wxmeddler Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I did but no one was reading it so I came here to be an attention whore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 NAM going the way of the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 That could also be used about my last post, I noticed at 60s some ridging did develop behind the Friday shortwave so it may not be that bad of a run except that it's the NAM out there in time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 NAM going the way of the GFS Not really. It's just slower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bjohnson102184 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Not really. It's just slower. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?model=nam&area=namer¶m=850_temp_mslp_precip&cycle=18ℑ=nam%2F18%2Fnam_namer_069_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif exactly it gets going Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I did but no one was reading it so I came here to be an attention whore. ahh, i thought maybe you had old guy disease like mitch and can't navigate between threads Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 My bad.... I'm old... thats my excuse Looks juicier at 69 than the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 It's a different set-up, interesting. Guess 0z will be interesting as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 5H looks weaker at 69 hrs vs. 75 on 12z but surface has similar precip falling hmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Not much QPF, .15-.2 maybe for us. But I don't know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 definitely a step in the gfs direction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Nam looks like the others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Has anyone noted that the SREFs have stunk for this event so far? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Nam looks like the others. you know, one way or the other, the d@mn northern stream with its low over the Great Lakes screws us down here when it's warmer, it turns us over to rain and when we have the cold air, it sucks the life out of the southern stream I hate the Great Lakes and everyone who fishes on them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Has anyone noted that the SREFs have stunk for this event so far? I asked the question earlier about when it was wise to use them. They have had solutions all over the place. This "new" twist from the NAM, combined with the events of the past day sure do point to an evolving (constantly) situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Nam is a step back irt 500 and amplification. I got a little excited seeing the 2 distinct areas of vorticity out west but they never really interacted. It's pretty darn flat out in front again. We're just not going to get a good draw of waa precip without a better dig. No biggie. Still shows a couple inches of snow. My expectations have been set in the 1-4" and I'm safe for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 It halved the qpf and now looks pretty much like the other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Has anyone noted that the SREFs have stunk for this event so far? yes, it was noted earlier today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Everyone seems to always worry about cold when 7 of 10 times its the seeming desert that we live in here that does us in. 2009 and 2012, and looking like 2013, much below normal Jan/Feb precip totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 recall how the GFS a few days ago had a really wet front moving through with a second storm coming up the coast after the cold front passed I wish I could get myself from not looking past 48 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Just got back and thread is long..can I ask what the Euro did? By the comments on this page it looks like it went towards the GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 recall how the GFS a few days ago had a really wet front moving through with a second storm coming up the coast after the cold front passed I wish I could get myself from not looking past 48 hrs hopefully no one took that at all seriously Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Everyone seems to always worry about cold when 7 of 10 times its the seeming desert that we live in here that does us in. 2009 and 2012, and looking like 2013, much below normal Jan/Feb precip totals. bulldoze the apps.. cad is overrated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 hopefully no one took that at all seriously well, we get .15-.2" qpf and it will be a nice 2-4" event if ratios cooperate the concern now is it getting cut back even more with less digging so that it ends up as nothing more than a glorified front with an inch of snow and a Low over the GL sad how the CFS2 got the dry part of the forecast right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Surely this hasn't stopped trending. The question is, what will it trend to? I mean, I can't really see this being static for the next 66 hours. So, what does it become? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swiscaster Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 0.00" obviously, WinterWxLuvr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Can't believe this crappy thread made it to 20 pages since yesterday afternoon. I certainly hope we don't see two more days of constant posting of QPF totals from every model run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 well, we get .15-.2" qpf and it will be a nice 2-4" event if ratios cooperate the concern now is it getting cut back even more with less digging so that it ends up as nothing more than a glorified front with an inch of snow and a Low over the GL sad how the CFS2 got the dry part of the forecast right You're concern is valid, hopefully this doesn't fizzle completely. If it stays right where it is on this afternoon runs we will be okay. We are still a good ways out, so I wouldn't be surprised to see a bump up in qpf. If so it will be a nice event. I'm just happy to have the models reaching precip well into PA and not cutting it off 4 miles to my north like they do 80 percent ot the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 OK, 18z run starts in a few minutes. It's time to start to recoup .2 to .3 in qpf by Friday noon. The GFS must be the leader in this effort. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yorkpa25 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Well atleast there wasn't a significant storm modeled up until Thursday , saves us two days of sleep. We should be able to handle this heartbreak,only dealt with it for 2 years. Storm or no storm I'm happy I'm Alive and its cold.haha still have feb. and march and if not there's always next year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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