yoda Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Thanks Wes and wxmeddler. Appreciate the links Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Anybody think the SREFS wetter? I use the NCEP site, graphics are tough, but it looks wetter to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Anybody think the SREFS wetter? I use the NCEP site, graphics are tough, but it looks wetter to me. Look like the EURO re QPF in my opinion... I would say 0.15 or so... WxUSAF would probably know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 nam is a bit slower with the vort and better ridging behind. I guess we'll see if that translates into anything meaningful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 By Allen's site, they look better for our area. Don't get exact totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 nam is a bit slower with the vort and better ridging behind. I guess we'll see if that translates into anything meaningful. I thought 18hrs stunk lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 I thought 18hrs stunk lol Minute diff. Prob makes no diff tho. Just doing the thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 nam is a bit slower with the vort and better ridging behind. I guess we'll see if that translates into anything meaningful. Looks like the vort is a little west over central MN don't know if that matters much anyhow really pulling for you guys that you'll get something up that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Nvm lol 24 hr loop it ends up in nw Wisconsin. Good precip breaking out though over east KY TN and headed into VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 split Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 By Allen's site, they look better for our area. Don't get exact totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 SREFS members....a couple are awful, most are better, 1 is awesome. I'm going to ride the best one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 eh, it's gonna suck some life out of this place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 eh, it's gonna suck some life out of this place. I said split we're in the hole Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 I usually look at the SREF plumes, but those are delayed about ~1hr after the other SREF graphics come out. Comparing on Allen's site, I can't see too much difference in the QPF visually. Our probability of .25" in 6 hours has gone from 0 up to 3% with the 15z!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 SREFS members....a couple are awful, most are better, 1 is awesome. I'm going to ride the best one. sounds like you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 eh, it's gonna suck some life out of this place. Yeah, looks to me that it is going to be drier with more of a split. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 At least we have the euro to hug for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 The 30 hour panel looks like a case of the southern energy stealing the show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 I guess 0.05 or so on the 18z NAM for QPF... so now its SREF/EURO combo we are riding I guess... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 At least we have the euro to hug for now. Still time. If we eek out 1.5 it will be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 I got the SREF plumes up... very.. um.. interesting. Not sure if I should post it due to the possibility of a weenie hopes outbreak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 I got the SREF plumes up... very.. um.. interesting. Not sure if I should post it due to the possibility of a weenie hopes outbreak. You should post it in the name of science. The inability of people to control themselves is hardly a reason for withholding data. If one cannot temper their emotions when examining data/results, they shouldn't be working in/observing a scientific field. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Since we're only quibbling over .05+/- of precip I guess the silver lining is nowcasting can surprise us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 The 30 hour panel looks like a case of the southern energy stealing the show. What show? Oh no instead of 1-2" we get a coating to 1". The rug was pulled out from this one days ago and there has really been no improvement since, just slight differences from run to run that ammount to noise. We are going to get some light snow for a time and depending on luck and minor atmospheric differences it could end up being a dusting or perhap 1-2". No big deal either way and not a major difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 dc snow hole not funny anymore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 At least we have the euro to hug for now. With precip amounts so small I guess shifts get magnified. It's not like we went form 1+ to 0.1 qpf. Who's to say, at game time it might surprise. I think back to when this was an Ohio Valley low and everyone was worried about temps. Give me that anytime. They bring the big guns QPF wise. So what if it changes over for a while. You get a few inches of cement on the ground that sticks around this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 What show? Oh no instead of 1-2" we get a coating to 1". The rug was pulled out from this one days ago and there has really been no improvement since, just slight differences from run to run that ammount to noise. We are going to get some light snow for a time and depending on luck and minor atmospheric differences it could end up being a dusting or perhap 1-2". No big deal either way and not a major difference. eh, a 200% difference in outcomes is MASSIVE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA 318 PM EST THU JAN 24 2013 MDZ001-PAZ074-076-WVZ023-041-250430- /O.NEW.KPBZ.WS.W.0001.130125T1700Z-130127T0000Z/ GARRETT-WESTMORELAND RIDGES-FAYETTE RIDGES-PRESTON-TUCKER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OAKLAND MD...GRANTSVILLE...LIGONIER... DONEGAL...NEW FLORENCE...ACME...CHAMPION...NORMALVILLE... FARMINGTON...OHIOPYLE...MARKLEYSBURG...KINGWOOD...TERRA ALTA... PARSONS...DAVIS...THOMAS 318 PM EST THU JAN 24 2013 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON FRIDAY TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PITTSBURGH HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON FRIDAY TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY. * TIMING...SNOW WILL BEGIN EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. MOST INTENSE SNOW WILL BE LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH EVENING WITH SNOW CONTINUING OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY. * ACCUMULATIONS...8-10 INCHES WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS ON THE RIDGES. * MAIN IMPACT...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOWFALL WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUT AT ALL...USE EXTREME CAUTION. REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING...412-262-1988...POSTING TO THE NWS PITTSBURGH FACEBOOK PAGE...OR USING TWITTER @NWSPITTSBURGH. && $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 I got the SREF plumes up... very.. um.. interesting. Not sure if I should post it due to the possibility of a weenie hopes outbreak. Post em Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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