Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 On 1/22/2013 at 12:54 AM, CT Rain said: Not sure. We may be done. Was just looking back and saw someone posted the MM5. I cannot recall the last time it verified for QPF...or even close to it down here. Looks like about .5" more uniformly. We are right under the band on radar, 2-3" would seem to be a higher probability here from this first burst, only about 1.5" to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Steady snow since I left work, already a coating otg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 1" here and the town just came up my street with the plow/salt. Light snow 21F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 22, 2013 Author Share Posted January 22, 2013 On 1/22/2013 at 1:00 AM, Rollo Tomasi said: Was just looking back and saw someone posted the MM5. I cannot recall the last time it verified for QPF...or even close to it down here. Looks like about .5" more uniformly. We are right under the band on radar, 2-3" would seem to be a higher probability here from this first burst, only about 1.5" to go. radar looking really good right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 On 1/22/2013 at 1:00 AM, Rollo Tomasi said: Not sure. We may be done. Was just looking back and saw someone posted the MM5. I cannot recall the last time it verified for QPF...or even close to it down here. Looks like about .5" more uniformly. We are right under the band on radar, 2-3" would seem to be a higher probability here from this first burst, only about 1.5" to go. I'd be surprised if you don't near 4" out of this event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 On 1/22/2013 at 1:03 AM, Tropopause_Fold said: I'd be surprised if you don't near 4" out of this event Agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Stuff in NY state looking better. It heading E /SE those are some very heavy squalls but we'll need to see areal coverage expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 On 1/22/2013 at 1:03 AM, Tropopause_Fold said: I'd be surprised if you don't near 4" out of this event Just to be clear I wasn't the one that said that we might be done...that was ryan in response to CT Blizz. For some reason quoting is still messed up so your post shows my quote and his quote as one. This one band looks to be setting up nicely. I think it vanishes later, but it's high fluff snow so it's sticking pretty fast since I've been back. I'm not sold on the backside snow, what are your thoughts on later tonight once this moves off? Is that stuff OES generated or was it all trough? RGEM/EURO and even the NAM I think kind of hint at it mainly missing east? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 On 1/22/2013 at 1:05 AM, CT Blizz said: Stuff in NY state looking better. It heading E /SE those are some very heavy squalls but we'll need to see areal coverage expand More importantly north of cobbleskill it looks like there's some spin to the echoes. That'd be important later as potentially the meso low is now starting to show itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 On 1/22/2013 at 12:59 AM, Brian5671 said: LI getting it good-it's a game of inches sometimes... It was posted in NY forum that Upton measured 1.5" of snow with .03" liquid. On their facebook page. Sick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 If we get another good burst int he interior it will be from when the westerly winds out in NY State meet up with the light NE winds currently over much of the region. This is what the NAM showed happening overnight and some of the good RAP runs. Its possible it craps out but that is the nowcasting nature of these events. The precip usually blossoms out of nothing so its hard to use upstream radar as a big indicator. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 On 1/22/2013 at 1:13 AM, ORH_wxman said: If we get another good burst int he interior it will be from when the westerly winds out in NY State meet up with the light NE winds currently over much of the region. This is what the NAM showed happening overnight and some of the good RAP runs. Its possible it craps out but that is the nowcasting nature of these events. The precip usually blossoms out of nothing so its hard to use upstream radar as a big indicator.Is that what's happening in NY State and NE Pa? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I may be lucky to grab an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RI Rob Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Just went outside for a quick walk, just a coating out there at this point. Grass isn't completely covered yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 On 1/22/2013 at 1:15 AM, RI Rob said: Just went outside for a quick walk, just a coating out there at this point. Grass isn't completely covered yet. almost half inch here at home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 This is a f*cking joke. Now all we need is Chara, Horton, or Seguin to have a career ending injury and a record breaking se ridge for february Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIcoastalWX Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 27.9/25 - Moderate Snow 2.75" OTG - Snowing at about 1"/hour. Just saw the radar... quite the band forming along the CT shoreline and into LI Sound moving ENE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 On 1/22/2013 at 1:15 AM, CT Blizz said: Is that what's happening in NY State and NE Pa? To a small extent...if it goes well, we'll see the precip blossom a lot more as it oges near SNE...stuff will come out of nowhere, but again, its possible we don't see much more. There's actually already some light stuff blossoming SW of ORH right now. We'll just have to watch it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 1.2" westbrook ct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cycloneslurry Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 central NJ and long island scoring a big surprise...reports of close to 3 down there already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jenkins Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 On 1/22/2013 at 1:17 AM, RIcoastalWX said: 27.9/25 - Moderate Snow 2.75" OTG - Snowing at about 1"/hour. Just saw the radar... quite the band forming along the CT shoreline and into LI Sound moving ENE. This! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Why is anyone in eastern New England freaking out yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RI Rob Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 On 1/22/2013 at 1:15 AM, CoastalWx said: almost half inch here at home. It's just pretty outside at this point. Snow is slowly coming down but it's steady I guess, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 This event looks to be over in 20 minutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 On 1/22/2013 at 1:17 AM, dendrite said: Why is anyone in eastern New England freaking out yet? When scooter freaks out, I freak out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 On 1/22/2013 at 1:17 AM, ORH_wxman said: To a small extent...if it goes well, we'll see the precip blossom a lot more as it oges near SNE...stuff will come out of nowhere, but again, its possible we don't see much more. There's actually already some light stuff blossoming SW of ORH right now. We'll just have to watch it.like Xmas Eve event in Early 90's Reminds me of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 overcast even under these echoes now. COngrats long island and south central jersey, thats a sweet band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 On 1/21/2013 at 8:52 PM, wxsniss said: Finally... 24hr qpf from 12z MM5 is out... Not sure why this isn't referenced so much anymore, but it may be pretty realistic... we shall see. Light greenish in southeast MA is ~0.4" 0.5" line cuts through south of Plymouth and all of Cape is > 0.5" pcp24.36.0000.gif On 1/22/2013 at 1:00 AM, Rollo Tomasi said: Was just looking back and saw someone posted the MM5. I cannot recall the last time it verified for QPF...or even close to it down here. Looks like about .5" more uniformly. We are right under the band on radar, 2-3" would seem to be a higher probability here from this first burst, only about 1.5" to go. That was me No attachment whatsoever to MM5, just thought I'd add another hi-res model to the mix while we're trying to sort out any meso enhancement. In any case, the MM5 was not so unreasonable... 3-4 in southeast MA, > 5 in coastal southeast MA and Cape. In fact, the NWS Box map has more, particularly for the south shore coast down to the Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 22, 2013 Author Share Posted January 22, 2013 On 1/22/2013 at 1:17 AM, dendrite said: Why is anyone in eastern New England freaking out yet? i think jay just walked onto the se expressway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RI Rob Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 On 1/22/2013 at 1:18 AM, sbos_wx said: When scooter freaks out, I freak out We must be strong! Don't give up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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