North Balti Zen Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 LOL I guess I am just old school. Maybe this is why people here freak out over a coating of snow and other places its barely noticed. Business as usual. Again, 100 car pileup in northern Ohio a few days ago, in a similar squall type situation. And they do get snow more than we do. This kind of view always strikes me as full of needless bravado. What does an advisory harm? If it causes people to slow down a bit and fewer accidents, good. And if it ends up not being needed, who's hurt by its issuance? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Again, 100 car pileup in northern Ohio a few days ago, in a similar squall type situation. And they do get snow more than we do. This kind of view always strikes me as full of needless bravado. What does an advisory harm? If it causes people to slow down a bit and fewer accidents, good. And if it ends up not being needed, who's hurt by its issuance? The point of issuing advisories is not to look tough...it's to warn the public. So I agree with you - issue the advisory! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 As pathetic as its been, this alone is a welcome sight... forecast.jpg By seeing that forecast, you would think we lived in a snowy location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Can confirm that at my location too, a few flakes drifting in the wind in last 5-10 minutes. DP has rose from -8.2 to +4.0 in last hour. 25.6 degrees. Well, so much for that. Nothing now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Again, 100 car pileup in northern Ohio a few days ago, in a similar squall type situation. And they do get snow more than we do. This kind of view always strikes me as full of needless bravado. What does an advisory harm? If it causes people to slow down a bit and fewer accidents, good. And if it ends up not being needed, who's hurt by its issuance? No advisory should be necessary for that. Common sense says to drive cautiously in poor weather, including rain and fog. But point taken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 No advisory should be necessary for that. Common sense says to drive cautiously in poor weather, including rain and fog. But point taken. Common sense driving in dc-balt corridor? You must live on the eastern shore or something....just kiddin around, I know where greensboro is. eastern shore livin is peaceful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Common sense driving in dc-balt corridor? You must live on the eastern shore or something....just kiddin around, I know where greensboro is. eastern shore livin is peaceful. Haha yeah! I lived in Baltimore and Westminster. And I drive over there alot so I do know what its like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Haha yeah! I lived in Baltimore and Westminster. And I drive over there alot so I do know what its like The DMV is filled with dipsticks who have never driven or very little experience driving in snow. If a WWA can get a few people to slow down then it might help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 21z RAP has decent h7 over us at 9pm tonight and is pretty much gone by 6 am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Calvert/Charles/St Marys/King George in VA got bumped up to 1-3 in latest WWA... DC region remains same Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Calvert/Charles/St Marys/King George in VA got bumped up to 1-3 in latest WWA... DC region remains same The met in the nipple of Calvert County must be getting excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 RAP is already looking worse for north of DC...huge bust potential for DC north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 RAP is already looking worse for north of DC...huge bust potential for DC north Ugh. Well not like I was expecting much anyway. Hopefully a few flakes will fall at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 They should begin closing schools in the next few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 6PM update. Final call for clipper tonight. Bust potential is high so low-medium confidence probabilities.This is for DC proper and immediate burbs. South and east of DC will probably do better.No Snow - 25%Very Light Snow or Flurries - Will blow around or perhaps give us a dusting. No ruler needed. - 25%Slightly more than a dusting but less than 1" - 30%1" or greater - 20% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 The DMV is filled with dipsticks who have never driven or very little experience driving in snow. If a WWA can get a few people to slow down then it might help. Problem is it makes people slow to a crawl - while in the passing lane of course - even though conditions don't warrant it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 with a radar signature like this, which I have never seen before, I am not at all optimistic I see a flake if I do, great, but I ain't expecting much http://beta.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?region=default Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 RAP is already looking worse for north of DC...huge bust potential for DC north and then there's the HRRR with its own idea: http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/displayMapLocalDiskDateDomain.cgi?keys=hrrr_dev1:&runtime=2013012318&plot_type=1ref_sfc&fcst=11&time_inc=60&num_times=16&model=hrrr&ptitle=HRRR%20Model%20Fields%20-%20Experimental&maxFcstLen=15&fcstStrLen=-1&domain=full&adtfn=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2013 Author Share Posted January 23, 2013 Pre event meltdowns Check Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 with a radar signature like this, which I have never seen before, I am not at all optimistic I see a flake if I do, great, but I ain't expecting much http://beta.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?region=default Nah, you'll see some mitch. Flurries are already reported in pit, elkins, and charleston. Most of the southern half of ohio has flurries of light snow. We'll get into some lift with the vort passing so close. I do think the obvious winner will be somewhere south of dc though. Hopefully wes' house. He's gotten the shaft more than.....i better watch my mouth... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 and then there's the HRRR with its own idea: http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/displayMapLocalDiskDateDomain.cgi?keys=hrrr_dev1:&runtime=2013012318&plot_type=1ref_sfc&fcst=11&time_inc=60&num_times=16&model=hrrr&ptitle=HRRR%20Model%20Fields%20-%20Experimental&maxFcstLen=15&fcstStrLen=-1&domain=full&adtfn=1 I notice your pic has the 18z run. The HRR link I use is only updated through the 17 run. You gotta love a model called rapid refresh that hasn't updated since noon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 I notice your pic has the 18z run. The HRR link I use is only updated through the 17 run. You gotta love a model called rapid refresh that hasn't updated since noon. yea! This link shows the run titled "alternative", whatever that means? You would think all models would be alternative to another. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormitecture Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 It is depressing (though expected) to see these little bird farts. Figures since I have a Jeep that would make easy sailing of even the 2009/2010 season. I may drive a tad, just to see if there is anything worth photographic, but with heavy work being done on the house to get ready to sell....I haven't exactly been excited for small snow amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 RAP is already looking worse for north of DC...huge bust potential for DC north You can see on the radar its aiming south of this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 with a radar signature like this, which I have never seen before, I am not at all optimistic I see a flake if I do, great, but I ain't expecting much http://beta.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?region=default Yup. Looks like a full nothing up this way. Maybe DC catches some of that, the fun looks to be just south of there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 You can see on the radar its aiming south of this area. South was always favored but as the vort approaches, radar is going to have a much different trajectory for extrapolation. Until then though...contrats ezf! Hopefully...god willing....we can extrapolate the goods into our back yard before we need toothpicks for our eyelids...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 You can see on the radar its aiming south of this area. I am honestly not trying to be a weenie, but the snow shield could expand east of the mountains. A lot of clippers do that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2013 Author Share Posted January 23, 2013 You can see on the radar its aiming south of this area. not saying not to worry per se but look at nam sim radar and it looks pretty similar. stuff is supposed to break out east of the mtns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2013 Author Share Posted January 23, 2013 I am honestly not trying to be a weenie, but the snow shield could expand east of the mountains. A lot of clippers do that.beat me to it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Hope you all are right, I would, of course, like to wake up to a little something, but have been onboard with any surprises being south of DC and that looks to be unfolding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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