WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Stoked for my 0.02" of QPF to be virga-fied to overcome the 25F dewpoint depression I'm sporting. Good luck to Wes and points south. The humidity has soared to 42% here in Winchester. Soupy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 ahh, should have looked myself i suppose. probably a sin not to know how march 1999 happened. that's a peculiar way to get a big snowstorm here with the initial 500 low cutting up like that. It was a miracle storm. We were forecasted to get some snow (1-3"ish) but of course it way surpassed forecasts. This is one of the triad of most impressive positive busts in the last 20 yeras-- the other two being 2/16/96 and 1/25/00 (of course). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 24, 2013 Author Share Posted January 24, 2013 Dulles sounding is pretty dry but in the past it seems we can get snow starting around 50% RH. Radar presently looks about as bad as you'd want it to if you thought you had a chance for snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Where's that guy from Orange? Probably virga, but I wish to verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Yes there was. It was pretty good I guess for DC and points south. 1-2" generally. But, 12/07 was probably the best recent one. Everyone hopes for a repeat of 1/5/03 and 1/9/96-- those two are the standards of positive clipper busts in our area. To me, 12/5/07 and 1/5/03 were one in the same, we were expecting 1" or so, ended up with 3-5. The snow came early and heavy in both storms. As bad as 07-08 was, having a few overperforming events really helped make it more bearable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 I see virga in our future.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Of course the the radar could fail to fill in around midnight, but if it were to, at least the change in direction is starting to happen in the last couple of frames. East of the mountains, the virga is orienting now more W-E vs. WNW-ESE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 They kinda have to...its so cold, that if it gets on the roads, they could get icy. As much as I hate to say this, I agree with her. In the long run, if we keep getting advisories for these little dusting events that probably don't materialize most of the time (I don't think it will where I live, yet I'm in a WWA), then people may not take them seriously when we end up with legit 2-4/3-5" snow or small zr events which really can cause nightmares for those caught off guard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 24, 2013 Author Share Posted January 24, 2013 Of course the the radar could fail to fill in around midnight, but if it were to, at least the change in direction is starting to happen in the last couple of frames. East of the mountains, the virga is orienting now more W-E vs. WNW-ESE. There is no reason to leave weenie mode tho Wes is conspicuously absent of late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 This will be an under performer. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 That was a good one also, but there definitely was one on 3/7/07. I think the Frederick area was the big winner with one you remembered. Actually I remember that there was a system that came through on my birthday, 3/17 one year was possibly 07. My parents were "surprising" me and drove down from OH and got caught in it. They showed up and we were out shoveling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 I might be hallucinating but radar seems to be heading in the right direction after looking pretty craptastic not long ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 24, 2013 Author Share Posted January 24, 2013 I might be hallucinating but radar seems to be heading in the right direction after looking pretty craptastic not long ago.The vort is still out near Chicago. It's early.. people love to flip out when radar sucks early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Fizzard at Tilt 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Actually I remember that there was a system that came through on my birthday, 3/17 one year was possibly 07. My parents were "surprising" me and drove down from OH and got caught in it. They showed up and we were out shoveling. Yes it was 07, but that wasn't a clipper. It was a major east coast storm. Most of the far north and west burbs received between 4 and 10 inches. Closer in burbs got 1 to 4. Everyone started out as rain then eventually changed over but some areas got stuck in the transition zone for a longer time and received a mix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoVaWx Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 On radar it seems like there are some flakes reaching the ground out west around front royal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 On radar it seems like there are some flakes reaching the ground out west around front royal. 10pm and flakes should be flying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 The vort is still out near Chicago. It's early.. people love to flip out when radar sucks early. It's really not too bad though, I'm just think about the end result, it certainly wouldn't suck to catch as much of the precip as possible. Unfortunately, it usually doesn't work that way for us though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 On radar it seems like there are some flakes reaching the ground out west around front royal. You cannot tell ground truth based on radar! I'm thinking most of that is still virga. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 So when is the "peak" of this "event"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 0.02" of precip at Elkins in the past couple of hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 There is no reason to leave weenie mode tho Wes is conspicuously absent of late. I was watching TV and hadn't looked at anything. The RAP has trended away from being as good as it looked last time I looked. It's too early to make many judgements based on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 There are very tiny flakes starting to drift around out here. The RAP seems to be conning around. Actually looks pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 I was watching TV and hadn't looked at anything. The RAP has trended away from being as good as it looked last time I looked. It's too early to make many judgements based on radar. The RAP now seems to like the northern areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Latest RAP has it snowing in the DC area tomorrow until atleast 9am. I am in Reston tonight and have to be in DC in the morning, should be interesting around here.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 I hope someone gets an inch...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 I hope someone gets an inch...... I'd like to see this somehow over perform region wide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 24, 2013 Author Share Posted January 24, 2013 Good to hear its reaching ground pretty quick. WinterWxLuvr is right near the edge of the base scan showing snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Good to hear its reaching ground pretty quick. WinterWxLuvr is right near the edge of the base scan showing snow. Prepare for shock and awe with my next prediction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 24, 2013 Author Share Posted January 24, 2013 Prepare for shock and awe with my next predictionim at the edge of my seat.. tho your last few have been horrid -- i blew you up too much prior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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