Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 7 letter analysis: gfs sux Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 GFS with under .1" of QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 GFS shutout. Toss the NAM. Follow the GFS and EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 GFS shutout. Toss the NAM. Follow the GFS and EURO. Didn't the GFS and Euro end up showing a shutout for last night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Didn't the GFS and Euro end up showing a shutout for last night? No, it had precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catoctin wx Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 GFS will have like .04 at DCA nailed it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 this is another pathetic winter event for us in another pathetic winter in any way you want to look at it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 nailed it Verbatim.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 this is from yesterday's CFS2 (time sensitive), but get used to it folks because it probably won't change thru FEB http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CFSv2/imagesInd3/usPrecMonInd1.gif edit: no sooner did I post it and it updated to today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 0.04 at DCA would be as good as last night's clipper . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 this is from yesterday's CFS2 (time sensitive), but get used to it folks because it probably won't change thru FEB http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CFSv2/imagesInd3/usPrecMonInd1.gif edit: no sooner did I post it and it updated to today We are the new desert. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Chasing mositure rather than cold should be our new thing. We are just so damn dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Chasing mositure rather than cold should be our new thing. We are just so damn dry. Fear not...come spring and summer we'll probably get a dousing from big thunderstorms and big synoptic scale systems. Warm+wet and then cold+dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 this is from yesterday's CFS2 (time sensitive), but get used to it folks because it probably won't change thru FEB http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CFSv2/imagesInd3/usPrecMonInd1.gif edit: no sooner did I post it and it updated to today Just stop. It is never right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 the whole setup looks pretty similar, just too dry. i think i'm gonna let go of this one and whatever happens happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
birdsofprey02 Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 What were the QPF totals from the Clipper at the airports and/or surrounding areas... Would like to compare with expectations for Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 what a tragic storm this has become Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Fear not...come spring and summer we'll probably get a dousing from big thunderstorms and big synoptic scale systems. Warm+wet and then cold+dry. Maybe, altho the frequency and size and area coverage of the thunderstorm outbreaks hasn't been particularly noteworthy (at least to me) since I moved here in August of 2009. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 The radar hallucinations are going to be fun if nothing else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Add 20 db to that and it is a pretty nice bowing line of storms DERECHO!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 what a tragic storm this has become it's frustrating because we have the cold and all we can muster is an inch (which still required 18-20:1 ratios or whatever). just can't get these systems to phase properly. this is our prime time for snow, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Just stop. It is never right it was wrong with the cold JAN because the cold was delayed by a week, but it has been dead on wrt precip go back and look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Fear not...come spring and summer we'll probably get a dousing from big thunderstorms and big synoptic scale systems. Warm+wet and then cold+dry. good guess; here's March precip forecast (and, of course, temps are forecast to be way above normal and HM in another thread pretty much confirmed that to be his forecast as well) http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CFSv2/imagesInd3/usPrecMonInd2.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted January 24, 2013 Author Share Posted January 24, 2013 Today's clipper overperformed. Last 2 storms in December overperformed. Why wouldn't Friday continue the trend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 good guess; here's March precip forecast (and, of course, temps are forecast to be way above normal and HM in another thread pretty much confirmed that to be his forecast as well) http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CFSv2/imagesInd3/usPrecMonInd2.gif We are getting a little off topic - but I just hope we can avoid a summer filled with 100+ days. Those days are miserable in our house due to he a/c not getting to the upper floors as well. Back on topic now - I don't see why I can't squeeze out another inch from tomorrows storm. Though having it fall during the day (even with super cold temps) might make it a little more slushy...especially with all the treatment out on the road. My road is completely melted now after treatment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 next tues and wed highs are in the mid 50s. if we're gonna overperform, tomorrow would be a good time to do so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 looks pretty awful to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Pathetic. Best hope is for another overperformance of a marginal, really barely marginal event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Mike Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Any snowball's chance in hell that the northern/southern streams merge? Better or less than 50%? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 wonder if I will beat last nights total of .25 inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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