Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,606
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    ArlyDude
    Newest Member
    ArlyDude
    Joined

Winter storm threat disc 1/25/13-1/26/13


Allsnow

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 1.4k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

I dont even have to look at the rest of the 500mb evolution and can tell that this solution is the result of the northern stream finally catching up and phasing. The thing with this evolution is that there is some wiggle room, as if this southern stream purely outruns the northern stream then we still could end up with a formidable event maybe on the order of 2-4/3-6. The phasing solutions will need to continue to be modeled as late as the euro depicts otherwise this could amp up much further west. Its good to see an amped solution off shore.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

philly is about 0.6-0.7 and all frozen. Most of southern jersey is good, just eastern sections near the shore rise to above 32 but may still be mostly if not all snow.

thanks....too tired to bring up the plymouth site....between this thread and zwyts description in the midlantic forum sounds like the megalopolis weenies will want to hug this euro run.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I dont even have to look at the rest of the 500mb evolution and can tell that this solution is the result of the northern stream finally catching up and phasing. The thing with this evolution is that there is some wiggle room, as if this southern stream purely outruns the northern stream then we still could end up with a formidable event maybe on the order of 2-4/3-6. The phasing solutions will need to continue to be modeled as late as the euro depicts otherwise this could amp up much further west. Its good to see an amped solution off shore.

That it is!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

im talking about philly area, probably more like .50 but just being conservitive

you clearly said 0.25-0.5 eastern NJ. That just isn't true almost 0.75 or more falls there. Im pretty sure you're reading the scale wrong. Around the philly area they have from 90-96 basically 0.25. Next frame its another 0.25+ (probably close to 0.35 if I had to guess based on the gradient). So while it is "close" to 0.5 it absolutely has to be greater based on the gradient. We'll see bufkit soon

Link to comment
Share on other sites

thats not true the color coding is dark green=0.5-0.75

 

check the bottom....0.05-0.1 is lightest green, next shade is 0.1-0.25, next shade is 0.25-0.5 and dark is 0.5-0.75. Blue shade is 0.75-1

regardless decent hit area wide.  many would be happy if euro verified

Link to comment
Share on other sites

you clearly said 0.25-0.5 eastern NJ. That just isn't true almost 0.75 or more falls there. Im pretty sure you're reading the scale wrong. Around the philly area they have from 90-96 basically 0.25. Next frame its another 0.25+ (probably close to 0.35 if I had to guess based on the gradient). So while it is "close" to 0.5 it absolutely has to be greater based on the gradient. We'll see bufkit soon

was talking about freezing line

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...