Ji Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 more good news is the fact that the storm is strengthening so there is some enhancements to the qpf closer to the ocean as a result, the snow hole shifts SW and is not as drastic http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?model=nam&area=namer¶m=precip_p36&cycle=00ℑ=nam%2F00%2Fnam_namer_057_precip_p36.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Nice run but until the GFS or Euro start mirroring it, I'd stay the course with 1-3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 and we're back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Nice run but until the GFS or Euro start mirroring it, I'd stay the course with 1-3. Not enough runs of the Euro, but the GFS is trending the same way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Heh, I think we willed the trough to amplify just enough....and its really nice to see .5 making it into sw va. This is a big net positive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 .25 DC 4 inches? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 with cold temps, it won't take much to break our drought around town of not seeing more than 2". we just might have a chance with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 My weenie widespread 2-3 with someone getting 4 earlier today just got some credibility. I've held firm for days so at least I can't be called a waffler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 My weenie widespread 2-3 with someone getting 4 earlier today just got some credibility. I've held firm for days so at least I can't be called a waffler. You need to move slightly west so you can join the LWG. I hear that with their accuracy comes expansion.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Heh, I think we willed the trough to amplify just enough....and its really nice to see .5 making it into sw va. This is a big net positive. Yeah, it looks like it could get a little better from here, even. Need the GFS to make a similar move as the NAM is often suspect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Great to hear this is trending a little better. If we're not getting anything significant, then I just want 2". Haven't seen that much in ages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 looks like the ns vort is a hair slower allowing for a slight nudge north in precip. the orientation of the precip is a little better as well. anyway, we'll see what the gfs does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Ellinwood should quit his protest of our forum. He is here reading it all the time. Was wondering where is was posting. He does show as reading it a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 My weenie widespread 2-3 with someone getting 4 earlier today just got some credibility. I've held firm for days so at least I can't be called a waffler. Don't change your vote Bob. I saw it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Was wondering where is was posting. He does show as reading it a lot. He switched to the Philly forum ages ago even though he lives in Gaithersburg , some kind of protest about how much he loves the posters in the MA. Marc we love you come back . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Was wondering where is was posting. He does show as reading it a lot. I may be partially responsible for running him off as I called him an OCD control freak with social problems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Jan 2010 effect in full Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 NAM spits out .25" for DCA; ..22" for IAD; .25" for BWI and Annapolis the qpf is rather uniform even though places like BWI, Annapolis and IAD don't get into the dark greens of .25"-.49" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 I may be partially responsible for running him off as I called him an OCD control freak with social problems. from you, that's like "honey, I love you" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 I may be partially responsible for running him off as I called him an OCD control freak with social problems. You are always the warm, fuzzy and sensitive person in our forum I cannot imagine it was you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 I may be partially responsible for running him off as I called him an OCD control freak with social problems. I enjoyed his input. He is, afterall, a met, and a good one. But he reminded me of a mini-DT. Although, I liked DT too. I come from a loopy family. Not much bothers me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 NAM spits out .25" for DCA; ..22" for IAD; .25" for BWI and Annapolis the qpf is rather uniform even though places like BWI, Annapolis and IAD don't get into the dark greens of .25"-.49" If the GFS shows that I would start getting excited, that would probably gives us close to 4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 I may be partially responsible for running him off as I called him an OCD control freak with social problems. Socially he's fine, I've met him a few times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 HI-RES 00z NAM also looks very nice as well... prob same as NAM in QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 NAM only give RIC .33", so really not that much variation across the MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 my weenie mind says that the uniformity signals the possibility of a widespread increase in qpf in future runs the 5% rational part says this is likely another off run and the gfa will biatch slap us into reality in short order Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Jan 2010 effect in full followed by feb 10? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Nam and gfs starting hinting at a touch more amp yesterday but 12z kinda firmed up the possibility. I would guess that the gfs doesn't look as nice as the nam but still shows a touch better than 12-18z at 500. Last 2 runs were basically identical. The fun part is that there is even still room for improvement from what the nam just showed. Having .5+ of waa precip so close to our yards is pretty damn good all things considered. It's a lot easier to have some wiggle room at this range than praying an Ull delivers (last week was fun wasn't it? Lol) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 followed by feb 10?doubtful. but some people might get snow on snow... if this stuff from tonight doesnt blow away tomorrow. that's always a win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.