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1/25-1/26 Storm Disco Thread


NOVAForecaster

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While the DC area is still in the crap total qpf, it sure seems that the higher totals are both closer and wetter then previous runs....no?

The last one moistened up a smidge into the end. This isn't a bad run in the grand scheme. Better than it could be.

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Looks like it gives me .10, That's about the same QPF as it spit out over me yesterday.  i'll happily take an inch if it is anywhere near correct. 

the snow was uplifting this morning even a little.. especially when the sun first started coming out. made the cold less annoying. of course by the end of the day im back to how i felt prior but if we could get 1" every day we might be in business.
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Am I the only one that thought the 500's looked like they were trying to improve?  The answer to my question could quite possibly be yes but I'm asking for educational purposes.

Improve how? 

 

http://images.intellicast.com/WxImages/Difax/fax500.gif - current compared to modeled:

 

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/nam/06/nam_namer_000_500_vort_ht.gif  

 

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/nam/00/nam_namer_000_500_vort_ht.gif

 

Swap between the two for some slick forward momentum... :)

 

I do think the system is getting its act together a little more clearly than first thought - but I don't really know if it's going to make a great deal of difference.  At this point any real boost in performance is going to be determined by how much there is left in the rag to ring out once it fights to the coast.

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