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1/25-1/26 Storm Disco Thread


NOVAForecaster

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I may be partially responsible for running him off as I called him an OCD control freak with social problems.

 

I enjoyed his input.  He is, afterall, a met, and a good one.  But he reminded me of a mini-DT.  Although, I liked DT too.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

I come from a loopy family.  Not much bothers me.

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NAM spits out .25" for DCA; ..22" for IAD; .25" for BWI and Annapolis

the qpf is rather uniform even though places like BWI, Annapolis and IAD don't get into the dark greens of .25"-.49"

 

If the GFS shows that I would start getting excited, that would probably gives us close to 4".

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Nam and gfs starting hinting at a touch more amp yesterday but 12z kinda firmed up the possibility. I would guess that the gfs doesn't look as nice as the nam but still shows a touch better than 12-18z at 500. Last 2 runs were basically identical.

The fun part is that there is even still room for improvement from what the nam just showed. Having .5+ of waa precip so close to our yards is pretty damn good all things considered. It's a lot easier to have some wiggle room at this range than praying an Ull delivers (last week was fun wasn't it? Lol)

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Nam and gfs starting hinting at a touch more amp yesterday but 12z kinda firmed up the possibility. I would guess that the gfs doesn't look as nice as the nam but still shows a touch better than 12-18z at 500. Last 2 runs were basically identical.

The fun part is that there is even still room for improvement from what the nam just showed. Having .5+ of waa precip so close to our yards is pretty damn good all things considered. It's a lot easier to have some wiggle room at this range than praying an Ull delivers (last week was fun wasn't it? Lol)

 

yep, still a whole 'nother day for things to improve even more.  of course, it could go the other way, but trying to stay optimistic.  the thing that is so promising is that this isn't a snow vs rain event...we're looking at snow and a cold snow at that.  

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