1/23-24 clipper

[Ian]

Hope you all are right, I would, of course, like to wake up to a little something, but have been onboard with any surprises being south of DC and that looks to be unfolding. 

well ne of baltimore i wouldn't expect a miracle

[BTRWx]

not saying not to worry per se but look at nam sim radar and it looks pretty similar. stuff is supposed to break out east of the mtns.

The NAM also has some big jumps to live up to in the next few frames.

[87storms]

some of the echoes in ohio look like they might pivot around here later. i think a period of light snow here is reasonable, but not sure i'm buying an inch.  either way, it's cold and it might snow tonight and friday.

[yoda]

Yup. Looks like a full nothing up this way. Maybe DC catches some of that, the fun looks to be just south of there.

I am hoping me being in SE FFX County gives me some love

We shall see ovr the next few hours

[North Balti Zen]

well ne of baltimore i wouldn't expect a miracle

 

That's kinda my default setting...not expecting a miracle. 

[Ian]

The NAM also has some big jumps to live up to in the next few frames.

We'll see. It's early yet. The RAP et al don't have good enough track records to make me bail. Anyway it's a tiny event so ppl shouldn't assume they'll get a lot to begin with.

[H2O]

We'll see. It's early yet. The RAP et al don't have good enough track records to make me bail. Anyway it's a tiny event so ppl shouldn't assume they'll get a lot to begin with.

Not having snow for 700+ days makes everyone freak out over any potential.

[BTRWx]

I am hoping me being in SE FFX County gives me some love

We shall see ovr the next few hours

hello neighbor

[MN Transplant]

Wait, which RAP are we supposed to be freaked out about?  23z looks fine.

[yoda]

Wait, which RAP are we supposed to be freaked out about? 23z looks fine.

I don't see 23z out yet?

[MN Transplant]

I don't see 23z out yet?

 

I don't know why it isn't on the ESRL site.  Its on instantweathermaps.

[WinterWxLuvr]

You know, not to play down this clipper, but what happened to real clippers. Dec 2010 style. It missed us to the south, but that's the last decent one I remember. I don't have specifics on others, except feb of 2007. That one gave Beckley, Huntington about 6 inches. That one probably missed this region too ( I didn't live here then ). Where are these anymore?

[WinterWxLuvr]

I don't know why it isn't on the ESRL site. Its on instantweathermaps.

It's on the NCEP site

Now it looks like more than one round, too.

[Ian]

You know, not to play down this clipper, but what happened to real clippers. Dec 2010 style. It missed us to the south, but that's the last decent one I remember. I don't have specifics on others, except feb of 2007. That one gave Beckley, Huntington about 6 inches. That one probably missed this region too ( I didn't live here then ). Where are these anymore?

probably the same place big cold went tho i'd assume most of our clippers are more like this one than the good ones. i havent seen many here.

[BTRWx]

probably the same place big cold went tho i'd assume most of our clippers are more like this one than the good ones. i havent seen many here.

I think they have just been missing the metro region as far as I remember.

[ORH_wxman]

You know, not to play down this clipper, but what happened to real clippers. Dec 2010 style. It missed us to the south, but that's the last decent one I remember. I don't have specifics on others, except feb of 2007. That one gave Beckley, Huntington about 6 inches. That one probably missed this region too ( I didn't live here then ). Where are these anymore?

 

 

Dec 5, 2007 was a pretty good clipper for DC.

 

 

But Ian is right, most clippers aren't very good. If they were, everyone would average a lot more snow.

[ORH_wxman]

Wasn't there a good one on 3/7/07 too?

[WinterWxLuvr]

Wasn't there a good one on 3/7/07 too?

Almost positive that's 2/7/07. That's the one I referenced.

[AvantHiatus]

Wasn't there a good one on 3/7/07 too?

Late season snowstorm? There was a clipper in April of 07 or 08, can't recall the exact time but totals were decent.

[WinterWxLuvr]

Actually, I was wrong. Just checked the unisys maps and it was 2/6/07. Doesn't look like it affected the DC area much. It laid down a good stripe of snow.

[gymengineer]

Wasn't there a good one on 3/7/07 too?

Yes there was. It was pretty good I guess for DC and points south. 1-2" generally.

But, 12/07 was probably the best recent one. Everyone hopes for a repeat of 1/5/03 and 1/9/96-- those two are the standards of positive clipper busts in our area.

[Ian]

Yes there was. It was pretty good I guess for DC and points south. 1-2" generally.

But, 12/07 was probably the best recent one. Everyone hopes for a repeat of 1/5/03 and 1/9/96-- those two are the standards of positive clipper busts in our area.

what was march 99? thought it was a clipper.. or was it a mauler?

[WinterWxLuvr]

Yes there was. It was pretty good I guess for DC and points south. 1-2" generally.

But, 12/07 was probably the best recent one. Everyone hopes for a repeat of 1/5/03 and 1/9/96-- those two are the standards of positive clipper busts in our area.

That Jan of 03 storm looks cool on the unisys maps. Looks like you had a snow event on the third also that came from a southern low. Is that part of your snow memory archive? Those maps only give a little info.

[HighStakes]

Wasn't there a good one on 3/7/07 too?

Yeah, it was pretty decent especially for March. It was also a very cold snow for March. Received about 3. If I remember correctly it moved in a couple hours before the time models had it. Snowed from about 4am to early afternoon. Cold push from the north helped to shrink precip field and move it southward. A couple of very cold nights follwed. Temps were in the mid twenties, but the rates were never that great and sun angle hurt. Would have been easily 4plus if it occurred earlier in the season.

[gymengineer]

what was march 99? thought it was a clipper.. or was it a mauler?

It wasn't a clipper. It was one of those complicated cross-country lows (CA to East Coast) that petered out before getting to the east coast, and we ended up being incredibly fortunate to be in on its last gasp stripe.

I believe it dropped like a foot of snow over Minneapolis.

Here it was the day before:

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

lookin' at the weatherunderground radar methinks the returns are expanding north.

[HighStakes]

Almost positive that's 2/7/07. That's the one I referenced.

That was a good one also, but there definitely was one on 3/7/07. I think the Frederick area was the big winner with one you remembered.

[WxUSAF]

Stoked for my 0.02" of QPF to be virga-fied to overcome the 25F dewpoint depression I'm sporting.  Good luck to Wes and points south. 

[Ian]

It wasn't a clipper. It was one of those complicated cross-country lows (CA to East Coast) that petered out before getting to the east coast, and we ended up being incredibly fortunate to be in on its last gasp stripe.

I believe it dropped like a foot of snow over Minneapolis.

Here it was the day before:

ahh, should have looked myself i suppose. probably a sin not to know how march 1999 happened. that's a peculiar way to get a big snowstorm here with the initial 500 low cutting up like that.

[gymengineer]

That Jan of 03 storm looks cool on the unisys maps. Looks like you had a snow event on the third also that came from a southern low. Is that part of your snow memory archive? Those maps only give a little info.

Yes, it was really an awesome snow blast. We were forecasted to get 1"/1-2", but ended up with 2.5-5" areawide, with some locations reaching almost 6". It started snowing Sunday around mid-day and just dumped for a few hours before ending by mid-afternoon. We got in on the snow well before the center got close to the area-- it was over Ohio still

Here's a better link:

http://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/2003/05-Jan-03-SurfaceMaps.html