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1/25-1/26 Storm Disco Thread


NOVAForecaster

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I value his opinion dont get me wrong but I feel here lately he has been over the top....meltdown last week and just his negativity in general......

 

I disagree. I agreed with his concerns in the medium range and stated just that in the philly subforum that I think the southern solutions were correct for last week's system. How you interpret that isn't his problem. I don't think it is for you or me to judge if he is being over the top. He usually let's you know if he is and then he gets over it and becomes objective again.

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Lol. Really?

 

I melted down last week but I was 100% correct in the end

 

I have given a number examples of these setups....these all are different to some extent but when you get something from the west or NW thrown into a dome of cold air there is bust potential...even in Ninos (1/22/05, 1/16/03)

 

3/99 is an anomaly as it blew up right over us...I think late season we do better in these setups anyway in terms of not getting robbed

 

1/88 and 1/82 and maybe 2/2/96 and  1/26/87 are probably the best case scenarios (8-10") when you have a quick mover into a frigid antecedent air mass and  those all had a more robust southern stream and happened in better winters.....I like us to get at least 1-2" and maybe more....nothing wrong with that...

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I melted down last week but I was 100% correct in the end

 

I have given a number examples of these setups....these all are different to some extent but when you get something from the west or NW thrown into a dome of cold air there is bust potential...even in Ninos (1/22/05, 1/16/03)

 

3/99 is an anomaly as it blew up right over us...I think late season we do better in these setups anyway in terms of not getting robbed

 

1/88 and 1/82 and maybe 2/2/96 and  1/26/87 are probably the best case scenarios (8-10") when you have a quick mover into a frigid antecedent air mass and  those all had a more robust southern stream and happened in better winters.....I like us to get at least 1-2" and maybe more....nothing wrong with that...

Good post matt, can't argue with that. I'm happy with our first 2"+ snow in 2 years. 

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I melted down last week but I was 100% correct in the end

 

I have given a number examples of these setups....these all are different to some extent but when you get something from the west or NW thrown into a dome of cold air there is bust potential...even in Ninos (1/22/05, 1/16/03)

 

3/99 is an anomaly as it blew up right over us...I think late season we do better in these setups anyway in terms of not getting robbed

 

1/88 and 1/82 and maybe 2/2/96 and  1/26/87 are probably the best case scenarios (8-10") when you have a quick mover into a frigid antecedent air mass and  those all had a more robust southern stream and happened in better winters.....I like us to get at least 1-2" and maybe more....nothing wrong with that...

I am sorry my post was out of line I do respect what you have to say.........back to the weather 

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1-3 / 2-4 was being heralded by the masses as the greatest thing since a grilled cheese cooked in butter just a couple days ago... lol

 

There is time anyways. Sure it could go either way but I doubt the dried up prune solution of the gfs is right. Some things can help. Let's get past the weak clipper tomorrow and see how 500 and the strength of the sw looks. Just a couple miles and mb's can make a world of diff. 

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