bjohnson102184 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I value his opinion dont get me wrong but I feel here lately he has been over the top....meltdown last week and just his negativity in general...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Forest through the trees thing but I bet someone gets an inch or two on Wednesday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 This. You have to be a fool to not at least consider what he is saying, let alone bash it. Seconded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Not to discuss the NOGAPS, but its close to something big, and for it to have a lot of QPF and be amped up a decent bit, I like to see it because its usually strung out big time. QPF is overrated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I value his opinion dont get me wrong but I feel here lately he has been over the top....meltdown last week and just his negativity in general...... That was a meltdown? I must have missed something. You might want to consider that you now have multiple red taggers saying you should value his opinion. Again, he pointed out something that is a legit concern with this storm. If you want him to put on weenie goggles he'll bust his forecast much more frequently. I just think telling him to take a chill pill was a little much... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 QPF is overrated. To be honest, you're right. I'm sorry, its all about the synoptics, sw energy, dominant low. My apology to all, I've been focusing too much on QPF, thats not all its about. Credit to you matt, you woke me up a bit on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I value his opinion dont get me wrong but I feel here lately he has been over the top....meltdown last week and just his negativity in general...... I disagree. I agreed with his concerns in the medium range and stated just that in the philly subforum that I think the southern solutions were correct for last week's system. How you interpret that isn't his problem. I don't think it is for you or me to judge if he is being over the top. He usually let's you know if he is and then he gets over it and becomes objective again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Thank God we got NOGAPS crap posted here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I value his opinion dont get me wrong but I feel here lately he has been over the top....meltdown last week and just his negativity in general...... Lol. Really? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Forest through the trees thing but I bet someone gets an inch or two on Wednesday nightLeesburg tossing knowledge.. book it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Forest through the trees thing but I bet someone gets an inch or two on Wednesday night Certainly possible, Old town could get 1-2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Leesburg tossing knowledge.. book it Enjoy your 6-10" of snow while I'm high and dry in the southern 'dacks. Send pics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I value his opinion dont get me wrong but I feel here lately he has been over the top....meltdown last week and just his negativity in general...... so what do you think is going to happen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Leesburg tossing knowledge.. book it LWG coming on strong. Can't wait to see their blog saying WSW should be hoisted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I melted down last week but I was 100% correct in the end I have given a number examples of these setups....these all are different to some extent but when you get something from the west or NW thrown into a dome of cold air there is bust potential...even in Ninos (1/22/05, 1/16/03) 3/99 is an anomaly as it blew up right over us...I think late season we do better in these setups anyway in terms of not getting robbed 1/88 and 1/82 and maybe 2/2/96 and 1/26/87 are probably the best case scenarios (8-10") when you have a quick mover into a frigid antecedent air mass and those all had a more robust southern stream and happened in better winters.....I like us to get at least 1-2" and maybe more....nothing wrong with that... Good post matt, can't argue with that. I'm happy with our first 2"+ snow in 2 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bjohnson102184 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I melted down last week but I was 100% correct in the end I have given a number examples of these setups....these all are different to some extent but when you get something from the west or NW thrown into a dome of cold air there is bust potential...even in Ninos (1/22/05, 1/16/03) 3/99 is an anomaly as it blew up right over us...I think late season we do better in these setups anyway in terms of not getting robbed 1/88 and 1/82 and maybe 2/2/96 and 1/26/87 are probably the best case scenarios (8-10") when you have a quick mover into a frigid antecedent air mass and those all had a more robust southern stream and happened in better winters.....I like us to get at least 1-2" and maybe more....nothing wrong with that... I am sorry my post was out of line I do respect what you have to say.........back to the weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Forest through the trees thing but I bet someone gets an inch or two on Wednesday night The WRF-NMM likes Richmond/Va Beach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 The WRF-NMM likes Richmond/Va Beach. Snow on King Neptune's head!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 48 hrs the shortwave entering the US looks less robust than 00z.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 The northern wave? I'm not looking. Yes the wave associated with our storm, its weaker @ 54 HRs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Yes the wave associated with our storm, its weaker @ 54 HRs Still better than the gofus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Always happens when GFS is on its own, now all can panic. I could've saw that coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 His fear from the EURO last night was a Miller B that transfered too close to comfort for you guys and got SNE...... I still fear this is a very real possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 About to see zwyts post next.come on man we don't need these garbage posts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 So how long till it re-appears? 6 hours? 12? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 It is still like 2 maybe 3" in a 5 hour window...not awful....I think that is reasonable and something to shoot for Does DCA get >2''? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 It is still like 2 maybe 3" in a 5 hour window...not awful....I think that is reasonable and something to shoot for Yep. EVERYONE needs to keep their expectations in check. This doesn't have the looks of a 4-8 incher. Expect 2-4" and you'll be alright. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Really, if we get .25" of qpf, its a 3-5" storm. I know ratios are for 24hr or less, but its cold on the Euro, snow growth would presumably be optimal for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 It is still like 2 maybe 3" in a 5 hour window...not awful....I think that is reasonable and something to shoot for Wait, people are getting their virga in a wad because the Euro only shows a storm that'll eclipse snow totals from the past two winters combined? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 DCA get .15 verbatim....plenty cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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