Ji Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 what a tragic storm this has become Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Fear not...come spring and summer we'll probably get a dousing from big thunderstorms and big synoptic scale systems. Warm+wet and then cold+dry. Maybe, altho the frequency and size and area coverage of the thunderstorm outbreaks hasn't been particularly noteworthy (at least to me) since I moved here in August of 2009. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 The radar hallucinations are going to be fun if nothing else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Add 20 db to that and it is a pretty nice bowing line of storms DERECHO!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 what a tragic storm this has become it's frustrating because we have the cold and all we can muster is an inch (which still required 18-20:1 ratios or whatever). just can't get these systems to phase properly. this is our prime time for snow, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Just stop. It is never right it was wrong with the cold JAN because the cold was delayed by a week, but it has been dead on wrt precip go back and look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Fear not...come spring and summer we'll probably get a dousing from big thunderstorms and big synoptic scale systems. Warm+wet and then cold+dry. good guess; here's March precip forecast (and, of course, temps are forecast to be way above normal and HM in another thread pretty much confirmed that to be his forecast as well) http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CFSv2/imagesInd3/usPrecMonInd2.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted January 24, 2013 Author Share Posted January 24, 2013 Today's clipper overperformed. Last 2 storms in December overperformed. Why wouldn't Friday continue the trend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 good guess; here's March precip forecast (and, of course, temps are forecast to be way above normal and HM in another thread pretty much confirmed that to be his forecast as well) http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CFSv2/imagesInd3/usPrecMonInd2.gif We are getting a little off topic - but I just hope we can avoid a summer filled with 100+ days. Those days are miserable in our house due to he a/c not getting to the upper floors as well. Back on topic now - I don't see why I can't squeeze out another inch from tomorrows storm. Though having it fall during the day (even with super cold temps) might make it a little more slushy...especially with all the treatment out on the road. My road is completely melted now after treatment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 next tues and wed highs are in the mid 50s. if we're gonna overperform, tomorrow would be a good time to do so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 looks pretty awful to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Pathetic. Best hope is for another overperformance of a marginal, really barely marginal event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Mike Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Any snowball's chance in hell that the northern/southern streams merge? Better or less than 50%? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 wonder if I will beat last nights total of .25 inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 good guess; here's March precip forecast (and, of course, temps are forecast to be way above normal and HM in another thread pretty much confirmed that to be his forecast as well) http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CFSv2/imagesInd3/usPrecMonInd2.gif I believed hm said he was not sure,but could turn out that way. March seems to have warmed up alot over the last 15 years where it's only wintery in northern new england Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 NMM seems to be in the NAM range. ARW around 0.1". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 These were on Wright-Weather's homepage. NMM: ARW: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Didn't the NAM handle last night's clipper better than the GFS? I thought last night the GFS showed less than what we actually got. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Didn't the NAM handle last night's clipper better than the GFS? I thought last night the GFS showed less than what we actually got. When you're talking about the difference between .04, .07, .10, etc, it really doesn't make much of a difference I wouldn't think. It's all about who get's lucky (or unlucky). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 When you're talking about the difference between .04, .07, .10, etc, it really doesn't make much of a difference I wouldn't think. It's all about who get's lucky (or unlucky). The difference between .04 and .10 last night meant an inch difference so that is alot if you ask me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 I'm waiting for "next" after the euro runs. This "storm" is a tattered mess. Unless a miracle happens and things amp up all of a sudden, it's going to look good on radar and look like total crap in our yards. Edit: I'm still sticking to widespread 2-3" with lollies to .5". No sense in waffling now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 I'm waiting for "next" after the euro runs. This "storm" is a tattered mess. Unless a miracle happens and things amp up all of a sudden, it's going to look good on radar and look like total crap in our yards. a little better BWI has .10" thru Sat 0Z with, I think, a little more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 precip is up on the euro over last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 precip is up on the euro over last night How much for DCA? and my house? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 a little better BWI has .10" thru Sat 0Z with, I think, a little more Do you have the 850 temps?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Dayum! My weeniecast is lookin a little better! lolz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 .11" for BWI (big deal, right?) but as Ian said, a little better than last night DCA and IAD are .10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 How much for DCA? and my house? everyone is in the .1"+ area around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 How much for DCA? and my house? IMBY weenie . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 everyone is in the .1"+ area around here. curious. Any movement N with the .25 line? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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