samdman95 Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 33 I thought it was 700+ (at DCA at least) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 LWX gives me 2".........which will stick almost everywhere and affect the evening rush. Why no WWA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Looks like it gives me .10, That's about the same QPF as it spit out over me yesterday. i'll happily take an inch if it is anywhere near correct. the snow was uplifting this morning even a little.. especially when the sun first started coming out. made the cold less annoying. of course by the end of the day im back to how i felt prior but if we could get 1" every day we might be in business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 I thought it was 700+ (at DCA at least) It is.....but he's from leesburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 33 awfully cockey for someone who travels to Columbus on business Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 How many days now without 2+ inches of snow?if you're downwind of a power plant 0 otherwise.. a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RodneyS Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 How many days now without 2+ inches of snow?729 days at DCA since a storm total of at least two inches of snow or a snow of at least one inch on a calendar day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Just ignore me. Had a crap day. I wont post anymore tonight, Wasn't my intent to be harsh. I just think it might be a smidge better than we think. Just a handful of miles further south and most of our precip goes up a bit. Things don't always play out as modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Am I the only one that thought the 500's looked like they were trying to improve? The answer to my question could quite possibly be yes but I'm asking for educational purposes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeminoleSullivan Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Am I the only one that thought the 500's looked like they were trying to improve? The answer to my question could quite possibly be yes but I'm asking for educational purposes. Improve how? http://images.intellicast.com/WxImages/Difax/fax500.gif - current compared to modeled: http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/nam/06/nam_namer_000_500_vort_ht.gif http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/nam/00/nam_namer_000_500_vort_ht.gif Swap between the two for some slick forward momentum... I do think the system is getting its act together a little more clearly than first thought - but I don't really know if it's going to make a great deal of difference. At this point any real boost in performance is going to be determined by how much there is left in the rag to ring out once it fights to the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Am I the only one that thought the 500's looked like they were trying to improve? The answer to my question could quite possibly be yes but I'm asking for educational purposes. If its any consolation, the RAP at its max looks like its trying to dig a little further. Of course, I have no idea if it's useful at that range. I'm just looking for anything positive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/weathermatrix/lakeeffect-pondeffect-power-planteffect-snow/4728627 if you're downwind of a power plant 0otherwise.. a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 If its any consolation, the RAP at its max looks like its trying to dig a little further. Of course, I have no idea if it's useful at that range. I'm just looking for anything positive. lol, I noticed that too but thought it not worth mentioning. It also has a little better warm advection but I think using it beyond its run is pretty risky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Improve how? http://images.intellicast.com/WxImages/Difax/fax500.gif - current compared to modeled: http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/nam/06/nam_namer_000_500_vort_ht.gif http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/nam/00/nam_namer_000_500_vort_ht.gif Swap between the two for some slick forward momentum... I do think the system is getting its act together a little more clearly than first thought - but I don't really know if it's going to make a great deal of difference. At this point any real boost in performance is going to be determined by how much there is left in the rag to ring out once it fights to the coast. Keep going past hr6.....I agree, it might be too little too late but it's trying. BTW, should I feel special that I pulled a first post out of someone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 LWX gives me 2".........which will stick almost everywhere and affect the evening rush. Why no WWA? That would mean it wouldn't snow at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeminoleSullivan Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 Keep going past hr6.....I agree, it might be too little too late but it's trying. I don't know if it's too late...but we're asking an awful lot of a non-moisture laden system, moving at 40+kts If the system were just a touch deeper, I think it would make a bigger difference (all things being equal) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeminoleSullivan Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 LWX gives me 2".........which will stick almost everywhere and affect the evening rush. Why no WWA? I think after the 0z suite the decision will be made. Precip probably won't really start affecting the area until Mid afternoon, and NWS has the leeway to shoot it off 12 hours before the onset. I think you'll probably see one posted early AM. Aside from that, it just 'snowed' so, people are already in cautious mode. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 LWX gives me 2".........which will stick almost everywhere and affect the evening rush. Why no WWA? I'd imagine they will issue it tomorrow if it still looks like it will impact the evening rush Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 I think after the 0z suite the decision will be made. Precip probably won't really start affecting the area until Mid afternoon, and NWS has the leeway to shoot it off 12 hours before the onset. I think you'll probably see one posted early AM. Aside from that, it just 'snowed' so, people are already in cautious mode. Gotcha, makes sense. I just thought the leeway is 24 hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KAOS Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 if you're downwind of a power plant 0 otherwise.. a lot. The coal emissions helps to seed the clouds. I used to live in Stoney Beach. The down side is the non-factory "metallic paint job" that would appear periodically on my vehicles. Well that and...cancer. Even though I am a snow fanatic, I think I will give up a few tenths of an inch in exchange for the lack of cancer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 The coal emissions helps to seed the clouds. I used to live in Stoney Beach. The down side is the non-factory "metallic paint job" that would appear periodically on my vehicles. Well that and...cancer. Even though I am a snow fanatic, I think I will give up a few tenths of an inch in exchange for the lack of cancer. The so called clean "water vapor" that we all hear about Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 I would not be surprised at all to see your area and Blacksburg on southwest getting 3-5 inches. Maybe even as far northeast as Lynchburg.Furthermore, you have some elevation to work with. Good luck. I'm expecting about an inch tops here near m/d line. You might do better than an inch. Although with limited moisture it will come down to ratios, but just because temps will be very cold and 850's at -12 or so does not gaurantee high ratios. If the higher ratios due materialize you could easily get to 2 or better. I don't know what part of northern carroll you're in but here in Manchester I'm expecting 2 or so, but I could easily be wrong. In fact 3 inches isn't totally out of the realm of possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 I think the NWS is handling this pretty well....1" for most, more towards PA, less south until you get into central VA and Delmarva. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 I'm in Caroga, NY. It's 5. Projected low of -14. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 I'm in Caroga, NY. It's 5. Projected low of -14. Thankssounds awful. enjoy the frozen nose hairs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 gfs looks marginally different than before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 GFS looks better... kind of Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 .06 DCA .07 BWI .05 IAD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iammrben Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 The so called clean "water vapor" that we all hear about Please excuse the banter, but all this seeding and power plant chatter reminds me of Chemtrail Ken, who I think was a fixture on Eastern or Wright Weather. Ring a bell with any of the old timers out there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swva Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 GFS definitely looks more like the NAM for my area.. ROA. Not as much QPF but overall look is better and increased QPF. Rather than a dusting to an inch. May squeeze out a couple inches here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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