Stebo Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 I could dig an ice storm You don't have to drive 40 miles to work on a Sunday Night... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 Pretty big bump northward on the HPC forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 Both the 6z NAM and GFS are indicating about 3-4" of snow here before we switch to ZR. BUFKIT profile showing some decent uvvs and some elevated instability. Assuming that verifies TSSN is not out of the question. Actually, the whole ul setup kind of reminds me of February 8, 2001. That storm, with the help of some CSI banding, dropped up to a foot from northern lower across Toronto to near Syracuse, NY. I am NOT calling for amounts as generous as with that storm but from what I remember the models at the time were not excessive with the QPF output leading up to the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 Winter storm watch posted this morning for LOT. Possible ice accumulation in excess of one quarter inch. Even when air temps rise above freezing mark tomorrow night, how long is it going to take for surfaces to warm considering how cold it's been? Could get ugly for a while.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mogget Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 Winter Storm Watch for Madison from 9 AM Sunday to 6 AM Monday. Ice to .2-.3 in and 1-3 in of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 Woke up to a Winter Storm Watch. Could be the first REAL ice storm since December 11, 2007. Thankfully the winds will be light although power outages will likely occur. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 Ugly weather... Its amazing at how cold its been (*is right now)... that we are going to be dealing with freezing rain/sleet/drizzle... we cant buy snow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 12z NAM much more aggressive with the mid level warming here in comparison to previous runs. Would probably be a quicker transition to PL or ZR. Per sounding, most of the warming is at 850 so the trusty blue line in this case is actually a good snow/mix delineater. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 Ugh. ZR is cool when you're at home with no where to go. Different story when commuting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northern_IN_Wx Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 IMO there is nothing worse than freezing rain...I'll take 33 and rain over this any day. I should have an interesting drive from Lafayette to Warsaw Sunday evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 NAM is going to get stupid with that southern piece of energy (assuming it doesn't just shear out) later in the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 NAM is going to get stupid with that southern piece of energy (assuming it doesn't just shear out) later in the run. And in other news, the sunrise was in the east this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 Ugh. ZR is cool when you're at home with no where to go. Different story when commuting. zr fu.jpg I hear you, I get to drive or should I say crawl to work Sunday Night, and lord knows they won't be salting because they will want to hit rush hour harder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toronto4 Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 12z NAM much more aggressive with the mid level warming here in comparison to previous runs. Would probably be a quicker transition to PL or ZR. Per sounding, most of the warming is at 850 so the trusty blue line in this case is actually a good snow/mix delineater. It looks like 2-3" of snow on the NAM followed by freezing rain and then rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 NAM is going to get stupid with that southern piece of energy (assuming it doesn't just shear out) later in the run. Trending hard to the other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 I hear you, I get to drive or should I say crawl to work Sunday Night, and lord knows they won't be salting because they will want to hit rush hour harder. Honestly, I'd almost be tempted to call in sick or at least wait until the temp rises above freezing. You get zero traction with ZR. Snow tires do nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 Honestly, I'd almost be tempted to call in sick or at least wait until the temp rises above freezing. You get zero traction with ZR. Snow tires do nothing. Yeah, I mean I don't worry about myself driving, it's the other idiots on the roads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 It looks like 2-3" of snow on the NAM followed by freezing rain and then rain. Verbatim, looks like it. I'd still watch out for a bit more snow though via dynamic cooling, assuming this isn't the beginning of significant northward shift in the guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 like expected...this is mostly a rain event for Chicago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 DTX got rid of ice storm watches and warnings a few years ago? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 DTX got rid of ice storm watches and warnings a few years ago? No, they should still have them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 The reddest of rains. 12z RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted January 26, 2013 Author Share Posted January 26, 2013 like expected...this is mostly a rain event for Chicago Not so fast, you're not escaping the freezing rain, though living right along the lake will help limit the ice accretion to be sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 Not so fast, you're not escaping the freezing rain, though living right along the lake will help limit the ice accretion to be sure. I noticed some ice buildup near the shore recently per satellite. This is probably the time of year where lake influence is at a minimum...the highly urban setting and the warmer temps that often come with that could be a bigger factor in this case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 Winter Storm Watch, for the potential ice storm out of this.... possibility of 1/4" of ice.... Yay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 DTX got rid of ice storm watches and warnings a few years ago? http://www.crh.noaa.gov/dtx/wwa_definitions/wsw.php Ice Storm Warning A significant, and possibly damaging, accumulation of ice. Normally a coating of at least 1/4-inch, but may be up to 1/2-inch if winds are less than 15 mph. Freezing Rain or Freezing Drizzle Advisory Situations that cause significant inconveniences, and do not meet warning criteria. If caution is not used, this could lead to life-threatening situations. Ice accumulation causes driving or walking problems, but no damage to trees or power lines Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 Looks like a non-event for LAF. Kudos to the NAM for sniffing out the dryness issues. Again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 The reddest of rains. 12z RGEM. 1:26 12z RGEM 37 hrs.png I really wouldn't mind it coming down south a bit. Obviously I'm not up for a heavy coating of ice (2005), but there's something to be said about seeing a nice glaze on everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 Looks like a non-event for LAF. Kudos to the NAM for sniffing out the dryness issues. Again. over/under on length wintry precip: 90 minutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 over/under on length wintry precip: 90 minutes Easy under. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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