Ericjcrash Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 I think we are in the same range . Living here long enough you know you always sleet or drizzle at the end of WAA , but its not goin to wash accumulations away if it happens - you will just have to shovel 6 inches of cement away . Yep, but this time I would suggest shoveling quickly it gets cold after it. I'd would rather shovel wet cement then break it up after it sets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Storm coming into the end of the NAM's range...as expected the NAM looks a tad amplified as usual late in its period but no as much as I thought it might be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Storm coming into the end of the NAM's range...as expected the NAM looks a tad amplified as usual late in its period but no as much as I thought it might be. The NAM doesn't look too dissimilar from the other guidance actually. Probably would have provided a reasonable scenario for this storm system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Hopefully this is just a hiccup GFS run but at 99 barely 0.25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 22, 2013 Author Share Posted January 22, 2013 Yeah gfs is real cold, but limited in qpf. Around .20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 No nearly as amped as 18z, very flat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 haha,flurries in north jersey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Yeah gfs is real cold, but limited in qpf. Around .20 ewr gets .10" this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchel Volk Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 The colder weaker trend continues, so tonight.s GEM will finally show all snow for NYC. The GFS storm is not much different from tonight's storm; let's see what the ECMWF has to say. Snow in NYC is rarely clear cut, even the Boxing Day Blizzard was too far east on some of the GFS, and ECMWF runs three days before the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Same problem as the 06Z run earlier today, bombs the clipper well off the Delmarva at Day 2-3......that likely causes some sort of suppression that impacts this storm.....someone in SNE posted about how if you look how oddly this evolves out of a piece of energy from the West Coast trough its not surprising the models are having trouble...this one may be very late to get resolved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 It's almost as bad as the 6Z was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yhbrooklyn Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I'll say the normal weenie-ism....GFS always does this in the day 4/5 range. The famous SE bias. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 NOGAPS now very suppressed from what it was but just a near miss for us...Canadian is still going to be a hit.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 UKMET looks like a lakes cutter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 LOL, DT wasting no time bashing the GFS on facebook...says it was such a weird run that if this run was a person and then posted a photo of Napoleon Dynamite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Reading these models for Friday is like playing Darts!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 UKMET is really amped up but it definitely transfers. The next frame has a strong low in the gulf of maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Model Mayhem at its' best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 To sum it up so far....Canadian....congrats Bridgeport....NOGAPS...congrats Belmar....UKIE....congrats Inuits....and GFS....congrats nobody. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 ggem looks fine, u may have to switch it to say 0z http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Australian model FWIW...over the Benchmark...this model actually tends to do very good believe it or not with storms over the U.S....the resolution image is impossible to tell anything other than track location though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 To sum it up so far....Canadian....congrats Bridgeport....NOGAPS...congrats Belmar....UKIE....congrats Inuits....and GFS....congrats nobody. I'm sure you were mmostly going for a few chuckles (I lol-ed, especially at the Inuit line), but actually, that's a great, concise summary. Maybe the Euro will show a snowstorm for Myrtle Beach... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Australian model FWIW...over the Benchmark...this model actually tends to do very good believe it or not with storms over the U.S....the resolution image is impossible to tell anything other than track location though... Wow, that thing is wild. First time I have ever seen it. Very cool to see all the pressure areas over that amount of globe. This is just the surface right? Is there something like this for higher MB's of the atmosphere? Regardless it is a very cool map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Wow, that thing is wild. First time I have ever seen it. Very cool to see all the pressure areas over that amount of globe. Very cool. Their old model the LAPPS I think was awful, but this one unveiled back in 09 or 10 tends to be very good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Their old model the LAPPS I think was awful, but this one unveiled back in 09 or 10 tends to be very good. I added an edit to my reply. That map is the surface right? Is there maps like this for all the levels of the atmosphere. (i.e. 500, 850, etc.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I added an edit to my reply. That map is the surface right? Is there maps like this for all the levels of the atmosphere. (i.e. 500, 850, etc.) They have all sorts of other things you can select at 850, 700, 500, and 250 including the heights. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 They have all sorts of other things you can select at 850, 700, 500, and 250 including the heights. Nice. I will definitely check that out. The more model tools the better as far as I'm concerned especially since the big boys are so erratic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Nogaps tonight is pretty amped up. Complete opposite of the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 ggem looks fine, u may have to switch it to say 0z http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html Our best bet, hope its right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 there are way worse things tha a suppressed gfs at this time frame Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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