WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 His map may be right.....this time, but I haven't seen his maps be too successful. I place ten times more faith in Ellinwoods. His is over in the Philly forum if anybody wants to grab it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 His map may be right.....this time, but I haven't seen his maps be too successful. I place ten times more faith in Ellinwoods. His is over in the Philly forum if anybody wants to grab it.Ellinwood should quit his protest of our forum. He is here reading it all the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Ellinwood should quit his protest of our forum. He is here reading it all the time. HAHA.....like right now I agree with this especially since he lives closer to me than probably anyone else on this forum. Edit: As soon as I posted this, poof....he was gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Ellinwood should quit his protest of our forum. He is here reading it all the time. His snowfall maps are always well configured and reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Ellinwood should quit his protest of our forum. He is here reading it all the time. He will just start complaining again and be condescending. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 He will just start complaining again and be condescending. Agreed. Count me in the "he can keep his boycott going" crowd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Ellinwood should quit his protest of our forum. He is here reading it all the time. I don't blame him.. no fun zone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 I will be happy with my half inch of powdery snowfall. Nothing like a walk with flakes in the air, while temps plummet to the teens with the wind chill approaching zero!! I consider this to be a moderate event for our area. If I lived in Richmond, the snow capital of the southern mid-atlantic, I wouldn't blink an eye. We are in a deficit unlike almost any other 95 city, as far as bigger snows go at least. RIC hasn't recorded a storm over 11" since 1983. That is a massive climatological anomaly. It could be measuring issues (Jan 96 and one or two of the 09-10 storms were close) but the fact remains that these numbers are in the books, incorrect or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 We are in a deficit unlike almost any other 95 city, as far as bigger snows go at least. RIC hasn't recorded a storm over 11" since 1983. That is a massive climatological anomaly. It could be measuring issues (Jan 96 and one or two of the 09-10 storms were close) but the fact remains that these numbers are in the books, incorrect or not. I could swear RIC had over a foot in the end of Jan 2000 storm, maybe not at the airport but in the west end I swear we did Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 This is early, but it looks to me that the NAM 500 maps will end up better, again. We will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 I could swear RIC had over a foot in the end of Jan 2000 storm, maybe not at the airport but in the west end I swear we did The original RIC total for 2000 was 12.5" but they revised it down years later. According to the snowfall map put out by LWX they should have recorded somewhere in the neighborhood of 14". Same thing for 1996. But given their history, an accurate measurement is far too much to ask for. On topic, yes, this does look like a 1-3" event down here. Dry air is always a concern though. Wouldn't be surprised if this thing was extremely lame. Clipper-esque setups don't have a great track record for Central VA and south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 This is early, but it looks to me that the NAM 500 maps will end up better, again. We will see. thru 24 hrs, the trough in Canada is a hair slower than 18z don't know the result but I think slower is better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 thru 24 hrs, the trough in Canada is a hair slower than 18z don't know the result but I think slower is better The heights under in all the way to Texas are a little flatter too. Might allow them to rise in front of it later. IDK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 33hrs has a better trough and ridging than 18z at 39 hrs the change is subtle, however, so buyer beware Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Slight improvement with the troff through 36. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Slight improvement with the troff through 36. definitely holding it back some as well I'm hoping the slower evolution will be worth the wait Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blazeKing Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Looks like 0z NAM is moving in the right direction Another shift in our direction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 39 hr timeframe has .50 of QPF in western and central TN and all the way to southern KY whereas with the 18z never had .50 that far north hope this translates to better things in the coming frames. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Younar Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 I could swear RIC had over a foot in the end of Jan 2000 storm, maybe not at the airport but in the west end I swear we did I was a sophomore at UR for that one and I measured 14". That was a fun awesome storm... Beer pong and blizzards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 The original RIC total for 2000 was 12.5" but they revised it down years later. According to the snowfall map put out by LWX they should have recorded somewhere in the neighborhood of 14". Same thing for 1996. But given their history, an accurate measurement is far too much to ask for. On topic, yes, this does look like a 1-3" event down here. Dry air is always a concern though. Wouldn't be surprised if this thing was extremely lame. Clipper-esque setups don't have a great track record for Central VA and south. +1 and note the date at the top of each graphic! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blazeKing Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Snowhole gone? Game on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 >0.2" QPF for DCA/IAD/BWI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 NAM appears to be a lot better. Still not great, but... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 >0.2" QPF for DCA/IAD/BWI Very nice. One more uptick in precip and we are talking an easy 2-4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 >0.2" QPF for DCA/IAD/BWI still snowing at 48 hrs nce positive run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TL97 Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 .2-.3 for most, .3 line right next to DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Again, you could see it coming early. Trend continues. Let's hope GFS continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Looks like BWI is around 0.20... IAD 0.25.... and DCA 0.3 on the 00z NAM run through 57. 850s have -10 line close by the LWX CWA as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Again, you could see it coming early. Trend continues. Let's hope GFS continues. very subtle 18-24 hrs, but once to 39 and 42, much clearer 48 hrs it was a no-brainer the improvement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 NAM is getting much better for the RNK CWA-- wasn't bad before. Shows nice lift forming over Kent and moving east along the VA/NC line, albeit damping out as it moves east. Still, qpf is up-- it actually starts about the same time down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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