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1/25-1/26 Storm Disco Thread


NOVAForecaster

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JMA is holding on to an event

the 0Z run only goes out 3 days, but 700mb and 850mb suggest more would fall after this 72 hr map

http://grib2.com/jma/CONUS_JMA_1000-500_SLPTHKPRP_72HR.gif

 

who knows if it's right

Don't really follow the JMA but if I remember correctly it seems to me from what I have read for the last couple of days it has been pretty steadfast on this type of solution. Is that correct?

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Since we can't start a new thread, we need to exorcise the demons from this one.  So, whatever juju magic anybody can bring, bring it, and let's get this thing back.

 

First up will be the SREFS.  Maybe they can start a slow trend that culminates with us getting at least 1/3 of an inch of precip, all snow at this point, of course.

 

Energy is still not on shore to my knowledge, so I do think there's some room for change.  It also has to cross the Rockies.  It looks bleak at the moment, but we can wait until Thursday evening to quit, right?

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Since we can't start a new thread, we need to exorcise the demons from this one.  So, whatever juju magic anybody can bring, bring it, and let's get this thing back.

 

First up will be the SREFS.  Maybe they can start a slow trend that culminates with us getting at least 1/3 of an inch of precip, all snow at this point, of course.

 

Energy is still not on shore to my knowledge, so I do think there's some room for change.  It also has to cross the Rockies.  It looks bleak at the moment, but we can wait until Thursday evening to quit, right?

 

Love the optimism. But this one is done I'm afraid. Richmond is the new Boston.

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RIC has tripled DCA snow the last 3 years? Lol... I can't remember getting much of anything around here.

 

RIchmond cashed in on Boxing Day storm 12/26/2010, didn't it? Because DC/Balt whiffed that. That alone would put Richmond way ahead over the last two and a half years, before even figuring in the other small amounts Richmond has gotten that DC has not since then.

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RIchmond cashed in on Boxing Day storm 12/16/2010, didn't it? Because DC/Balt whiffed that. That alone would put Richmond way ahead over the last two and a half years, before even figuring in the other small amounts Richmond has gotten that DC has not since then.

Don't forget Christmas Day 2010.

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I live in Richmond and if memory serves Christmas Day 2010 we got maybe 3 inches? 4 tops. That was a huge snowstorm for Hampton Roads. Over a foot in Norfolk and Virginia Beach, so if are talking the last 3 seasons the big winner regionally is actually Tidewater.

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I live in Richmond and if memory serves Christmas Day 2010 we got maybe 3 inches? 4 tops. That was a huge snowstorm for Hampton Roads. Over a foot in Norfolk and Virginia Beach, so if are talking the last 3 seasons the big winner regionally is actually Tidewater.

 

The big winner is swva.  They've been hit so many times since I moved from there I've lost count.  3/1/09, Dec 2010 (clipper, Christmas), last year (twice), Sandy, last week.

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this will likely trend North...NAM is still 54-60 hours from event. Its wheelhouse is 3-5 minutes before the event

FWIW (probably not all that much), the first 48-54 hours of the 12Z NAM DID look a little better - a touch north and a little stronger. The end result was pretty similar, of course.

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