yoda Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Do we care about the RGEM yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Do we care about the RGEM yet? ag3 said the regem has been king lately so if it shows snow then yes. Toss otherwise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Slight differences at 500 showing up early. Don't know if it will matter at surface yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 I'll go ahead and say it....slightly better ridging behind the vort and ever so slightly better in front of it. Prob gonna be wetter for areas north and south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 I'll go ahead and say it....slightly better ridging behind the vort and ever so slightly better in front of it. Prob gonna be wetter for areas north and south. yep....we'll see still time for this thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 big changes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 agreed...better looking through 54.....I admit, that isn't saying much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 GFS is wetter at 51 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Bingo at 60...for RIC anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 yeehaww! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nflwxman Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 This is looking a bit more euro-like through 54. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 The map at 60 is both sad, and ridicuolous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Boom...a lot better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brad1551 Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 The bulk of the moisture once again looks to stay south of DC. There is still time for things to change but the probability of changes is pretty low. We have to get 2" or more in the DC metro area. If not then the streak continues to around 728 days I believe without a 2" or more snow event. We already broke the record going the longest without a 2" or more event but it doesn't mean we have to crush the record either. I am starting to lose all hope. If we don't get a 2" snow event by the 2nd week of February, I am sure some weenie will have a topic on climate change or the infamous global warming. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 amazing what a tiny turn towards sw with ul flow can do huh? lol here we go.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 You could tell very early that this was going to be better. 500 digging more, noticeably more. Stay the course, keep the pos vibe, and lets hope for more improvement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Clearly NCEP is just playing with us.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 based on 60 hr RH, I think a little more falls if we can squeeze .2" qpf, we'll get 3-4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 2 more tiny similar tiny improvements and we are right back in an "ok" waa precip situation. this hobby sux Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 that's rude http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?model=gfs&area=namer¶m=precip_p24&cycle=12ℑ=gfs%2F12%2Fgfs_namer_069_precip_p24.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 all around better run for snow lovers. A bit more ridging and a little more dig, and I think this is a 3-5 inch storm for VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 GFS is sucking us.......back in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted January 23, 2013 Author Share Posted January 23, 2013 Troll GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 BWI gets .13" and DCA .10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 The bulk of the moisture once again looks to stay south of DC Huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brad1551 Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 I am sure everyone is keeping their fingers crossed and even more improvement starts to follow. I don't want this snowless record to grow any larger then what it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brad1551 Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Huh? Look above your post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nflwxman Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Ugh..if I get dry slotted again... Damn Mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Well, i think this 3 panel comparison says about 1000 words. 12z - 6z - 0z respectively: The bad trend has always been sh!t flow in front of the vort. Without a chance to back sw, we are screwed. But looking at the 3 panels side by side, it's plain as day why things all of a sudden look better at the surface. I don't think the gfs is a blip either. It's just honing in on ul flow becoming ever so slightly more favorable. There is room for more improvement too. This was a great example irt to how such a small change upstairs can make such a big difference in our yards. Who's sleeping tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Well LWX did mention SR's would be in the 15-20:1 range for this "storm"... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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