Yeoman Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 This thread is absolutely unreadable.. I wish public schools would ban cell phones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 It's Tuesday. Not Friday. We will see even more change, IMO. Now whether that change goes our way or the other, I won't speculate. Now that we have seemingly hit the bottom, maybe we can get away from the whiny bickering and get back to talking about the storm. Like the fact that the very crucial piece of energy is still sitting well off the US coast and might not be just what the models are thinking it will be by the time it gets across the Rockies. It also might be time to regroup and close this thread. I'm a believer in the mojo, and this thread has a bad one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Don't bother looking at the CRAS. It is dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 1-3 / 2-4 was being heralded by the masses as the greatest thing since a grilled cheese cooked in butter just a couple days ago... lol There is time anyways. Sure it could go either way but I doubt the dried up prune solution of the gfs is right. Some things can help. Let's get past the weak clipper tomorrow and see how 500 and the strength of the sw looks. Just a couple miles and mb's can make a world of diff. Hey Bob, I copyrighted that one. But I agree. The view may change indeed in about 36 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 It's Tuesday. Not Friday. We will see even more change, IMO. Now whether that change goes our way or the other, I won't speculate. Now that we have seemingly hit the bottom, maybe we can get away from the whiny bickering and get back to talking about the storm. Like the fact that the very crucial piece of energy is still sitting well off the US coast and might not be just what the models are thinking it will be by the time it gets across the Rockies. It also might be time to regroup and close this thread. I'm a believer in the mojo, and this thread has a bad one. Second your post, good points. Can't go much lower (mentally), as we could go to 0 but I doubt that outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I blame it on TWC for using the words "Potential for significant snow accumulation". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I blame it on TWC for using the words "Potential for significant snow accumulation". I blame it on our location on this planet, and the new found climo we are developing. Phineas warm/wet, cold/dry. But hey, I might as well ride this one to the end, anything can happen. .2" of QPF will do, would be 2-4", and we've been dying for that. Anything more, and I'd be in heaven. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 whatever.. stupidest hobby ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I blame it on TWC for using the words "Potential for significant snow accumulation". Did they give it a name? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 FWIW... WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTSCARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.1215 PM EST TUE 22 JANUARY 2013SUBJECT: WINTER STORM PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD) VALID 23/1100Z TO 24/1100Z JANUARY 2013 WSPOD NUMBER.....12-053I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS 1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS. 2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS 1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS. 2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE. 3. REMARK: TODAY'S NOAA G-IV MISSION FOR TRACK P-46 WILL NOW BE FLOWN CLOCKWISE WITH A 22/1900Z TAKEOFF TIME AND CONTROL POINT SET AT DROP POINT 8 FOR 23/0000Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 whatever.. stupidest hobby ever. Does the Euro throw out an .01 or .02 amounts in our area with the clipper? The vort looks pretty impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 good storm for RDU .30 qpf all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Does the Euro throw out an .01 or .02 amounts in our area with the clipper? The vort looks pretty impressive. .04 for Leesburg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Does the Euro throw out an .01 or .02 amounts in our area with the clipper? The vort looks pretty impressive. There is qpf around on the wunderground maps overnight wed into thurs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 .04 for Leesburg How about Columbus Ohio, that's where I will be all day tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 .04 for Leesburg Leesburg could get an inch for sure, vort as Wes said looks substantial. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 .04 for Leesburg 0.05" stripe hugs the SW side of the potomac about 100 miles deep in va Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Does the Euro throw out an .01 or .02 amounts in our area with the clipper? The vort looks pretty impressive. I was just thinking: man, that is some strong differential vorticity. The jet placement, mid level moisture, cyclonic vorticity advection argue for possibly something a bit further north than C VA too after 3z THU. The SREF guidance also has reasonable probabilities on MPV anomalies coming across MD / DCA 3-9z. Embedded small snow squalls amongst the cloud deck / scattered flurries? Max SREF members spit out over 1" of snow but that's for fun right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 .04 for Leesburg I think someone will have their ground whitened and wouldn't be surprised at a narrow band of 1 inch somewhere in the area along with a bunch of weenies who feel they got cheated as they weren't in the band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Mike Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 This winter, 1" would be significant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 0.05" stripe hugs the SW side of the potomac about 100 miles deep in va I want it over may house. I have yet to have the ground whitened. Whitened ground would be awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 The axis of the shortwave entry on the Euro is pretty similar, but then the tilting of the s/w takes on literally a 360 compared to 0z. It has better heights in front, but this run the heights in the east are low, flatness... Additionally, there isn't much of a mechanism to draw in open moisture transport from the gulf into the supposed low that will traverse the Mississippi River Valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I want it over may house. I have yet to have the ground whitened. Whitened ground would be awesome. Are you doing a CWG write up on the storm today?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Does the Euro throw out an .01 or .02 amounts in our area with the clipper? The vort looks pretty impressive. Clipper gives DCA a .02 followed by a .01 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Clipper gives DCA a .02 followed by a .01 But IAD makes out with a .02 followed by a whopping .03 at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Forest through the trees thing but I bet someone gets an inch or two on Wednesday night I guess this wasn't too stupid of a statement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted January 22, 2013 Author Share Posted January 22, 2013 This is going to go south of us again and I'm going to jump off of the Bay Bridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 This is going to go south of us again and I'm going to jump off of the Bag Bridge nc always gets the shaft.. i really hope they get snow. or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 nc always gets the shaft.. i really hope they get snow. or not. Well a south shift would at least for a day stop people from using the old they always shift north card. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Well a south shift would at least for a day stop people from using the old they always shift north card. im not even going to pay attention to it anymore. im all about the wed night clipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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