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1/25-1/26 Storm Disco Thread


NOVAForecaster

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Matt Noyes likes their potential:

@MattNoyesNECN: After reviewing additional data this eve...my confidence increases on a substantial snow hit Fri Night Southern NewEng

 

Did he state his reasoning, he knows his stuff I would be curious to know why he is so confident when that is going against almost all guidance.

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Did he state his reasoning, he knows his stuff I would be curious to know why he is so confident when that is going against almost all guidance.

He says he believes that their will be rapid strenghtening along a baroclinic zone. Acknowledges that no operational models show this now, but believes 0z EURO will begin to pick up on it. Obviously doesnt help us but intriguing to watch unfold and see if he is right.

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Catchy, but not really true this winter.The majority of DCA precip in Dec (1.79 of 3.03 inches) fell on days with +2 or less temp departures, well under the avg monthly departure.The majority of MTD DCA precip in Jan (1.08 of 1.21 inches) fell on days with +4 departues, again under the monthly avg.More like cool/wet so far.

Wait are you arguing that + days are cool?

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Catchy, but not really true this winter. The majority of DCA precip in Dec (1.79 of 3.03 inches) fell on days with +2 or less temp departures, well under the avg monthly departure. The majority of MTD DCA precip in Jan (1.08 of 1.21 inches) fell on days with +4 departues, again under the monthly avg. More like cool/wet so far.

I have no idea how a +4 departure is considered cold.

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He says he believes that their will be rapid strenghtening along a baroclinic zone. Acknowledges that no operational models show this now, but believes 0z EURO will begin to pick up on it. Obviously doesnt help us but intriguing to watch unfold and see if he is right.

 

Very interesting thanks.

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By the way, I'm loving my call right now actually. 1"-2" from the clipper looks pretty good, plus another 1"-2" on Friday isn't a reach either. There's no way the clipper snow won't stick

around long enough for Friday.

Well youre gonna need a little help on your Friday call if the 0z gfs is correct. Cause there is no storm.

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