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1/25-1/26 Storm Disco Thread


NOVAForecaster

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Nam looks like the others.

you know, one way or the other, the d@mn northern stream with its low over the Great Lakes screws us down here

when it's warmer, it turns us over to rain and when we have the cold air, it sucks the life out of the southern stream

I hate the Great Lakes and everyone who fishes on them

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Has anyone noted that the SREFs have stunk for this event so far?

I asked the question earlier about when it was wise to use them.  They have had solutions all over the place.

 

This "new" twist from the NAM, combined with the events of the past day sure do point to an evolving (constantly) situation.

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Nam is a step back irt 500 and amplification. I got a little excited seeing the 2 distinct areas of vorticity out west but they never really interacted. It's pretty darn flat out in front again. We're just not going to get a good draw of waa precip without a better dig. 

 

No biggie. Still shows a couple inches of snow. My expectations have been set in the 1-4" and I'm safe for now. 

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recall how the GFS a few days ago had a really wet front moving through with a second storm coming up the coast after the cold front passed

I wish I could get myself from not looking past 48 hrs

hopefully no one took that at all seriously

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Everyone seems to always worry about cold when 7 of 10 times its the seeming desert that we live in here that does us in.  2009 and 2012, and looking like 2013, much below normal Jan/Feb precip totals.

 

bulldoze the apps.. cad is overrated

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hopefully no one took that at all seriously

well, we get .15-.2" qpf and it will be a nice 2-4" event if ratios cooperate

the concern now is it getting cut back even more with less digging so that it ends up as nothing more than a glorified front with an inch of snow and a Low over the GL

sad how the CFS2 got the dry part of the forecast right

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well, we get .15-.2" qpf and it will be a nice 2-4" event if ratios cooperate

the concern now is it getting cut back even more with less digging so that it ends up as nothing more than a glorified front with an inch of snow and a Low over the GL

sad how the CFS2 got the dry part of the forecast right

You're concern is valid, hopefully this doesn't fizzle completely. If it stays right where it is on this afternoon runs we will be okay. We are still a good ways out, so I wouldn't be surprised to see a bump up in qpf. If so it will be a nice event. I'm just happy to have the models reaching precip well into PA and not cutting it off 4 miles to my north like they do 80 percent ot the time.

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Well atleast there wasn't a significant storm modeled up until Thursday , saves us two days of sleep. We should be able to handle this heartbreak,only dealt with it for 2 years. Storm or no storm I'm happy I'm Alive and its cold.haha still have feb. and march and if not there's always next year!

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