eyewall Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Well I certainly busted in some key areas but overall I stayed on the lower end with my forecasts as compared to some. The most notable bust area is the "foothills screw zone". While I did depict a bit of a notch there I wasn't aggressive enough in that thinking. As always I will try to post this, no matter the outcome, when we have an event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 My first call and only call back on Jan. 15th! Had I cared, I would have updated later on with what the short term models were showing. I did far better than DT! Purple:6-12 Blue:1-5 Pink: Under 1inchBlack: Wildcard...heavier accumulation possible per radar watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 I nailed the wild card zone pretty well...I missed Alleghany County, NC when I sketched this map out in under 3 mins. Foothills snow shadow wise...too hard to sketch so I extended the range down to 1inch regardless of winter storm warnings. I don't have much knowledge on Tennessee and the far south-west part of the map...or some of the nearby Asheville elevations so may have missed that. I will probably crop some of those areas off in future forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Winston Salem had 2-2.5 inches. Just depended where you were Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 I nailed the wild card zone pretty well...I missed Alleghany County, NC when I sketched this map out in under 3 mins. Foothills snow shadow wise...too hard to sketch so I extended the range down to 1inch regardless of winter storm warnings. I don't have much knowledge on Tennessee and the far south-west part of the map...or some of the nearby Asheville elevations so may have missed that. I will probably crop those areas off in future forecasts. I've never seen a wildcard forecast zone before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 I've never seen a wildcard forecast zone before. I was trying to depict where the possible thunder-snow was going to occur...I think it is safe to forecast a little north and cut totals for everyone by 25% and then remove the outside areas near potential snowfall by 1-3 counties and you will come out with decent forecast if the storm has no true source of cold air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 DT...even his last call map was... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Now way 9-12 was going to happen in Wilkes. Mount Airy was in the A and should have been in the H for off the chart humbug. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted January 20, 2013 Share Posted January 20, 2013 Did anyone by chance see a map from Robert? I know he was taking this storm seriously and laid out the chances appropriately. Wondering what it looked like. Going back over the storm discussion thread and reading. Interesting stuff and arguments from all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherheels Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Winston Salem had 2-2.5 inches. Just depended where you were Yep, I live a little N of kernersville and got 3", my buddy lives about 7 miles S and had 3/4" It was very localized on accumulations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Yep, I live a little N of kernersville and got 3", my buddy lives about 7 miles S and had 3/4" It was very localized on accumulations. Same in Wilkes. Warning criteria in the Brushy Mountains of Wilkes to a trace in Millers Creek. Luckily I was in the advisory criteria in between. Micro-climates for the win! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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