AmericanWxFreak Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 0z GFS coming in colder than previous runs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 GFS now advertising a 1042 high over MN.... Looks really cold this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 4am Friday...northern wave in central MN. Southern wave around Arkansas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 yea i try to learn as much as i can on the side. sometimes, i wish i went back for a grad degree so i knew the what the heck i was looking at. whenever i try to act like i know what i'm talking about i see posts made by actual meteorologists on here and i then crawl back into my hole lol. after living here my whole life, though, i do a decent job sniffing out a potential bust. Hah, well-- the big thing is never take a model output literal. The rest is gravy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 00z GFS looks slower, colder and snowy. Coming in line with Euro. EDIT: Nevermind.. weird run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 GFS has like no low, I mean euro-esque just like crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 GFS has like no low, I mean euro-esque just like crap. Slow, look at 700mb at 78... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Slow, look at 700mb at 78... Yes, except dry, very dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 GFS has like no low, I mean euro-esque just like crap. hopefully just a hiccup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 It's because we made a thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Wow.... Dry run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Just the usual GFS nonsense. Unless the Euro follows. Then it is storm cancel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 <.25 everywhere except lower eastern shore... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 500 vort is a little further north, no? looks like that's causing the drier run...maybe... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 00z GFS looks slower, colder and snowy. Coming in line with Euro. Well, It's better for us-- maybe. Looked like a 2-4 ending as ZR. Haven't seen soundings yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Well considering at the surface the GFS doesn't really have anything like before, it's just ridiculous. Way slower, and h5 doesn't match. The model has been wavering like no other, 6z way south and sooo weak, 12z way north, 18z south of there, 0z 12 hours slower and weaker than a way amped 18z run with the most qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Friday at 18z there's still no precip in the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Quite a bit different than 36hrs ago. No amplification, no second disturbance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Quite a bit different than 36hrs ago. No amplification, no second disturbance. Or six hours ago... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Ouch....DCA gets .14 verbatim..... -4 surface with -1.5 850's during the snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Ouch....DCA gets .14 verbatim..... -4 surface with -1.5 850's during the snowfall. 75-1 ratios? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I am getting a snow shower right now. GFS loses the storm like it always does 4 days out. Pretty confident everyone is going to see frozen on Friday. Finally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Lots of time left. If Euro follows next, then we can mourn this one and move on. We know this winter is squirrely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I am getting a snow shower right now. GFS loses the storm like it always does 4 days out. Pretty confident everyone is going to see frozen on Friday. Finally. Glad to see confidence. This was my big worry, a dried up prune. Maybe it's just a run like 6z was. New data perhaps? Someone mentioned flights? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 next Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 6,12,and 18 were all different with the timing of the shortwave rotating around the the polar ULL. 0z was just another solution of timing. Nothing surprising about this run. Any precip that passes by should be frozen and we should just all be thankful for that at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Glad to see confidence. This was my big worry, a dried up prune. Maybe it's just a run like 6z was. New data perhaps? Someone mentioned flights? See my point to that is its for the NCEP models, and the Euro is not one. And I've read there was ingestion before too. If its that, then crap, but I'd blame it on the GFS really wavering on this one. All models have really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Glad to see confidence. This was my big worry, a dried up prune. Maybe it's just a run like 6z was. New data perhaps? Someone mentioned flights? I know they sent out flights for the past two 00z's but I'm not sure if they did for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I know they sent out flights for the past two 00z's but I'm not sure if they did for this one. They did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 nextwe suck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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