zgummy Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Congrats OBX? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Here's something for the optimists on the board to grab onto. The GFS ensemble mean is wetter then the op and would suggest an inch, maybe two region wide except for N VA where the standard DC snow hole is setting up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 JMA is holding on to an event the 0Z run only goes out 3 days, but 700mb and 850mb suggest more would fall after this 72 hr map http://grib2.com/jma/CONUS_JMA_1000-500_SLPTHKPRP_72HR.gif who knows if it's right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Hard to find anything really positive. The NAM did come just a touch more north and about 4 gfs members did show a better outcome. Running out of rabbits. Still have time though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 I am still pretty surprised that the EURO and GFS are pretty apart in terms of something vs squat. Anyone have numbers from the EURO for BWI and DC? Just curious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 I am still pretty surprised that the EURO and GFS are pretty apart in terms of something vs squat. Anyone have numbers from the EURO for BWI and DC? Just curious. .15" for both with 850 at -9 or -10, that could easily be 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 JMA is holding on to an event the 0Z run only goes out 3 days, but 700mb and 850mb suggest more would fall after this 72 hr map http://grib2.com/jma/CONUS_JMA_1000-500_SLPTHKPRP_72HR.gif who knows if it's right Don't really follow the JMA but if I remember correctly it seems to me from what I have read for the last couple of days it has been pretty steadfast on this type of solution. Is that correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 .15" for both with 850 at -9 or -10, that could easily be 3" Right now 3" seems like a blizzard. Thanks mitchnick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Congrats OBX? Sure, why not. They have cashed in more than we have since 09/10 ended... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Since we can't start a new thread, we need to exorcise the demons from this one. So, whatever juju magic anybody can bring, bring it, and let's get this thing back. First up will be the SREFS. Maybe they can start a slow trend that culminates with us getting at least 1/3 of an inch of precip, all snow at this point, of course. Energy is still not on shore to my knowledge, so I do think there's some room for change. It also has to cross the Rockies. It looks bleak at the moment, but we can wait until Thursday evening to quit, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Since we can't start a new thread, we need to exorcise the demons from this one. So, whatever juju magic anybody can bring, bring it, and let's get this thing back. First up will be the SREFS. Maybe they can start a slow trend that culminates with us getting at least 1/3 of an inch of precip, all snow at this point, of course. Energy is still not on shore to my knowledge, so I do think there's some room for change. It also has to cross the Rockies. It looks bleak at the moment, but we can wait until Thursday evening to quit, right? Love the optimism. But this one is done I'm afraid. Richmond is the new Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Love the optimism. But this one is done I'm afraid. Richmond is the new Boston. LOL, Richmond's been below average these three seasons as well. It's not like one 4" snowstorm makes a season for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bjohnson102184 Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Love the optimism. But this one is done I'm afraid. Richmond is the new Boston. I am expecting little to nothing....maybe further south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 LOL, Richmond's been below average these three seasons as well. It's not like one 4" snowstorm makes a season for them. They have tripled DCA's snow for the past 2 years. But obviously I was being sarcastic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 RIC has tripled DCA snow the last 3 years? Lol... I can't remember getting much of anything around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 RIC has tripled DCA snow the last 3 years? Lol... I can't remember getting much of anything around here. It would only have taken .3 to triple DCA's totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 RIC has tripled DCA snow the last 3 years? Lol... I can't remember getting much of anything around here. RIchmond cashed in on Boxing Day storm 12/26/2010, didn't it? Because DC/Balt whiffed that. That alone would put Richmond way ahead over the last two and a half years, before even figuring in the other small amounts Richmond has gotten that DC has not since then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 RIchmond cashed in on Boxing Day storm 12/16/2010, didn't it? Because DC/Balt whiffed that. That alone would put Richmond way ahead over the last two and a half years, before even figuring in the other small amounts Richmond has gotten that DC has not since then. Don't forget Christmas Day 2010. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Don't forget Christmas Day 2010. Sorry, that's the one I meant, typo, will fix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rmcwahoo Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 I live in Richmond and if memory serves Christmas Day 2010 we got maybe 3 inches? 4 tops. That was a huge snowstorm for Hampton Roads. Over a foot in Norfolk and Virginia Beach, so if are talking the last 3 seasons the big winner regionally is actually Tidewater. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
birdsofprey02 Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 What about this storm? DC/Bal > Richmond Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 I live in Richmond and if memory serves Christmas Day 2010 we got maybe 3 inches? 4 tops. That was a huge snowstorm for Hampton Roads. Over a foot in Norfolk and Virginia Beach, so if are talking the last 3 seasons the big winner regionally is actually Tidewater. The big winner is swva. They've been hit so many times since I moved from there I've lost count. 3/1/09, Dec 2010 (clipper, Christmas), last year (twice), Sandy, last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 lets get back on topic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLPressure Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 lets get back on topic The NAM is not doing us any favors around DCA this run. Losing any hope in small miracles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 9z SREFs are an improvement over 3z. 3z plumes had very little for the Friday event. 9z still doesn't have a lot, but nearly all members have SOMETHING, with probably an average around .05-.1" for Baltimore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 this will likely trend North...NAM is still 54-60 hours from event. Its wheelhouse is 3-5 minutes before the event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 this will likely trend North...NAM is still 54-60 hours from event. Its wheelhouse is 3-5 minutes before the event FWIW (probably not all that much), the first 48-54 hours of the 12Z NAM DID look a little better - a touch north and a little stronger. The end result was pretty similar, of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 If we can improve 0.05 inches per model cycle on the GFS through Friday morning, we can still have a big storm. Seriously, we need to start at least a slight improvement trend about right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Anyone staying up for the 12z gfs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLPressure Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Anyone staying up for the 12z gfs? It supposedly has the second highest verification score behind the Euro. I'm in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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