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1/23-24 clipper


Ian

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LOL I guess I am just old school. Maybe this is why people here freak out over a coating of snow and other places its barely noticed. Business as usual.

 

Again, 100 car pileup in northern Ohio a few days ago, in a similar squall type situation. And they do get snow more than we do. This kind of view always strikes me as full of needless bravado. What does an advisory harm? If it causes people to slow down a bit and fewer accidents, good. And if it ends up not being needed, who's hurt by its issuance?

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Again, 100 car pileup in northern Ohio a few days ago, in a similar squall type situation. And they do get snow more than we do. This kind of view always strikes me as full of needless bravado. What does an advisory harm? If it causes people to slow down a bit and fewer accidents, good. And if it ends up not being needed, who's hurt by its issuance?

 

The point of issuing advisories is not to look tough...it's to warn the public. So I agree with you - issue the advisory!

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Again, 100 car pileup in northern Ohio a few days ago, in a similar squall type situation. And they do get snow more than we do. This kind of view always strikes me as full of needless bravado. What does an advisory harm? If it causes people to slow down a bit and fewer accidents, good. And if it ends up not being needed, who's hurt by its issuance?

No advisory should be necessary for that. Common sense says to drive cautiously in poor weather, including rain and fog. But point taken.

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No advisory should be necessary for that. Common sense says to drive cautiously in poor weather, including rain and fog. But point taken.

 

Common sense driving in dc-balt corridor? You must live on the eastern shore or something....just kiddin around, I know where greensboro is. eastern shore livin is peaceful. 

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Common sense driving in dc-balt corridor? You must live on the eastern shore or something....just kiddin around, I know where greensboro is. eastern shore livin is peaceful. 

Haha yeah!  I lived in Baltimore and Westminster. And I drive over there alot so I do know what its like

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Haha yeah!  I lived in Baltimore and Westminster. And I drive over there alot so I do know what its like

The DMV is filled with dipsticks who have never driven or very little experience driving in snow. If a WWA can get a few people to slow down then it might help.

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‎6PM update. Final call for clipper tonight. 

Bust potential is high so low-medium confidence probabilities.

This is for DC proper and immediate burbs. South and east of DC will probably do better.

No Snow - 25%

Very Light Snow or Flurries - Will blow around or perhaps give us a dusting. No ruler needed. - 25%

Slightly more than a dusting but less than 1" - 30%

1" or greater - 20%

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with a radar signature like this, which I have never seen before, I am not at all optimistic I see a flake

if I do, great, but I ain't expecting much

 

http://beta.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?region=default

 

Nah, you'll see some mitch. Flurries are already reported in pit, elkins, and charleston. Most of the southern half of ohio has flurries of light snow. We'll get into some lift with the vort passing so close. I do think the obvious winner will be somewhere south of dc though. Hopefully wes' house. He's gotten the shaft more than.....i better watch my mouth...

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I notice your pic has the 18z run. The HRR link I use is only updated through the 17 run. You gotta love a model called rapid refresh that hasn't updated since noon.

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I notice your pic has the 18z run. The HRR link I use is only updated through the 17 run. You gotta love a model called rapid refresh that hasn't updated since noon.

yea! This link shows the run titled "alternative", whatever that means? You would think all models would be alternative to another.

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It is depressing (though expected) to see these little bird farts. Figures since I have a Jeep that would make easy sailing of even the 2009/2010 season. I may drive a tad, just to see if there is anything worth photographic, but with heavy work being done on the house to get ready to sell....I haven't exactly been excited for small snow amounts.

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with a radar signature like this, which I have never seen before, I am not at all optimistic I see a flake

if I do, great, but I ain't expecting much

 

http://beta.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?region=default

 

Yup. Looks like a full nothing up this way. Maybe DC catches some of that, the fun looks to be just south of there. 

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You can see on the radar its aiming south of this area. 

 

South was always favored but as the vort approaches, radar is going to have a much different trajectory for extrapolation. Until then though...contrats ezf! Hopefully...god willing....we can extrapolate the goods into our back yard before we need toothpicks for our eyelids...lol

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You can see on the radar its aiming south of this area. 

not saying not to worry per se but look at nam sim radar and it looks pretty similar. stuff is supposed to break out east of the mtns.
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