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1/25-1/26 Storm Disco Thread


NOVAForecaster

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I have no real scientific evidence to back this up but sometimes it seems like the models key on what's right in front of them and dampen out what comes behind. It is likely that the models are seeing it correctly now. That before the clipper was too insignificant for the globals to really pick up its influence but now are seeing its effects. There is a chance however though that once the clipper gets out of the way we see a healthier solution for Friday come back on in the picture.

I think the 1st has an impact on the second. The clipper shortwave turns the flow to wnwly and then the Friday shortwave is just too close on its heals to back the flow enough to tap any moisture.

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Friday appears to be totally dead and soon to fade into nothing at all.

 

I have no real scientific evidence to back this up but sometimes it seems like the models key on what's right in front of them and dampen out what comes behind. It is likely that the models are seeing it correctly now. That before the clipper was too insignificant for the globals to really pick up its influence but now are seeing its effects. There is a chance however though that once the clipper gets out of the way we see a healthier solution for Friday come back on in the picture.

but not until Sat/Sun, if at all, it would seem right now

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yea this thing keeps trending worse.

yea at 60 it's still in cali whereas last run it was already in kansas. i think, though could be wrong, that this is going to be a dry run.

It could also be a signal that the NAM is out to lunch. It was originally much stronger with that vort. So much so, that it cut off near San Fran.

Edit: that energy is still in Cali for 30 hours straight on the NAM

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Why would anyone care about this run??? It didn't resemble ANY run over the past week. If anything, it shows how these things are still trying to figure everything out.

Totally. We'll be in blues in now time. Models always trend back good after they go bad.

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