BxEngine Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Those temps seem wrong for Dobbs Ferry. White Plains is still at 16F: http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?site=okx&zmx=1&zmy=1&map_x=118&map_y=156&x=147&y=195 Yeah im 15 here. 22 seems really out of place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted January 23, 2013 Author Share Posted January 23, 2013 22 in southern queens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 I think tonight will be the coldest night for NYC with northerly/NNE winds by morning and -20c 850s. Friday morning might be the coldest for suburbia as radiational cooling conditions improve in association w/ the sfc ridge. Could see widespread single digits outside of the city for Fri morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Some of the smaller creeks off from the back bays on the South Shore were starting to freeze over this morning. Hopefully the bays themselves will start to ice up soon with the sustained cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Central Park has a shot at the first 7 day 32 degree or lower streak since 2005 if we can hold the high on Sunday to 32 degrees or below. Jan...2005....9 Jan...2004....9 Jan...2003...11 DJ....00-01..13 Jan...2000....7 Jan..1996.....9 Dec...1989...9 Jan....1988...7 Jan.....1984..8 Jan.....1982..8 Jan.....1981..11 Feb.....1979..11 JF.......1978..12 Jan.....1977...9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 17 right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Yeah this looked like a potential 19-20F day to me for NYC, but I'm impressed at the 16F number as of the last observation. Today's departure might pencil in about a -18, and tomorrow looks potentially just as cold with a second sfc high building across the Northeast. Well it looks like 19F will in fact do it for NYC, assuming there isn't another jump. Newark back down to 19 after reaching 21. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Some of the smaller creeks off from the back bays on the South Shore were starting to freeze over this morning. Hopefully the bays themselves will start to ice up soon with the sustained cold. Look at Fire Island: http://www.wunderground.com/webcams/TPPOne/1/show.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 High today was 14.4 @1pm. A little lower than forecast high of 16. Quite frankly, thats warmrer than Id thought it would be. I was figuring about 10 or 11 for my high. Currently, partly sunny. 11.9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Well it looks like 19F will in fact do it for NYC, assuming there isn't another jump. Newark back down to 19 after reaching 21. Oh dang, maybe they'll hit 20 after all. Guess I should've been a bit more nervous about it considering a lot of the surrounding stations were noticeably warmer.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Looks like my parents in Ewing topped out at 21.2 today... that seems a smidge warm and I'm starting to wonder if the sensor is running slightly hot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Special Statement from Upton: ... Cold snap will continue through at least Friday... The current stretch of cold weather... with temperatures 10 to 15degrees below mid winter averages... will continue into at leastFriday as an upper level disturbance passing through tonightbrings a reinforcing shot of Arctic air. Lows both tonight andThursday night should fall to 10 to 15 in and around New YorkCity... and into the single digits most elsewhere. Isolated spotsin the valleys well north and west of New York City... and possiblyalso the Long Island Pine barrens region... could see temperaturesaround zero.As winds diminish tonight... below zero wind chills are notexpected. However... as northwest winds increase to 10 to 20mph... wind chills should drop to zero to 10 below zero from justbefore daybreak to around midday on Thursday. Similar wind chillsshould occur Thursday night. Arctic air will remain in place Friday into Friday night as lowpressure passes off to the southeast and brings some light snow.Slow moderation in temperatures and wind chills should then beginover the weekend into early next week in the wake of this system.Significant impacts that warrant extra caution during this coldsnap include the potential for frozen water pipes and firesprinkler piping. For those venturing out... wear a warm coat andgloves... cover your head... and dress in layers to limit directexposure and prevent frostbite and hypothermia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Looks like my parents in Ewing topped out at 21.2 today... that seems a smidge warm and I'm starting to wonder if the sensor is running slightly hot. Yeah looks like TTN topped out at 18, maybe 19 in between the hourlies, and most of Monmouth in the 19-20F range. BLM at 19. The 21F might be 0.5 degree or 0.75 degree too warm, maybe. NYC's going to be close. At noon it looked like they were a done deal for teens, but as you said, EWR was already "torching" to 20 at the time. We'll see. Either way a nice -15 to -17 day on tap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Park hit 20... ftp://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/SL.us008001/DF.c5/DC.textf/DS.dsmcx/sn.0233.txt (time sensitive) CXUS41 KOKX 232017DSMNYCKNYC DS 1500 23/01 201426/ 110843// 20/ 11//0161459/00/00/00/00/00/00/00/00/00/00/00/00/00/00/00/00/-/-/-/-/-/-/-/-/-/-/28170049/28261419 Dang... