NOVAForecaster Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Since the clipper is moving a little slower on the models, it taps more moisture, which is increasing the snow potential. Wait a minute, what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Since the clipper is moving a little slower on the models, it taps more moisture, which is increasing the snow potential. Ok, that's a little more clearer. I thought you were saying simple due to sunrise, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Since the clipper is moving a little slower on the models, it taps more moisture, which is increasing the snow potential. Taps more moisture from where? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2013 Author Share Posted January 23, 2013 Wait a minute, what? rising sun to the east = more dewpoints, or something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2013 Author Share Posted January 23, 2013 Since the clipper is moving a little slower on the models, it taps more moisture, which is increasing the snow potential. im not sure there's any moisture to tap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 im not sure there's any moisture to tap Well, both lake frank and needwood to my nw are still ice free. Microband! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2013 Author Share Posted January 23, 2013 big time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Poor Chicago, whiff again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jviper Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Where does the term "Clipper" come from? Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Where does the term "Clipper" come from? Thanks. Alberta Clipper - due to the area where the systems originate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 LWX going for "around an inch" in the zones (at least my zone). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Alberta Clipper - due to the area where the systems originate. And the speed at which they travel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Alberta Clipper - due to the area where the systems originate. I think the clipper part of the anme comes from how quickly they typically move. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Let's not forget about the revered Manitoba Mauler either. Scary beyotches those things are...eeek. GGEM puts Ian, me, and Wes in the clipper bullseye. Sorry Mitch. Maybe next time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Let's not forget about the revered Manitoba Mauler either. Scary beyotches those things are...eeek. GGEM puts Ian, me, and Wes in the clipper bullseye. Sorry Mitch. Maybe next time. ggemclip.JPG Looks like I get in on your party too. I guess we shall see! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 And the speed at which they travel. I think the clipper part of the anme comes from how quickly they typically move. Are you really a meteorologist? Come on dude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 WRF-NMM is a lot better. I don't care much about the actual totals, but the fact that it went from nothing to something is a positive sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Are you really a meteorologist? Come on dude. I used to be one. I sure can't find model output as quickly as Bob Chill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
asdfk Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 The name comes from clipper ships...generally small, fast ships...an apt description. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 WRF-NMM is a lot better. I don't care much about the actual totals, but the fact that it went from nothing to something is a positive sign. ptot31.gif getting the high resolution models on board is reassuring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Mike Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Let's not forget about the revered Manitoba Mauler either. Scary beyotches those things are...eeek. GGEM puts Ian, me, and Wes in the clipper bullseye. Sorry Mitch. Maybe next time. ggemclip.JPG Sweet - I'm holding you accountable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Here's the RR. Not relevant for totals, but the placement is encouraging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 The NCEP RAP seems to be consistently showing light snow around the area overnight: http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?model=ruc&area=namer¶m=precip_p01&cycle=16ℑ=ruc%2F16%2Fruc_namer_013_precip_p01.gif But at the same time, the HRRR looks dry: http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/displayMapLocalDiskDateDomain.cgi?keys=hrrr_jet:&runtime=2013012314&plot_type=1ref_sfc&fcst=15&time_inc=60&num_times=16&model=hrrr&ptitle=HRRR%20Model%20Fields%20-%20Experimental&maxFcstLen=15&fcstStrLen=-1&domain=full&adtfn=1 HRRR looks better but also earlier: http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/displayMapLocalDiskDateDomain.cgi?keys=hrrr_jet:&runtime=2013012316&plot_type=1ref_sfc&fcst=10&time_inc=60&num_times=16&model=hrrr&ptitle=HRRR%20Model%20Fields%20-%20Experimental&maxFcstLen=15&fcstStrLen=-1&domain=full&adtfn=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Has this moved to a Thursday morning deal. I have to drive down to SO MD early am and we all know about drivers in this area... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 The NCEP RAP seems to be consistently showing light snow around the area overnight: http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?model=ruc&area=namer¶m=precip_p01&cycle=16ℑ=ruc%2F16%2Fruc_namer_013_precip_p01.gif But at the same time, the HRRR looks dry: http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/displayMapLocalDiskDateDomain.cgi?keys=hrrr_jet:&runtime=2013012314&plot_type=1ref_sfc&fcst=15&time_inc=60&num_times=16&model=hrrr&ptitle=HRRR%20Model%20Fields%20-%20Experimental&maxFcstLen=15&fcstStrLen=-1&domain=full&adtfn=1 I think the rules of thumb this winter are generally: if two similar models disagree, the one that shows less (or no) precipitation is correct. If both show similar precipitation, the warmer one is correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 The RAP looks really nice I'm getting excited that I'll see my first snowcover tonight and thinnk I have better than a 50% chance of seeing an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 That stripe of snow is going to be pretty narrow. Gonna be some pissed off weenies in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 The RAP looks really nice h7 looks decent... some decent omega's and UVV's hrs 13-15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Let's not forget about the revered Manitoba Mauler either. Scary beyotches those things are...eeek. GGEM puts Ian, me, and Wes in the clipper bullseye. Sorry Mitch. Maybe next time. ggemclip.JPG north trend baby, it's been slow be sure since yesterday morning I'm ssw of Baltimore City so I'm in the right spot as far as being in the Balt metro area for this thing p.s. oh yeah, I meant to say at the end "you selfish prck" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 you are in a good spot...I am glad you are excited over an event less than 4" It's kinda like drinking. If you are used to a 12 pack a day, you need at least 6-8 to feel right. If you quit drinking for 2 years, one beast light feels pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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