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1/23-24 clipper


Ian

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ahh, should have looked myself i suppose. :P probably a sin not to know how march 1999 happened. that's a peculiar way to get a big snowstorm here with the initial 500 low cutting up like that.

It was a miracle storm. We were forecasted to get some snow (1-3"ish) but of course it way surpassed forecasts.

This is one of the triad of most impressive positive busts in the last 20 yeras-- the other two being 2/16/96 and 1/25/00 (of course).

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Dulles sounding is pretty dry but in the past it seems we can get snow starting around 50% RH.

Radar presently looks about as bad as you'd want it to if you thought you had a chance for snow.

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Yes there was. It was pretty good I guess for DC and points south. 1-2" generally.

But, 12/07 was probably the best recent one. Everyone hopes for a repeat of 1/5/03 and 1/9/96-- those two are the standards of positive clipper busts in our area.

 

To me, 12/5/07 and 1/5/03 were one in the same, we were expecting 1" or so, ended up with 3-5. The snow came early and heavy in both storms. As bad as 07-08 was, having a few overperforming events really helped make it more bearable.

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They kinda have to...its so cold, that if it gets on the roads, they could get icy.

 

As much as I hate to say this, I agree with her.

 

In the long run, if we keep getting advisories for these little dusting events that probably don't materialize most of the time (I don't think it will where I live, yet I'm in a WWA), then people may not take them seriously when we end up with legit 2-4/3-5" snow or small zr events which really can cause nightmares for those caught off guard.

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Of course the the radar could fail to fill in around midnight, but if it were to, at least the change in direction is starting to happen in the last couple of frames. East of the mountains, the virga is orienting now more W-E vs. WNW-ESE.

There is no reason to leave weenie mode tho Wes is conspicuously absent of late.

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That was a good one also, but there definitely was one on 3/7/07. I think the Frederick area was the big winner with one you remembered.

Actually I remember that there was a system that came through on my birthday, 3/17 one year was possibly 07. My parents were "surprising" me and drove down from OH and got caught in it. They showed up and we were out shoveling.

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I might be hallucinating but radar seems to be heading in the right direction after looking pretty craptastic not long ago.

The vort is still out near Chicago. It's early.. people love to flip out when radar sucks early.
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Actually I remember that there was a system that came through on my birthday, 3/17 one year was possibly 07. My parents were "surprising" me and drove down from OH and got caught in it. They showed up and we were out shoveling.

Yes it was 07, but that wasn't a clipper. It was a major east coast storm. Most of the far north and west burbs received between 4 and 10 inches. Closer in burbs got 1 to 4. Everyone started out as rain then eventually changed over but some areas got stuck in the transition zone for a longer time and received a mix.

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