IsentropicLift Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 12z GGEM off of ewall The GGEM looks quite a bit more amplified and deeper with the trough than the GFS. I would think the setup at 500mb supports a tracke closer to the coast. It goes negative tilt at hr 90. Twelve hours sooner and I think it would have been a much better outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 The GGEM looks quite a bit more amplified and deeper with the trough than the GFS. I would think the setup at 500mb supports a tracke closer to the coast. It goes negative tilt at hr 90. Twelve hours sooner and I think it would have been a much better outcome. It's not that far off from the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I am surprised there is more talk here about the lowly NOGAPS and Canadian models than there is about the wonderful UKMET model that has a 996mb right off the NJ Coast on Sat am, within about 50 miles of where the Euro put it at the exact same time, and at a similar pressure. And the British and European models have the highest accuracy scores as well, but let's just keep focused on the lowly Canadian and NOGAPS. Whatever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 It's not that far off from the Euro. The JMA has been pretty hot overall, someone sent me an image this AM of its 72 hour forecast for 00Z last night and it actually showed SRN LI, CNTRL NJ getting hit and mostly missed SNE as actually happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Here is the H5 from the JMA. Dig baby dig. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 If this Euro is bad , the crying and vitriol will be epic . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Here is the H5 from the JMA. Dig baby dig. This setup looks familiar. Perhaps a little too familiar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I am surprised there is more talk here about the lowly NOGAPS and Canadian models than there is about the wonderful UKMET model that has a 996mb right off the NJ Coast on Sat am, within about 50 miles of where the Euro put it at the exact same time, and at a similar pressure. And the British and European model have the highest accuracy scores as well, but let's just keep focused on the lowly Canadian and NOGAPS. Whatever.Personally I was just building support as to why a more amplified Euro type solution is still on the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 If this Euro is bad , the crying and vitriol will be epic . It already is lol People already calling for only 1-2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Any updates on the ECMWF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 22, 2013 Author Share Posted January 22, 2013 Any updates on the ECMWF? Only out to 42 hrs. It's even colder for wed night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Looks like the ECMWF is out to hour 24 on Accuweather Pro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 D1: Good so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Only out to 42 hrs. It's even colder for wed night Thank you. Should be evident what it's solution is within the next 5-10 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 out to 48...some differences, ridge is slightly less amplified behind our s/w. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 D2: The trough looks a tad sharp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 If this Euro is bad , the crying and vitriol will be epic . I agree. I will be worried myself if it goes south. I doubt it will however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 It already is lol People already calling for only 1-2". Once again can we let the model finish running before making premature calls? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Once again can we let the model finish running before making premature calls? I'm not the one making calls. At least I'm not calling for 8-12" when we're still days out and there's a lot of uncertainty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 22, 2013 Author Share Posted January 22, 2013 Hr 78 it's more amp up then gfs. But I don't think it will be as good as 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Phillly thread not impressed ,,, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 The S/W is similar so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 22, 2013 Author Share Posted January 22, 2013 Hr 84 low further south. Light snow here. Mid Atlantic gets a mod storm . Not a good run at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 A bit weaker, but not even close to the GFS at HR 72. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Storm Cancel?Not at all . Not every storm a bomb , its gona snow fri ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Okay, it's not even as good as the 00Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Wow, it backed way off. Unreal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 22, 2013 Author Share Posted January 22, 2013 Hr 90 costal low further east. Looks a lot like gfs. Just a bit wetter for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I saw almost as much snow on my way into work this morning from the Lake Effect snow bands as this thing is printing out for NW NJ. Oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 22, 2013 Author Share Posted January 22, 2013 .10+ on this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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