PhineasC Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Was wondering where is was posting. He does show as reading it a lot. I may be partially responsible for running him off as I called him an OCD control freak with social problems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Jan 2010 effect in full Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 NAM spits out .25" for DCA; ..22" for IAD; .25" for BWI and Annapolis the qpf is rather uniform even though places like BWI, Annapolis and IAD don't get into the dark greens of .25"-.49" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 I may be partially responsible for running him off as I called him an OCD control freak with social problems. from you, that's like "honey, I love you" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 I may be partially responsible for running him off as I called him an OCD control freak with social problems. You are always the warm, fuzzy and sensitive person in our forum I cannot imagine it was you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 I may be partially responsible for running him off as I called him an OCD control freak with social problems. I enjoyed his input. He is, afterall, a met, and a good one. But he reminded me of a mini-DT. Although, I liked DT too. I come from a loopy family. Not much bothers me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 NAM spits out .25" for DCA; ..22" for IAD; .25" for BWI and Annapolis the qpf is rather uniform even though places like BWI, Annapolis and IAD don't get into the dark greens of .25"-.49" If the GFS shows that I would start getting excited, that would probably gives us close to 4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 I may be partially responsible for running him off as I called him an OCD control freak with social problems. Socially he's fine, I've met him a few times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 HI-RES 00z NAM also looks very nice as well... prob same as NAM in QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 NAM only give RIC .33", so really not that much variation across the MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 my weenie mind says that the uniformity signals the possibility of a widespread increase in qpf in future runs the 5% rational part says this is likely another off run and the gfa will biatch slap us into reality in short order Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Jan 2010 effect in full followed by feb 10? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Nam and gfs starting hinting at a touch more amp yesterday but 12z kinda firmed up the possibility. I would guess that the gfs doesn't look as nice as the nam but still shows a touch better than 12-18z at 500. Last 2 runs were basically identical. The fun part is that there is even still room for improvement from what the nam just showed. Having .5+ of waa precip so close to our yards is pretty damn good all things considered. It's a lot easier to have some wiggle room at this range than praying an Ull delivers (last week was fun wasn't it? Lol) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 followed by feb 10?doubtful. but some people might get snow on snow... if this stuff from tonight doesnt blow away tomorrow. that's always a win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 doubtful. but some people might get snow on snow... if this stuff from tonight doesnt blow away tomorrow. that's always a win. snow on snow is kinda rare around here. i think the last time we had that was 2010, but i think it was a while before that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Nam and gfs starting hinting at a touch more amp yesterday but 12z kinda firmed up the possibility. I would guess that the gfs doesn't look as nice as the nam but still shows a touch better than 12-18z at 500. Last 2 runs were basically identical. The fun part is that there is even still room for improvement from what the nam just showed. Having .5+ of waa precip so close to our yards is pretty damn good all things considered. It's a lot easier to have some wiggle room at this range than praying an Ull delivers (last week was fun wasn't it? Lol) yep, still a whole 'nother day for things to improve even more. of course, it could go the other way, but trying to stay optimistic. the thing that is so promising is that this isn't a snow vs rain event...we're looking at snow and a cold snow at that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 I may be partially responsible for running him off as I called him an OCD control freak with social problems. All which is critical to forecasting weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 All which is critical to forecasting weather This is kinda awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baldereagle Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 This OCD control freak with social problems has not run off; the MA snowhole hovers firmly over the northern delmarva, with a whopping dusting thus far for the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 NAM spits out .25" for DCA; ..22" for IAD; .25" for BWI and Annapolis the qpf is rather uniform even though places like BWI, Annapolis and IAD don't get into the dark greens of .25"-.49" That's very nice. All of it should stick too. And... ratios.... Sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 ok stfu about mark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Just so we can have one more taste of the goods before the gfs has a chance to change the mood. Hires nam shows about a 6 hour window of precip. Nice depiction of how close some of the heavier stuff is.....wouldn't it be nice with a 100 mile N shift... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 GFS not too shabby thru 39 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 I take that back. MD and VA dryslotted as transfer takes place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 The black hole continues.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 ughhh gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 The NAM is better at picking up smaller features :weenie: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 comparing 18z to this run thru 36 hrs, I didn't notice any discernible differences, but I was hoping nonetheless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 lol- gfs is nearly identical to 18z which was nearly identical to 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 total qpf http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?model=gfs&area=namer¶m=precip_p36&cycle=00ℑ=gfs%2F00%2Fgfs_namer_054_precip_p36.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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