northeast this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Someone tell The Weather Channel it will not snow in the Northeast this weekend. There to busy hyping this thing up as the next march 93 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Mt. Holly completely removed the mention of snow back home. Good call... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeNJWx Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 All day I heard people talking about the "Big snow" coming this Sunday, turned on the radio (Atlantic City station), and they said it too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Diego Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 It looks like Upton for the most part, has written off this event. ...MORE THAN LIKELY...THE REGION WILL BE DRY SUNDAY-MONDAY AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS DOWN FROM HUDSON BAY AND A COASTAL LOW PASSES WELL TO THE SOUTH AND EAST. THE LOW LIKELY WILL TAKE THIS TRACK...BECAUSE THE LA-NINA DRIVEN FAST PACIFIC FLOW WILL TAKE THE INITIAL LOW TO FAR OFFSHORE...BEFORE THE SECOND SHORTWAVE...WHICH REACHES THE COAST IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE POLAR VORTEX DIVING BACK SOUTH INTO THE GREAT LAKES...DOES NOT INTERACT WITH THE STORM UNTIL IT IS WELL OUT TO SEA. AS NOTED EARLIER...THIS IDEA IS SUPPORTED BY ALL OPERATIONAL MODELS...AND MOST OF THEIR ASSOCIATED ENSEMBLE MEMBERS. HOWEVER...AS NOTED ABOVE...WITH ENSEMBLES STILL SUGGESTING A SMALL POTENTIAL FOR MEASURABLE SNOW...AND NOT WANTING TO GO TO A TOTALLY DRY FORECAST IN ONE CYCLE...HAVE OPTED TO SIGNIFICANTLY TONE DOWN THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...EXPECTING THAT FUTURE SHIFTS WILL LIKELY GO TO A DRY FORECAST... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Mt. Holly completely removed the mention of snow back home. Good call... Upton also lowered the chances of snow for Sunday down to 30%.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 18z GFS moves slightly west - snow right on the coast now!!! http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/images/gfs_p06_048m.gif Rossi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whiteoutwx1796 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 18z GFS moves slightly west - snow right on the coast now!!! http://www.nco.ncep....fs_p06_048m.gif Rossi ?????????????? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjvesnow Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 18z GFS moves slightly west - snow right on the coast now!!! http://www.nco.ncep....fs_p06_048m.gif Rossi Still off by 300-400 miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ARyan Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 18z GFS moves slightly west - snow right on the coast now!!! http://www.nco.ncep....fs_p06_048m.gif Rossi Yep. The 18z GFS had a considerable stronger jet streaker which allowed the trough the dig more than the 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 18z GFS moves slightly west - snow right on the coast now!!! http://www.nco.ncep....fs_p06_048m.gif Rossi It's a complete miss and misses LI/New England . Onto the clippers next week before we get to a warmer pattern after the new year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On to the next event, I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 This storm was a prime example how nearly every met. is a model hugger like the rest of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 If there was no Gulf shortwaves(s), we'd be in much better shape. You can just see how it destroys any hope for our storm becoming dominant and coming up here. Robs it like a bandit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 It's a complete miss and misses LI/New England . Onto the clippers next week before we get to a warmer pattern after the new year. But the through was much sharper in the 18z. Last chance at 00z. Both the NAM and the GFS are different from their 12z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Very subtle changes on the gfs. The polar vortex retrogrades more nw, and the trough is a tad sharper, along with a stronger low. However we are in the time period where the models only make sligh changes, and we pretty much have an agreement that we are not in the game for snow anymore..And this run completely shafts NE as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjvesnow Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 If there was no Gulf shortwaves(s), we'd be in much better shape. You can just see how it destroys any hope for our storm becoming dominant and coming up here. Robs it like a bandit. It really does seem SO close though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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