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1/25-1/26 Storm Disco Thread


NOVAForecaster

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trends...even the UK is trending south, 12z had a bomb that changed most of 95 over to rain for a time.  That looks like it will go south, and while its way better then the other guidance, would probably imply the best snow will be south of DC even.  Its heading in the direction of the other models, just taking way longer to get there. 

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trends...even the UK is trending south, 12z had a bomb that changed most of 95 over to rain for a time. That looks like it will go south, and while its way better then the other guidance, would probably imply the best snow will be south of DC even. Its heading in the direction of the other models, just taking way longer to get there.

Very valid logic there as well.

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trends...even the UK is trending south, 12z had a bomb that changed most of 95 over to rain for a time.  That looks like it will go south, and while its way better then the other guidance, would probably imply the best snow will be south of DC even.  Its heading in the direction of the other models, just taking way longer to get there. 

not so sure I agree with you that all the heavy stuff would go south of DC

http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1280x1024&mo=ukmet≤=sfc&va=slp&in=2&pl=cf&ft=h72&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest

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well, to be fair, you didn't say all the heavy stuff would be south

the best would likely go that way, my mistake

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I thought I read it was 2nd to Euro, but maybe those are old stats

what it does is slow things down which allows the solutions of last night and this morning, just 12-18 hours later

 

How the hell can you read that, if you can please tell me which model is 1,2 and 3.

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Looking at that SLP you are probably right, but still its a step towards less amplified from its 12z, it just has way further to go compared to the other guidance. 

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did you realize it's only 12 degrees at your house!!!

Yea joy... honestly I HATE cold, I know that contradicts my love of snow in a way but I do not like cold if there is no snow involved.  That is partly why I have been so disinterested in the cold is coming focus for some because without the STJ I knew it was likely to be cold/dry. 

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I will offer my optomist spin, heading into February our hope is that as the wavelengths shorten, if we can get the trough position into the east, its possible for the northern stream to dig enough to kick up something for us without help from the STJ.  That is why sometimes Late Feb and early March can bring a moderate snowfall in Nina years.  Perhaps we salvage something in that way. 

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I'm glad it held, I was ready to pull the plug-- even down my way. 

 

I need to just fire ACCUWEATHER and get SV-- trying to infer what will happen by reading the extrated data from BNA and TRI plus height and thickness falls in ROA and LYH is interesting (Their maps are VERY slow)

 

But, my guess was right-- I'd be happy with the moderate event depicted for my area. 

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