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Saw 18 in Colts Neck today , down to 16 ,the forecasted low is 11 , I think we challenge that . If there`s a day that some may see a ZERO reading it may be SUN morning , light winds , 850s Minus 20 plus in the area with prob 2 ( I think 3 ) Inches of snow cover . I think thats our coldest morning . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 I think we might have a chance tomorrow if the cloud cover can linger into the afternoon hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted January 23, 2013 Author Share Posted January 23, 2013 -20 is real considering the surrounding stations. 850s are near -22 but the flow is a tad too west and we added degrees on downsloping and the some sun we had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Park hit 20... ftp://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/SL.us008001/DF.c5/DC.textf/DS.dsmcx/sn.0233.txt (time sensitive) CXUS41 KOKX 232017DSMNYCKNYC DS 1500 23/01 201426/ 110843// 20/ 11//0161459/00/00/00/00/00/00/00/00/00/00/00/00/00/00/00/00/-/-/-/-/-/-/-/-/-/-/28170049/28261419 Dang... Yea the PWSs in the vicinity were at 20-22, and they are usually pretty close to the park during the daytime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 I think we might have a chance tomorrow if the cloud cover can linger into the afternoon hours Nah , you prob dont get there without snow cover . Not saying it cant happen , but its hard - Sat nite you will have a few inches to work with Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 NWS has me down to 8°F tonight, 7°F tomorrow night. Might bust tonight if we have cloud cover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Yeah looks like TTN topped out at 18, maybe 19 in between the hourlies, and most of Monmouth in the 19-20F range. BLM at 19. The 21F might be 0.5 degree or 0.75 degree too warm, maybe. They got to 19 between the hours, but that's still 2 degrees below my parents so yeah I'm growing more convinced my parents sensor has a warm bias. Its funny, before they replaced the thermometer at TTN back in May, my parents often ran colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Briefly made it up to 21 here...currently 18 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 High temp of 19F. Now down to 17.5F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Ray , I have a question for you , Tues CPK normal splits are 38 - 27 Tues max was 27 and min was 18 so we were 11 below the high and 9 below the low should equate to 10 below , but did the NWS claim the dep was actually 9 ? They add 38 and 27 which comes to 65 - so the split is 32.5 - but they rounded down .32 But when they added the actuals of 27 and 18 which came to 45 - the split was 22.5 they rounded up to 23 ? gives you 9 ... Any reason given for the difference ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Ray , I have a question for you , Tues CPK normal splits are 38 - 27 Tues max was 27 and min was 18 so we were 11 below the high and 9 below the low should equate to 10 below , but did the NWS claim the dep was actually 9 ? They add 38 and 27 which comes to 65 - so the split is 32.5 - but they rounded down .32 But when they added the actuals of 27 and 18 which came to 45 - the split was 22.5 they rounded up to 23 ? gives you 9 ... Any reason given for the difference ? The way the AWIPS software tries to make a whole number out of that has always been weird. I think someone told me how it works once but I've forgotten. The AWIPS climate program is the oldest AWIPS program still in use. Development on a replacement or upgrade is frozen until AWIPS II is completely deployed. I don't even look at the daily departures much. The monthly departure in the CF6 is independent of the daily numbers and is accurate so usually I just look at the monthly and just glance at the dailies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 The way the AWIPS software tries to make a whole number out of that has always been weird. I think someone told me how it works once but I've forgotten. The AWIPS climate program is the oldest AWIPS program still in use. Development on a replacement or upgrade is frozen until AWIPS II is completely deployed. I don't even look at the daily departures much. The monthly departure in the CF6 is independent of the daily numbers and is accurate so usually I just look at the monthly and just glance at the dailies. Thank you sir . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 10.4 partly cloudy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Sky cleared, wind died, tonights the night I think we make a run at subzero temps here. Down to 8.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 For the record, it's warmer in Anchorage, Alaska than it is anywhere around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 8.1 and falling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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