Collegestudent11 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 10:36 PM, SnowGoose69 said: This could be the last shot for this area for awhile...need to capatilize like this one....like December 2000 we have a chance for a last second save. Was it quite similar to this one? I do not remember it that well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 10:31 PM, tombo82685 said: fyi christmas storm is a raging snowstorm for the area 1-1.5 feet on this run lol de ja vu queue Bing Crosby ...where tree tops glisten and chil...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Well, here is the new pill for all of us. At least we have something to track again, lol. On 12/17/2010 at 10:35 PM, tombo82685 said: start tracking it.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 10:36 PM, SnowGoose69 said: This could be the last shot for this area for awhile...need to capatilize like this one....like December 2000 we have a chance for a last second save. I agree the next ten days - we have the cold all we need is the storm.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 10:37 PM, Collegestudent11 said: Was it quite similar to this one? I do not remember it that well. It was a typical La Nina December, brutally cold but just no action with storms...the storm track was overall much more busy nationwide than it has been this December....Chicago had several storms, but most systems track too far NW for NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Another great fantasy GFS Christmas storm. Well at least last year that one didn't pan out for us so that could be in our favor. Perhaps the laws of probibility may kick in and gives us a bone every now and then? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlurker Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 10:31 PM, tombo82685 said: fyi christmas storm is a raging snowstorm for the area 1-1.5 feet on this run lol And the Lord sayeth that we shall be buried...good ol GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feb Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 10:38 PM, SACRUS said: de ja vu queue Bing Crosby ...where tree tops glisten and chil...... Weenies listen. To hear, Tombo give updates on the Euro to see if it's going to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Do i see a ridge out west? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Collegestudent11 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 10:39 PM, SnowGoose69 said: It was a typical La Nina December, brutally cold but just no action with storms...the storm track was overall much more busy nationwide than it has been this December....Chicago had several storms, but most systems track too far NW for NYC. The clipper for next week, or not really a clipper, it looks like it comes in from the PAC N/W, seems quite strong. We have to see if the mountains reduce the strength of the s/w, and whether it can go further south and redevelop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 10:32 PM, Collegestudent11 said: Again, slighty off topic, however, i noticed there are a few Rutgers students here. Are you meteorology majors? Yes sir. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I didn't even realize someone had already started a thread on the Christmas threat already, I have been in this thread all day! lol, god I need to get a life. On 12/17/2010 at 10:36 PM, Rtd208 said: I say we start a new thread now just for the Christmas storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 10:34 PM, Ericjcrash said: Oh no! here we go again. oh come on!! it's only 192 hours out!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 10:41 PM, Feb said: Weenies listen. To hear, Tombo give updates on the Euro to see if it's going to snow. 12z euro is cold and dry christmas eve,day and the whole weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
_AR_ Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 10:46 PM, patrick05 said: oh come on!! it's only 192 hours out!! 192 more hours of pressing F5 on americanwx and models pages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 10:42 PM, Collegestudent11 said: The clipper for next week, or not really a clipper, it looks like it comes in from the PAC N/W, seems quite strong. We have to see if the mountains reduce the strength of the s/w, and whether it can go further south and redevelop. With that offshore gyre, that storm will dampen out and probably end up south of where it is forecasted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 10:50 PM, _AR_ said: 192 more hours of pressing F5 on americanwx and models pages. tech its 177 hours but whos counting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 we do have one thing going for us, ray wouldn't solely be flying back here for the storm he would be here in general to be with family, thats an added boost right there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 This thread has probably outlived its usefulness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 10:07 PM, Ericjcrash said: But the through was much sharper in the 18z. Last chance at 00z. Both the NAM and the GFS are different from their 12z runs. You're right, the last chance was at 0Z.. last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 One of the major keys to this forecast is to watch the pacific loop http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/nepac/loop-wv.html storm still moving south southwest - if it doesn't start moving east tomorrow - amplified pattern east of there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 10:57 PM, famartin said: You're right, the last chance was at 0Z.. last night will be watching the radar and WV loops. Fixed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 10:59 PM, NEG NAO said: One of the major keys to this forecast is to watch the pacific loop http://www.ssd.noaa....ac/loop-wv.html storm still moving south southwest - if it doesn't start moving east tomorrow - amplified pattern east of there Yep, surely something to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Collegestudent11 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Before the thread goes to far, i did see someone from Rutgers post. It is nice to see fellow Rutgers students here online, and New Jersey college students as a whole. Best of luck on those finals, as they are this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 18z GFS ensemble mean looks a touch west of 12z with the SLP track and QPF. EMa probably still has a prayer and a few members likely brush the tri-state. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Gfs says merry Christmas,HOHOHO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I know everyone is down from last night; however we must recall this fact that we are in a mod-strong La Nina, which really is not ideal. I see many people commenting on the "La Nina this, La Nina that", given the historic blocking which seemed to have slowed the effects somewhat. But here's the thing, it is the ENSO STRENGTH of the Nina. You really cannot blame the Nina has a WHOLE. A Weak Nina would have been very good this year given history (1966-1967 and 1995-1996) because it has a BETTER southern stream than we have now. Before you blame the Nina itself, its a whole other subset of factors also. Therefore, I fully believe once it declines (March most likely, since the 1955-1956 analog slowly fits the bill). we will get the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 10:31 PM, tombo82685 said: fyi christmas storm is a raging snowstorm for the area 1-1.5 feet on this run lol as i said at 12z, that 168hr map was the best we have seen all yr....lets see if the EC agrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 On 12/17/2010 at 10:34 PM, Ericjcrash said: Oh no! here we go again. the differece is, that one actually has a chance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 lol this is for the christmas storm snow depth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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