swimmatte Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Earlier today people were asking about verification rates.....fwiw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 fwiw, 21z SREFs at the end of the run are pretty darn cold and at hr. 87 (equal to the 0Z NAM's 84 hrs) has the 540 thickness down along the VA/NC border I know, I know, out of their effective range, but consistent with a colder solution of the Euro nonetheless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Not sure if this has been posted but HPC appears to be going way south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Earlier today people were asking about verification rates.....fwiw. Looks like Euro is best? Hard to read Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Not sure if this has been posted but HPC appears to be going way south. Seems strange since it goes against all guidance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Not sure if this has been posted but HPC appears to be going way south. That is only thru 7 p.m. Thursday night, that does not include the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I really hope this storm doesn't speed up and put all the good precip down early am Friday when everyone is asleep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe Vanni Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Not sure if this has been posted but HPC appears to be going way south. I think they're talking about the snow from the minor disturbance which is coming through before our storm which is coming about 24 hours later (Friday 12z and onward). You can see it says valid 00z Thursday - 00z Friday. But this disturbance is helping to reinforce the cold air for our storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 That is only thru 7 p.m. Thursday night, that does not include the storm. Yeah - you have to remember to look at the valid times weathervswife! 00z Friday is 7pm EST Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Not sure if this has been posted but HPC appears to be going way south. Way to early-- our event will be Friday. Is that the clipper? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Way to early-- our event will be Friday. Is that the clipper? Yep, my bad. I wasn't expecting the clipper to bring anything down this way. Thrown off my game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 The 00Z 60hr nam looks likeit is going to track the low farther south than 18Z did for what that is worth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Yep, my bad. I wasn't expecting the clipper to bring anything down this way. Thrown off my game. They are pretty north on the Friday system.. http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/nav_conus_pmsl.php?fday=4&fcolor=wbg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 that's pretty far south with that clipper I like that setting the stage for Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 They are pretty north on the Friday system.. http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/nav_conus_pmsl.php?fday=4&fcolor=wbg Huff, that's like identical 18z operational Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Looks like Euro is best? Hard to read Yes....in this order. 00z Euro Ensembles 00z Euro 12z GFS Ensembles 12z GFS 00z UKMET 00z GFS Ensembles 00z GFS 00z CMC 00z NOGAPS Although I'm not sure why it doesn't include the 12z Euro, 12z UKMET, 12z CMC, 12z NOGAPS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Huff, that's like identical 18z operational I know--and I'm 100 miles south of you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 NAM looking good so far. I would be shocked if it doesn't come south. EDIT: Still north of Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Anyone have a website I could use to view the forecast models? I'm from CT and moved here recently. I used NWS Albany site to view it usually but they had a major hardware malfunction. Guess I'm just curious to see what the NAM is showing QPF wise for my area so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 NAM looking good so far. I would be shocked if it doesn't come south. I have to admit, I haven't looked at a single NAM run for this storm but hr78 looks awfully dry? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Anyone have a website I could use to view the forecast models? I'm from CT and moved here recently. I used NWS Albany site to view it usually but they had a major hardware malfunction. Guess I'm just curious to see what the NAM is showing QPF wise for my area so far Hey, ANOTHER RNK CWA! Welcome-- we have like 7 total and 3 never post. www.twisterdata.com go to allen huffman model page via this website. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I have to admit, I haven't looked at a single NAM run for this storm but hr78 looks awfully dry? Keep going... haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I know--and I'm 100 miles south of you. no, I know, I thought you meant "north" of guidance here's hoping the King Euro wins it for all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Anyone have a website I could use to view the forecast models? I'm from CT and moved here recently. I used NWS Albany site to view it usually but they had a major hardware malfunction. Guess I'm just curious to see what the NAM is showing QPF wise for my area so far http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models.html Huffman page also http://www.wunderground.com/wundermap/?zoom=4&rad=0&wxsn=0&svr=0&cams=0&sat=0&riv=0&mm=1&mm.mdl=GFS&mm.type=SURPRE&mm.hour=0&mm.opa=100&mm.clk=0&hur=0&fire=0&tor=0&ndfd=0&pix=0&dir=0&ads=0&tfk=0&fodors=0&ski=0&ls=0&rad2=0 You'll have to do some digging to find the models on the weatherunderground site though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 The 00Z 60hr nam looks likeit is going to track the low farther south than 18Z did for what that is worth. it's 100 mi SE of 18z.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Anyone have a website I could use to view the forecast models? I'm from CT and moved here recently. I used NWS Albany site to view it usually but they had a major hardware malfunction. Guess I'm just curious to see what the NAM is showing QPF wise for my area so far Instantweathermaps.com is good too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 it's 100 mi SE of 18z.... hr 84 looks good, lots of QPF before the transfer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Keep going... haha Oh wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 hr 84 looks good, lots of QPF before the transfer. TBH , I wouldn't really care if it had a 984MB low over CLE or didnt have the storm at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Thanks guys appreciate all the help Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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