Kmlwx Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 RAP is already looking worse for north of DC...huge bust potential for DC north Ugh. Well not like I was expecting much anyway. Hopefully a few flakes will fall at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 They should begin closing schools in the next few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 The DMV is filled with dipsticks who have never driven or very little experience driving in snow. If a WWA can get a few people to slow down then it might help. Problem is it makes people slow to a crawl - while in the passing lane of course - even though conditions don't warrant it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 with a radar signature like this, which I have never seen before, I am not at all optimistic I see a flake if I do, great, but I ain't expecting much http://beta.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?region=default Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 RAP is already looking worse for north of DC...huge bust potential for DC north and then there's the HRRR with its own idea: http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/displayMapLocalDiskDateDomain.cgi?keys=hrrr_dev1:&runtime=2013012318&plot_type=1ref_sfc&fcst=11&time_inc=60&num_times=16&model=hrrr&ptitle=HRRR%20Model%20Fields%20-%20Experimental&maxFcstLen=15&fcstStrLen=-1&domain=full&adtfn=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2013 Author Share Posted January 23, 2013 Pre event meltdowns Check Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 with a radar signature like this, which I have never seen before, I am not at all optimistic I see a flake if I do, great, but I ain't expecting much http://beta.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?region=default Nah, you'll see some mitch. Flurries are already reported in pit, elkins, and charleston. Most of the southern half of ohio has flurries of light snow. We'll get into some lift with the vort passing so close. I do think the obvious winner will be somewhere south of dc though. Hopefully wes' house. He's gotten the shaft more than.....i better watch my mouth... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 and then there's the HRRR with its own idea: http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/displayMapLocalDiskDateDomain.cgi?keys=hrrr_dev1:&runtime=2013012318&plot_type=1ref_sfc&fcst=11&time_inc=60&num_times=16&model=hrrr&ptitle=HRRR%20Model%20Fields%20-%20Experimental&maxFcstLen=15&fcstStrLen=-1&domain=full&adtfn=1 I notice your pic has the 18z run. The HRR link I use is only updated through the 17 run. You gotta love a model called rapid refresh that hasn't updated since noon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 I notice your pic has the 18z run. The HRR link I use is only updated through the 17 run. You gotta love a model called rapid refresh that hasn't updated since noon. yea! This link shows the run titled "alternative", whatever that means? You would think all models would be alternative to another. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormitecture Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 It is depressing (though expected) to see these little bird farts. Figures since I have a Jeep that would make easy sailing of even the 2009/2010 season. I may drive a tad, just to see if there is anything worth photographic, but with heavy work being done on the house to get ready to sell....I haven't exactly been excited for small snow amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 RAP is already looking worse for north of DC...huge bust potential for DC north You can see on the radar its aiming south of this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 with a radar signature like this, which I have never seen before, I am not at all optimistic I see a flake if I do, great, but I ain't expecting much http://beta.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?region=default Yup. Looks like a full nothing up this way. Maybe DC catches some of that, the fun looks to be just south of there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 You can see on the radar its aiming south of this area. South was always favored but as the vort approaches, radar is going to have a much different trajectory for extrapolation. Until then though...contrats ezf! Hopefully...god willing....we can extrapolate the goods into our back yard before we need toothpicks for our eyelids...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 You can see on the radar its aiming south of this area. I am honestly not trying to be a weenie, but the snow shield could expand east of the mountains. A lot of clippers do that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2013 Author Share Posted January 23, 2013 You can see on the radar its aiming south of this area. not saying not to worry per se but look at nam sim radar and it looks pretty similar. stuff is supposed to break out east of the mtns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2013 Author Share Posted January 23, 2013 I am honestly not trying to be a weenie, but the snow shield could expand east of the mountains. A lot of clippers do that.beat me to it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Hope you all are right, I would, of course, like to wake up to a little something, but have been onboard with any surprises being south of DC and that looks to be unfolding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2013 Author Share Posted January 23, 2013 Hope you all are right, I would, of course, like to wake up to a little something, but have been onboard with any surprises being south of DC and that looks to be unfolding. well ne of baltimore i wouldn't expect a miracle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 not saying not to worry per se but look at nam sim radar and it looks pretty similar. stuff is supposed to break out east of the mtns. The NAM also has some big jumps to live up to in the next few frames. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 some of the echoes in ohio look like they might pivot around here later. i think a period of light snow here is reasonable, but not sure i'm buying an inch. either way, it's cold and it might snow tonight and friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Yup. Looks like a full nothing up this way. Maybe DC catches some of that, the fun looks to be just south of there. I am hoping me being in SE FFX County gives me some love We shall see ovr the next few hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 well ne of baltimore i wouldn't expect a miracle That's kinda my default setting...not expecting a miracle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2013 Author Share Posted January 23, 2013 The NAM also has some big jumps to live up to in the next few frames. We'll see. It's early yet. The RAP et al don't have good enough track records to make me bail. Anyway it's a tiny event so ppl shouldn't assume they'll get a lot to begin with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 We'll see. It's early yet. The RAP et al don't have good enough track records to make me bail. Anyway it's a tiny event so ppl shouldn't assume they'll get a lot to begin with. Not having snow for 700+ days makes everyone freak out over any potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 I am hoping me being in SE FFX County gives me some love We shall see ovr the next few hours hello neighbor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Wait, which RAP are we supposed to be freaked out about? 23z looks fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Wait, which RAP are we supposed to be freaked out about? 23z looks fine. I don't see 23z out yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 I don't see 23z out yet? I don't know why it isn't on the ESRL site. Its on instantweathermaps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 You know, not to play down this clipper, but what happened to real clippers. Dec 2010 style. It missed us to the south, but that's the last decent one I remember. I don't have specifics on others, except feb of 2007. That one gave Beckley, Huntington about 6 inches. That one probably missed this region too ( I didn't live here then ). Where are these anymore? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 I don't know why it isn't on the ESRL site. Its on instantweathermaps.It's on the NCEP siteNow it looks like more than one round, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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