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Winter storm threat disc 1/25/13-1/26/13


Allsnow

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2009-10 was probably the most impressive winter I'll see for awhile. Experiened 3 HECS events of 20"+, 12/19 in Monmouth County, 2/6 and 2/10 were both 20"+ in Villanova PA, and 2/26 was a major storm of 12"+ for CNJ as well.

 

Major negative AO with persistently strong stratospheric warming events gave us 09-10, plus the active southern stream via the strong El Nino. It really was the ideal combination -- ton of moisture via the +ENSO but strong blocking to keep the cold in place. Most of the storms were around 32F. Just cold enough.

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Ahhhhhh that truly is sickening. Makes this one feel good. All the events this year have been misses of 1-3" for the most part. Not nearly as bad as just missing 30"!!!!

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Just wondering - there's a lot of discussion around whether this area gets .10 liquid vs .15 or .20 liquid.  If this was an April rain storm three days out, wouldn't it be considered almost impossible to be able to predict such a fine difference.  Isn't .10 vs .15 or .20 practically a rounding error?  

 

Thats why meteorologists are so much more exposed on snow forecasts...you predict an inch of rain and its .40 most people are not noticing, you predict 3 inches of snow and its 8 everyone is and in reality its just harder to predict snow totals overall.

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Thats why meteorologists are so much more exposed on snow forecasts...you predict an inch of rain and its .40 most people are not noticing, you predict 3 inches of snow and its 8 everyone is and in reality its just harder to predict snow totals overall.

 

I consider this from time to time and wonder how the hell we manage to get it RIGHT as much as we do :lol:

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